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Observational studies are the primary source of data for causal inference, but it is challenging when existing unmeasured confounding. Missing data problems are also common in observational studies. How to obtain the causal effects from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-15 Renzhong Zheng

Inferring causal effects of a treatment, intervention or policy from observational data is central to many applications. However, state-of-the-art methods for causal inference seldom consider the possibility that covariates have missing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-26 Imke Mayer , Julie Josse , Félix Raimundo , Jean-Philippe Vert

Researchers are often interested in learning not only the effect of treatments on outcomes, but also the pathways through which these effects operate. A mediator is a variable that is affected by treatment and subsequently affects outcome.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-22 Jeremiah Jones , Ashkan Ertefaie , Robert L. Strawderman

A key objective of decomposition analysis is to identify a factor (the 'mediator') contributing to disparities in an outcome between social groups. In decomposition analysis, a scholarly interest often centers on estimating how much the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-27 Soojin Park , Suyeon Kang , Chioun Lee , Shujie Ma

As statistical classifiers become integrated into real-world applications, it is important to consider not only their accuracy but also their robustness to changes in the data distribution. In this paper, we consider the case where there is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-01-12 Virgile Landeiro , Aron Culotta

Many social and environmental phenomena are associated with macroscopic changes in the built environment, captured by satellite imagery on a global scale and with daily temporal resolution. While widely used for prediction, these images and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-25 Connor T. Jerzak , Ritwik Vashistha , Adel Daoud

Causal inference is difficult in the presence of unobserved confounders. We introduce the instrumented common confounding (ICC) approach to (nonparametrically) identify causal effects with instruments, which are exogenous only conditional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-20 Christian Tien

The fundamental problem in treatment effect estimation from observational data is confounder identification and balancing. Most of the previous methods realized confounder balancing by treating all observed pre-treatment variables as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-13 Anpeng Wu , Kun Kuang , Junkun Yuan , Bo Li , Runze Wu , Qiang Zhu , Yueting Zhuang , Fei Wu

In observational studies, potential unobserved confounding is a major barrier in isolating the average causal effect (ACE). In these scenarios, two main approaches are often used: confounder adjustment for causality (CAC) and instrumental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Roy S. Zawadzki , Daniel L. Gillen

Confounding matters in almost all observational studies that focus on causality. In order to eliminate bias caused by connfounders, oftentimes a substantial number of features need to be collected in the analysis. In this case, large p…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-30 Shinyuu Lee , Yuru Zhu

Time series forecasting is a critical task in various domains, where accurate predictions can drive informed decision-making. Traditional forecasting methods often rely on current observations of variables to predict future outcomes,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Wentao Gao , Xiaojing Du , Wenjun Yu , Xiongren Chen , Yifan Guo , Feiyu Yang

Causal inference from observational data often assumes "ignorability," that all confounders are observed. This assumption is standard yet untestable. However, many scientific studies involve multiple causes, different variables whose…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-16 Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

Performing causal inference in observational studies requires we assume confounding variables are correctly adjusted for. G-computation methods are often used in these scenarios, with several recent proposals using Bayesian versions of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-25 Daniel Daly-Grafstein , Paul Gustafson

Recent efforts have been very successful in accurately mapping welfare in datasparse regions of the world using satellite imagery and other non-traditional data sources. However, the literature to date has focused on predicting a particular…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-01-02 Anders Christensen , Joel Ferguson , Simón Ramírez Amaya

Inferring causal effects of continuous-valued treatments from observational data is a crucial task promising to better inform policy- and decision-makers. A critical assumption needed to identify these effects is that all confounding…

Identifying causal treatment (or exposure) effects in observational studies requires the data to satisfy the unconfoundedness assumption which is not testable using the observed data. With sensitivity analysis, one can determine how the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-31 Yang Ou , Lu Tang , Chung-Chou H. Chang

No unmeasured confounding is often assumed in estimating treatment effects in observational data when using approaches such as propensity scores and inverse probability weighting. However, in many such studies due to the limitation of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-08-06 Rong Huang , Ronghui Xu , Parambir S. Dulai

To estimate causal effects, analysts performing observational studies in health settings utilize several strategies to mitigate bias due to confounding by indication. There are two broad classes of approaches for these purposes: use of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-01 Roy S. Zawadzki , Joshua D. Grill , Daniel L. Gillen

Predictive algorithms inform consequential decisions in settings with selective labels: outcomes are observed only for units selected by past decision makers. This creates an identification problem under unobserved confounding -- when…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-07 Ashesh Rambachan , Amanda Coston , Edward Kennedy

Access to accurate, granular, and up-to-date poverty data is essential for humanitarian organizations to identify vulnerable areas for poverty alleviation efforts. Recent works have shown success in combining computer vision and satellite…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Chiara Ledesma , Oshean Lee Garonita , Lorenzo Jaime Flores , Isabelle Tingzon , Danielle Dalisay