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We propose an end-to-end distributionally robust system for portfolio construction that integrates the asset return prediction model with a distributionally robust portfolio optimization model. We also show how to learn the risk-tolerance…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-06-13 Giorgio Costa , Garud N. Iyengar

When decisions are made at high frequency, traditional reinforcement learning (RL) methods struggle to accurately estimate action values. In turn, their performance is inconsistent and often poor. Whether the performance of distributional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-16 Harley Wiltzer , Marc G. Bellemare , David Meger , Patrick Shafto , Yash Jhaveri

Recent developments in offline reinforcement learning have uncovered the immense potential of diffusion modeling, which excels at representing heterogeneous behavior policies. However, sampling from diffusion policies is considerably slow…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-18 Huayu Chen , Cheng Lu , Zhengyi Wang , Hang Su , Jun Zhu

We use a decision-theoretic framework to study the problem of forecasting discrete outcomes when the forecaster is unable to discriminate among a set of plausible forecast distributions because of partial identification or concerns about…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-18 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

This paper studies Markov Decision Processes under parameter uncertainty. We adapt the distributionally robust optimization framework, and assume that the uncertain parameters are random variables following an unknown distribution, and…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-05-14 Pengqian Yu , Huan Xu

Recoverable robust optimization is a multi-stage approach, where it is possible to adjust a first-stage solution after the uncertain cost scenario is revealed. We analyze this approach for a class of selection problems. The aim is to choose…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-02-22 Marc Goerigk , Stefan Lendl , Lasse Wulf

Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

A rich line of recent work has studied distributionally robust learning approaches that seek to learn a hypothesis that performs well, in the worst-case, on many different distributions over a population. We argue that although the most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-10 Jabari Hastings , Christopher Jung , Charlotte Peale , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Trajectory optimization and model predictive control are essential techniques underpinning advanced robotic applications, ranging from autonomous driving to full-body humanoid control. State-of-the-art algorithms have focused on data-driven…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-15 Hany Abdulsamad , Tim Dorau , Boris Belousov , Jia-Jie Zhu , Jan Peters

We study a robust alternative to empirical risk minimization called distributionally robust learning (DRL), in which one learns to perform against an adversary who can choose the data distribution from a specified set of distributions. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-19 Charlie Frogner , Sebastian Claici , Edward Chien , Justin Solomon

Bayesian methods, distributionally robust optimization methods, and regularization methods are three pillars of trustworthy machine learning combating distributional uncertainty, e.g., the uncertainty of an empirical distribution compared…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Shixiong Wang , Haowei Wang

Distributionally robust offline reinforcement learning (RL), which seeks robust policy training against environment perturbation by modeling dynamics uncertainty, calls for function approximations when facing large state-action spaces.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-03 Zhishuai Liu , Pan Xu

Causal Abstraction (CA) theory provides a principled framework for relating causal models that describe the same system at different levels of granularity while ensuring interventional consistency between them. Recent methods for learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Yorgos Felekis , Theodoros Damoulas , Paris Giampouras

Wasserstein distributionally robust control (DRC) recently emerges as a principled paradigm for handling uncertainty in stochastic dynamical systems. However, it constructs data-driven ambiguity sets via uniform distribution shifts before…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-14 Jingyi Wu , Chao Ning , Yang Shi

Neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial examples and researchers have proposed many heuristic attack and defense mechanisms. We address this problem through the principled lens of distributionally robust optimization, which guarantees…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-04 Aman Sinha , Hongseok Namkoong , Riccardo Volpi , John Duchi

Reinforcement learning (RL) policies often fail under dynamics that differ from training, a gap not fully addressed by domain randomization or existing adversarial RL methods. Distributionally robust RL provides a formal remedy but still…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Mintae Kim , Koushil Sreenath

Logistic regression models are widely used in the social and behavioral sciences and in high-stakes domains, due to their simplicity and interpretability properties. At the same time, such domains are permeated by distribution shifts, where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Qingshi Sun , Nathan Justin , Andres Gomez , Phebe Vayanos

Training machine learning and statistical models often involves optimizing a data-driven risk criterion. The risk is usually computed with respect to the empirical data distribution, but this may result in poor and unstable out-of-sample…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-11 Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho

Robust federated learning aims to maintain reliable performance despite the presence of adversarial or misbehaving workers. While state-of-the-art (SOTA) robust distributed gradient descent (Robust-DGD) methods were proven theoretically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-12 Youssef Allouah , Rachid Guerraoui , Nirupam Gupta , Ahmed Jellouli , Geovani Rizk , John Stephan

Under data distributions which may be heavy-tailed, many stochastic gradient-based learning algorithms are driven by feedback queried at points with almost no performance guarantees on their own. Here we explore a modified "anytime…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-01 Matthew J. Holland