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In contrast to problems of interference in (exogenous) treatments, models of interference in unit-specific (endogenous) outcomes do not usually produce a reduced-form representation where outcomes depend on other units' treatment status…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-17 Konrad Menzel

The bulk of causal inference studies rule out the presence of interference between units. However, in many real-world scenarios, units are interconnected by social, physical, or virtual ties, and the effect of the treatment can spill from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-03 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Costanza Tortù , Laura Forastiere

Causal processes in nature may contain cycles, and real datasets may violate causal sufficiency as well as contain selection bias. No constraint-based causal discovery algorithm can currently handle cycles, latent variables and selection…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-08 Eric V. Strobl

Counterfactuals are central in causal human reasoning and the scientific discovery process. The uplift, also called conditional average treatment effect, measures the causal effect of some action, or treatment, on the outcome of an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Théo Verhelst , Denis Mercier , Jeevan Shrestha , Gianluca Bontempi

Causal inference has recently garnered significant interest among recommender system (RS) researchers due to its ability to dissect cause-and-effect relationships and its broad applicability across multiple fields. It offers a framework to…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Huishi Luo , Fuzhen Zhuang , Ruobing Xie , Hengshu Zhu , Deqing Wang , Zhulin An , Yongjun Xu

In personalized marketing, uplift models estimate incremental effects by modeling how customer behavior changes under alternative treatments. However, real-world data often exhibit biases - such as selection bias, spillover effects, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Yuxuan Yang , Dugang Liu , Yiyan Huang

Estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATE) from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and generalizing them to broader populations is essential for personalizing treatment rules but is complicated by selection bias due to trial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Rikuta Hamaya , Etsuji Suzuki , Konan Hara

Individual Treatment Effects (ITE) estimation methods have risen in popularity in the last years. Most of the time, individual effects are better presented as Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATE). Recently, representation balancing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-30 Ayoub Abraich , Agathe Guilloux , Blaise Hanczar

In order to speed-up classification models when facing a large number of categories, one usual approach consists in organizing the categories in a particular structure, this structure being then used as a way to speed-up the prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-26 Aurélia Léon , Ludovic Denoyer

The adoption of the distributed paradigm has allowed applications to increase their scalability, robustness and fault tolerance, but it has also complicated their structure, leading to an exponential growth of the applications'…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2017-05-23 Ioannis Giannakopoulos , Dimitrios Tsoumakos , Nectarios Koziris

This paper explores the role of independence of causal influence (ICI) in Bayesian network inference. ICI allows one to factorize a conditional probability table into smaller pieces. We describe a method for exploiting the factorization in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Nevin Lianwen Zhang , Li Yan

Decision trees are widely used due to their interpretability and efficiency, but they struggle in regression tasks that require reliable extrapolation and well-calibrated uncertainty. Piecewise-constant leaf predictions are bounded by the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Viktor Andonovikj , Sašo Džeroski , Pavle Boškoski

This paper presents a topological learning-theoretic perspective on causal inference by introducing a series of topologies defined on general spaces of structural causal models (SCMs). As an illustration of the framework we prove a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-01 Duligur Ibeling , Thomas Icard

Recently, prompt tuning methods for pre-trained models have demonstrated promising performance in Class Incremental Learning (CIL). These methods typically involve learning task-specific prompts and predicting the task ID to select the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Qiwei Li , Jiahuan Zhou

Causal inference and the estimation of causal effects plays a central role in decision-making across many areas, including healthcare and economics. Estimating causal effects typically requires an estimator that is tailored to each problem…

Handling class imbalance remains a central challenge in machine learning, particularly in pattern recognition tasks where identifying rare but critical anomalies is of paramount importance. Traditional generative models often decouple data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Hanbeot Park , Yunjeong Cho , Hunhee Kim

Recommending the best course of action for an individual is a major application of individual-level causal effect estimation. This application is often needed in safety-critical domains such as healthcare, where estimating and communicating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Andrew Jesson , Sören Mindermann , Uri Shalit , Yarin Gal

Uplift modeling has been used effectively in fields such as marketing and customer retention, to target those customers who are more likely to respond due to the campaign or treatment. Essentially, it is a machine learning technique that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-10 Kun Li , Liangshu Zhu

The gold standard for discovering causal relations is by means of experimentation. Over the last decades, alternative methods have been proposed that can infer causal relations between variables from certain statistical patterns in purely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-21 Joris M. Mooij , Sara Magliacane , Tom Claassen

This paper develops a framework for identification, estimation, and inference on the causal mechanisms driving endogenous social network formation. Identification is challenging because of unobserved confounders and reverse causality;…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-21 Maximilian Kasy , Elizabeth Linos , Sanaz Mobasseri