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Fitting a graphical model to a collection of random variables given sample observations is a challenging task if the observed variables are influenced by latent variables, which can induce significant confounding statistical dependencies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-20 Armeen Taeb , Parikshit Shah , Venkat Chandrasekaran

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

Random effect models are popular statistical models for detecting and correcting spurious sample correlations due to hidden confounders in genome-wide gene expression data. In applications where some confounding factors are known,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-08 Muhammad Ammar Malik , Tom Michoel

This paper studies quantitative deviation bounds for statistical ensembles evolving under the one-parameter flow of a nearly integrable Hamiltonian system. Combining Nekhoroshev-type stability estimates with phase-mixing arguments, we…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-02-23 Xinyu Liu , Yong Li

Products between phase-type distributed random variables and any independent, positive and continuous random variable are studied. Their asymptotic properties are established, and an expectation-maximization algorithm for their effective…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-25 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt , Jorge Yslas

Stochastic estimators are fundamental to large-scale optimization, where population quantities must be inferred from noisy oracle observations. Although influential methods such as momentum, SPIDER, STORM, and PAGE have been highly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Zhankun Luo , Antesh Upadhyay , M. Berk Sahin , Sang Bin Moon , Anuran Makur , Abolfazl Hashemi

We propose a simple stochastic process for modeling improper or noncircular complex-valued signals. The process is a natural extension of a complex-valued autoregressive process, extended to include a widely linear autoregressive term. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Jonathan M. Lilly

We propose a method for variable selection in multiple regression with random predictors. This method is based on a criterion that permits to reduce the variable selection problem to a problem of estimating suitable permutation and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-29 Alban Mbina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet , Assi Nguessan

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

A framework to boost the efficiency of Bayesian inference in probabilistic programs is introduced by embedding a sampler inside a variational posterior approximation. We call it the refined variational approximation. Its strength lies both…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-25 Victor Gallego , David Rios Insua

A fast Bayesian method that seamlessly fuses classification and hypothesis testing via discriminant analysis is developed. Building upon the original discriminant analysis classifier, modelling components are added to identify…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-28 Weichang Yu , John T. Ormerod , Michael Stewart

Accelerated proximal gradient methods have recently been developed for solving quasi-static incremental problems of elastoplastic analysis with some different yield criteria. It has been demonstrated through numerical experiments that these…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-11-13 Yoshihiro Kanno

Given a stream of Bernoulli random variables, consider the problem of estimating the mean of the random variable within a specified relative error with a specified probability of failure. Until now, the Gamma Bernoulli Approximation Scheme…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Mark Huber

We consider a class of stochastic gradient optimization schemes. Assuming that the objective function is strongly convex, we prove weak error estimates which are uniform in time for the error between the solution of the numerical scheme,…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-27 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Marc Dambrine , Nassim En-Nebbazi

We propose a single neural probabilistic model based on variational autoencoder that can be conditioned on an arbitrary subset of observed features and then sample the remaining features in "one shot". The features may be both real-valued…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-01 Oleg Ivanov , Michael Figurnov , Dmitry Vetrov

An initial-boundary value problem for the 1D self-adjoint parabolic equation on the half-axis is solved. We study a broad family of two-level finite-difference schemes with two parameters related to averagings both in time and space.…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-05 Alexander Zlotnik , Natalya Koltsova

The energy method can be used to identify well-posed initial boundary value problems for quasi-linear, symmetric hyperbolic partial differential equations with maximally dissipative boundary conditions. A similar analysis of the discrete…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Luis Lehner , David Neilsen , Oscar Reula , Manuel Tiglio

For a mixed stochastic differential equation involving standard Brownian motion and an almost surely H\"older continuous process $Z$ with H\"older exponent $\gamma>1/2$, we establish a new result on its unique solvability. We also establish…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-13 Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

How can we perform efficient inference and learning in directed probabilistic models, in the presence of continuous latent variables with intractable posterior distributions, and large datasets? We introduce a stochastic variational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-13 Diederik P Kingma , Max Welling

We deduce conditional $L_p$-estimates for the variation of a solution of a BSDE. Both quadratic and sub-quadratic types of BSDEs are considered, and using the theory of weighted bounded mean oscillation we deduce new tail estimates for the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-02 Stefan Geiss , Juha Ylinen
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