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Many traditional methods for identifying changepoints can struggle in the presence of outliers, or when the noise is heavy-tailed. Often they will infer additional changepoints in order to fit the outliers. To overcome this problem, data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-12 Paul Fearnhead , Guillem Rigaill

Sequential change-point detection when the distribution parameters are unknown is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. When the post-change parameters are unknown, we consider a set of detection procedures based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-06 Yang Cao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

This paper describes a new approach for using changepoint detection (CPD) to estimate the starting and stopping times of a forced oscillation (FO) in measured power system data. As with a previous application of CPD to this problem, the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-10 Luke Dosiek , Akaash Karn , Frank Liu

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the distribution of a multi-dimensional time series, with limited computing power and memory. In this paper, we propose a new, simple method for model-free online change-point detection…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-02 Nicolas Keriven , Damien Garreau , Iacopo Poli

In this paper, we study the problem of multiple change-point detection for a univariate sequence under the epidemic setting, where the behavior of the sequence alternates between a common normal state and different epidemic states. This is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-07 Zifeng Zhao , Chun Yip Yau

The concept of homogeneity plays a critical role in statistics, both in its applications as well as its theory. Change point analysis is a statistical tool that aims to attain homogeneity within time series data. This is accomplished…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-19 Nicholas A. James , David S. Matteson

Changepoint detection identifies significant shifts in data sequences, making it important in areas like finance, genetics, and healthcare. The Optimal Partitioning algorithms efficiently detect these changes, using a penalty parameter to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Tung L Nguyen , Toby Hocking

Change point analysis is a statistical tool to identify homogeneity within time series data. We propose a pruning approach for approximate nonparametric estimation of multiple change points. This general purpose change point detection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-20 Wenyu Zhang , Nicholas James , David Matteson

We tackle the challenge of detecting multiple change points in large time series by optimising a penalised likelihood derived from exponential family models. Dynamic programming algorithms can solve this task exactly with at most quadratic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-14 Vincent Runge , Charles Truong , Simon Querné

Change-point detection, detecting an abrupt change in the data distribution from sequential data, is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. CUSUM is a popular statistical method for online change-point detection due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Tingnan Gong , Junghwan Lee , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

We suggest a novel procedure for online change point detection. Our approach expands an idea of maximizing a discrepancy measure between points from pre-change and post-change distributions. This leads to flexible algorithms suitable for…

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Change point estimation in its offline version is traditionally performed by optimizing over the data set of interest, by considering each data point as the true location parameter and computing a data fit criterion. Subsequently, the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-10 Zhiyuan Lu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change…

Inspired by graph-based methodologies, we introduce a novel graph-spanning algorithm designed to identify changes in both offline and online data across low to high dimensions. This versatile approach is applicable to Euclidean and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-09 Yang-Wen Sun , Katerina Papagiannouli , Vladimir Spokoiny

We propose a new, computationally efficient, sparsity adaptive changepoint estimator for detecting changes in unknown subsets of a high-dimensional data sequence. Assuming the data sequence is Gaussian, we prove that the new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Per August Jarval Moen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Tveten

This paper proposes an online, provably robust, and scalable Bayesian approach for changepoint detection. The resulting algorithm has key advantages over previous work: it provides provable robustness by leveraging the generalised Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-15 Matias Altamirano , François-Xavier Briol , Jeremias Knoblauch

We study online change point detection for multivariate inhomogeneous Poisson point process time series. This setting arises commonly in applications such as earthquake seismology, climate monitoring, and epidemic surveillance, yet remains…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Xiaokai Luo , Haotian Xu , Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla