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Most real-world systems are affected by external disturbances, which may be impossible or costly to measure. For instance, when autonomous robots move in dusty environments, the perception of their sensors is disturbed. Moreover, uneven…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-11-01 Filip Surma , Anahita Jamshidnejad

Estimating predictive uncertainty is crucial for many computer vision tasks, from image classification to autonomous driving systems. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an sampling method for performing Bayesian inference. On the other hand,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-03 Diego Vergara , Sergio Hernández , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Felipe Jorquera

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We propose a robust data-driven model predictive control (MPC) scheme to control linear time-invariant (LTI) systems. The scheme uses an implicit model description based on behavioral systems theory and past measured trajectories. In…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-19 Julian Berberich , Johannes Köhler , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

Estimating uncertainty from deep neural networks is a widely used approach for detecting out-of-distribution (OoD) samples, which typically exhibit high predictive uncertainty. However, conventional methods such as Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-25 JinYoung Kim , DaeUng Jo , Kimin Yun , Jeonghyo Song , Youngjoon Yoo

Deep neural networks have significantly contributed to the success in predictive accuracy for classification tasks. However, they tend to make over-confident predictions in real-world settings, where domain shifting and out-of-distribution…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Yibo Hu , Latifur Khan

We present a model predictive control (MPC) framework for nonlinear stochastic systems that ensures safety guarantee with high probability. Unlike most existing stochastic MPC schemes, our method adopts a set-erosion that converts the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-16 Zishun Liu , Liqian Ma , Yongxin Chen

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a fundamental model for decision making under uncertainty. They exhibit non-deterministic choice as well as probabilistic uncertainty. Traditionally, verification algorithms assume exact knowledge of the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger , Patrick Wienhöft

Robustness analysis is very important in biology and neuroscience, to unravel behavioural patterns of systems that are conserved despite large parametric uncertainties. To make studies of probabilistic robustness more efficient and scalable…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-01-08 Uros Sutulovic , Daniele Proverbio , Rami Katz , Giulia Giordano

We present differentiable predictive control (DPC), a method for learning constrained neural control policies for linear systems with probabilistic performance guarantees. We employ automatic differentiation to obtain direct policy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-28 Jan Drgona , Aaron Tuor , Draguna Vrabie

This paper deals with the problem of formulating an adaptive Model Predictive Control strategy for constrained uncertain systems. We consider a linear system, in presence of bounded time varying additive uncertainty. The uncertainty is…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-13 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Marko Tanaskovic , Francesco Borrelli

The last decade's research in artificial intelligence had a significant impact on the advance of autonomous driving. Yet, safety remains a major concern when it comes to deploying such systems in high-risk environments. The objective of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-11-16 Charles Corbière

A set of novel approaches for estimating epistemic uncertainty in deep neural networks with a single forward pass has recently emerged as a valid alternative to Bayesian Neural Networks. On the premise of informative representations, these…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-07-06 Janis Postels , Mattia Segu , Tao Sun , Luca Sieber , Luc Van Gool , Fisher Yu , Federico Tombari

A large amount of recent research has the far-reaching goal of finding training methods for deep neural networks that can serve as alternatives to backpropagation (BP). A prominent example is predictive coding (PC), which is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Luca Pinchetti , Tommaso Salvatori , Yordan Yordanov , Beren Millidge , Yuhang Song , Thomas Lukasiewicz

As deep learning-based computer vision algorithms continue to advance the state of the art, their robustness to real-world data continues to be an issue, making it difficult to bring an algorithm from the lab to the real world.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Michael Smith , Frank Ferrie

Inference in discrete graphical models with variational methods is difficult because of the inability to re-parameterize gradients of the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO). Many sampling-based methods have been proposed for estimating these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-23 Andy Shih , Stefano Ermon

Many dynamical systems of interest are nonlinear, with examples in turbulence, epidemiology, neuroscience, and finance, making them difficult to control using linear approaches. Model predictive control (MPC) is a powerful model-based…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-08-31 Urban Fasel , Eurika Kaiser , J. Nathan Kutz , Bingni W. Brunton , Steven L. Brunton

Model Predictive Control (MPC) of an unknown system that is modelled by Gaussian Process (GP) techniques is studied in this paper. Using GP, the variances computed during the modelling and inference processes allow us to take model…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-12-06 Gang Cao , Edmund M-K Lai , Fakhrul Alam

Deep generative models (DGMs) for graphs achieve impressively high expressive power thanks to very efficient and scalable neural networks. However, these networks contain non-linearities that prevent analytical computation of many standard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Martin Rektoris , Milan Papež , Václav Šmídl , Tomáš Pevný

Neural Processes (NPs) are a popular class of approaches for meta-learning. Similar to Gaussian Processes (GPs), NPs define distributions over functions and can estimate uncertainty in their predictions. However, unlike GPs, NPs and their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-09 Tung Nguyen , Aditya Grover