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Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

Predictive uncertainty estimation is essential for safe deployment of Deep Neural Networks in real-world autonomous systems. However, disentangling the different types and sources of uncertainty is non trivial for most datasets, especially…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-10 Gianni Franchi , Xuanlong Yu , Andrei Bursuc , Angel Tena , Rémi Kazmierczak , Séverine Dubuisson , Emanuel Aldea , David Filliat

In this work, we propose a novel prior learning method for advancing generalization and uncertainty estimation in deep neural networks. The key idea is to exploit scalable and structured posteriors of neural networks as informative priors…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Dominik Schnaus , Jongseok Lee , Daniel Cremers , Rudolph Triebel

Classification and segmentation are crucial in medical image analysis as they enable accurate diagnosis and disease monitoring. However, current methods often prioritize the mutual learning features and shared model parameters, while…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-03 Kai Ren , Ke Zou , Xianjie Liu , Yidi Chen , Xuedong Yuan , Xiaojing Shen , Meng Wang , Huazhu Fu

Popular approaches for quantifying predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks often involve distributions over weights or multiple models, for instance via Markov Chain sampling, ensembling, or Monte Carlo dropout. These techniques…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-08 Dennis Ulmer , Christian Hardmeier , Jes Frellsen

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is essential for ensuring the robustness of machine learning models by identifying samples that deviate from the training distribution. While traditional OOD detection has primarily focused on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-14 Shawn Li , Huixian Gong , Hao Dong , Tiankai Yang , Zhengzhong Tu , Yue Zhao

Assessing the quality of aleatoric uncertainty estimates from uncertainty quantification (UQ) deep learning methods is important in scientific contexts, where uncertainty is physically meaningful and important to characterize and interpret…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-14 Rebecca Nevin , Aleksandra Ćiprijanović , Brian D. Nord

Equations, particularly differential equations, are fundamental for understanding natural phenomena and predicting complex dynamics across various scientific and engineering disciplines. However, the governing equations for many complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Junfeng Chen , Kailiang Wu , Dongbin Xiu

Ensembling neural networks is an effective way to increase accuracy, and can often match the performance of individual larger models. This observation poses a natural question: given the choice between a deep ensemble and a single neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-14 Taiga Abe , E. Kelly Buchanan , Geoff Pleiss , Richard Zemel , John P. Cunningham

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Neural Network (NN) models provide potential to speed up the drug discovery process and reduce its failure rates. The success of NN models require uncertainty quantification (UQ) as drug discovery explores chemical space beyond the training…

Machine learning can significantly improve performance for decision-making under uncertainty across a wide range of domains. However, ensuring robustness guarantees requires well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, which can be difficult to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Christopher Yeh , Nicolas Christianson , Alan Wu , Adam Wierman , Yisong Yue

The Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is a hospital department where machine learning has the potential to provide valuable assistance in clinical decision making. Classical machine learning models usually only provide point-estimates and no…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-26 David Ruhe , Giovanni Cinà , Michele Tonutti , Daan de Bruin , Paul Elbers

The superior performance of some of today's state-of-the-art deep learning models is to some extent owed to extensive (self-)supervised contrastive pretraining on large-scale datasets. In contrastive learning, the network is presented with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-20 Shervin Ardeshir , Navid Azizan

OOD detection has become more pertinent with advances in network design and increased task complexity. Identifying which parts of the data a given network is misclassifying has become as valuable as the network's overall performance. We can…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Rishi Singhal , Srinath Srinivasan

Autonomous driving systems face the formidable challenge of navigating intricate and dynamic environments with uncertainty. This study presents a unified prediction and planning framework that concurrently models short-term aleatoric…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Wenbo Shao , Jiahui Xu , Zhong Cao , Hong Wang , Jun Li

In this paper, a simple heuristic is proposed for the design of uncertainty aware predictive controllers for nonlinear models involving uncertain parameters. The method relies on Machine Learning-based approximation of ideal deterministic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-05 Mazen Alamir

Deterministic neural networks (NNs) are increasingly being deployed in safety critical domains, where calibrated, robust, and efficient measures of uncertainty are crucial. In this paper, we propose a novel method for training non-Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Alexander Amini , Wilko Schwarting , Ava Soleimany , Daniela Rus

Measuring uncertainty is a promising technique for detecting adversarial examples, crafted inputs on which the model predicts an incorrect class with high confidence. But many measures of uncertainty exist, including predictive en- tropy…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-26 Lewis Smith , Yarin Gal

We extend Deep Deterministic Uncertainty (DDU), a method for uncertainty estimation using feature space densities, to semantic segmentation. DDU enables quantifying and disentangling epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty in a single forward…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-11-02 Jishnu Mukhoti , Joost van Amersfoort , Philip H. S. Torr , Yarin Gal
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