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Several works have proposed Simplicity Bias (SB)---the tendency of standard training procedures such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) to find simple models---to justify why neural networks generalize well [Arpit et al. 2017, Nakkiran et…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-29 Harshay Shah , Kaustav Tamuly , Aditi Raghunathan , Prateek Jain , Praneeth Netrapalli

Neural networks are powerful function approximators with tremendous potential in learning complex distributions. However, they are prone to overfitting on spurious patterns. Bayesian inference provides a principled way to regularize neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Yanzhe Bekkemoen , Helge Langseth

Bayesian deep learning (BDL) is a promising approach to achieve well-calibrated predictions on distribution-shifted data. Nevertheless, there exists no large-scale survey that evaluates recent SOTA methods on diverse, realistic, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-26 Florian Seligmann , Philipp Becker , Michael Volpp , Gerhard Neumann

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have become a principal approach to alleviate overconfident predictions in deep learning, but they often suffer from scaling issues due to a large number of distribution parameters. In this paper, we discover…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-14 Shiye Lei , Zhuozhuo Tu , Leszek Rutkowski , Feng Zhou , Li Shen , Fengxiang He , Dacheng Tao

interpretable, and well understood models that are routinely employed even though, as is revealed through prior and posterior predictive checks, these can poorly characterise the spatial heterogeneity in the underlying process of interest.…

We study wide Bayesian neural networks focusing on the rare but statistically dominant fluctuations that govern posterior concentration, beyond Gaussian-process limits. Large-deviation theory provides explicit variational objectives-rate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Katerina Papagiannouli , Dario Trevisan , Giuseppe Pio Zitto

Learning a Bayesian network structure from data is an NP-hard problem and thus exact algorithms are feasible only for small data sets. Therefore, network structures for larger networks are usually learned with various heuristics. Another…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-10-19 Teppo Niinimaki , Pekka Parviainen

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently gained popularity due to their ability to quantify model uncertainty. However, specifying a prior for BNNs that captures relevant domain knowledge is often extremely challenging. In this work,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-22 Dylan Sam , Rattana Pukdee , Daniel P. Jeong , Yewon Byun , J. Zico Kolter

In singular models, the optimal set of parameters forms an analytic set with singularities and classical statistical inference cannot be applied to such models. This is significant for deep learning as neural networks are singular and thus…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Daniel Murfet , Susan Wei , Mingming Gong , Hui Li , Jesse Gell-Redman , Thomas Quella

Bayesian neural networks perform variational inference over the weights however calculation of the posterior distribution remains a challenge. Our work builds on variational inference techniques for bayesian neural networks using the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-23 Abhinav Sagar

Despite the popularism of Bayesian neural networks in recent years, its use is somewhat limited in complex and big data situations due to the computational cost associated with full posterior evaluations. Variational Bayes (VB) provides a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

We introduce a new method for learning Bayesian neural networks, treating them as a stack of multivariate Bayesian linear regression models. The main idea is to infer the layerwise posterior exactly if we know the target outputs of each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-20 Richard Kurle , Alexej Klushyn , Ralf Herbrich

Some machine learning applications require continual learning - where data comes in a sequence of datasets, each is used for training and then permanently discarded. From a Bayesian perspective, continual learning seems straightforward:…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-19 Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal

Uncertainty quantification is an important task in machine learning - a task in which standardneural networks (NNs) have traditionally not excelled. This can be a limitation for safety-critical applications, where uncertainty-aware methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Felix Fiedler , Sergio Lucia

Uncertainty quantification and robustness to distribution shifts are important goals in machine learning and artificial intelligence. Although Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) allow for uncertainty in the predictions to be assessed,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-23 Michele Caprio , Souradeep Dutta , Kuk Jin Jang , Vivian Lin , Radoslav Ivanov , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

Classical statistical inference and learning theory often fail to explain the success of modern neural networks. A key reason is that these models are non-identifiable (singular), violating core assumptions behind PAC bounds and asymptotic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Anish Lakkapragada

Grokking, the abrupt transition from memorization to generalisation after extended training, suggests the presence of competing solution basins with distinct statistical properties. We study this phenomenon through the lens of Singular…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Ben Cullen , Sergio Estan-Ruiz , Riya Danait , Jiayi Li

Approximate inference in Bayesian deep networks exhibits a dilemma of how to yield high fidelity posterior approximations while maintaining computational efficiency and scalability. We tackle this challenge by introducing a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-01 Son Nguyen , Duong Nguyen , Khai Nguyen , Khoat Than , Hung Bui , Nhat Ho

Recent works have demonstrated that neural networks exhibit extreme simplicity bias(SB). That is, they learn only the simplest features to solve a task at hand, even in the presence of other, more robust but more complex features. Due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-02 Depen Morwani , Jatin Batra , Prateek Jain , Praneeth Netrapalli

We propose a novel approach to sequential Bayesian inference based on variational Bayes (VB). The key insight is that, in the online setting, we do not need to add the KL term to regularize to the prior (which comes from the posterior at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-01 Matt Jones , Peter Chang , Kevin Murphy