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In order to integrate uncertainty estimates into deep time-series modelling, Kalman Filters (KFs) (Kalman et al., 1960) have been integrated with deep learning models, however, such approaches typically rely on approximate inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-20 Philipp Becker , Harit Pandya , Gregor Gebhardt , Cheng Zhao , James Taylor , Gerhard Neumann

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has achieved great successes in data assimilation in atmospheric and oceanic sciences, but its failure in convergence to the right filtering distribution precludes its use for uncertainty quantification. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-13 Peiyi Zhang , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

Accurate modeling and prediction of complex physical systems often rely on data assimilation techniques to correct errors inherent in model simulations. Traditional methods like the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) and its variants as well as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-12 Phillip Si , Peng Chen

Data assimilation (DA) integrates numerical model forecasts with observations to achieve the optimal state estimation. Ensemble-based methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), are widely used for state estimation for…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-25 Zhou Yao , Zhilin Li , Li Zhao , Zeng Liu , Zhaokuan Lu , Seungnam Kim , Guangyao Wang

A modification scheme to the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is introduced based on the concept of the unscented transform (Julier et al., 2000; Julier and Uhlmann, 2004), which therefore will be called the ensemble unscented Kalman filter…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-11-30 X. Luo , I. M. Moroz

Data assimilation techniques, such as ensemble Kalman filtering, have been shown to be a highly effective and efficient way to combine noisy data with a mathematical model to track and forecast dynamical systems. However, when dealing with…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-05-17 Stephen A Falconer , David J. B. Lloyd , Naratip Santitissadeekorn

A computationally efficient method for online joint state inference and dynamical model learning is presented. The dynamical model combines an a priori known, physically derived, state-space model with a radial basis function expansion…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-12 Anton Kullberg , Isaac Skog , Gustaf Hendeby

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state of the system is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-30 Omar Al Ghattas , Jiajun Bao , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) (Evensen, 2009) has proven effective in quantifying uncertainty in a number of challenging dynamic, state estimation, or data assimilation, problems such as weather forecasting and ocean modeling. In these…

State-of-the-art ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) algorithms require incorporating localization techniques to cope with the rank deficiency and the inherited spurious correlations in their error covariance matrices. Localization techniques…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-05 Boujemaa Ait-El-Fquih , Ibrahim Hoteit

In this work, we study the emergence of sparsity and multiway structures in second-order statistical characterizations of dynamical processes governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). We consider several state-of-the-art multiway…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-09 Yu Wang , Alfred Hero

Although data assimilation originates from control theory, the relationship between modern data assimilation methods in geoscience and model predictive control has not been extensively explored. In the present paper, I discuss that the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-10-21 Yohei Sawada

This paper presents methods for vehicle state estimation and prediction for autonomous driving. A roundabout is chosen to apply the methods and illustrate the results as autonomous vehicles have difficulty in handling roundabouts. State…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-26 Xinchen Li , Levent Guvenc , Bilin Aksun-Guvenc

Modern autonomous systems are purposed for many challenging scenarios, where agents will face unexpected events and complicated tasks. The presence of disturbance noise with control command and unknown inputs can negatively impact robot…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-09-22 Zida Wu , Zhaoliang Zheng , Ankur Mehta

Large-scale dynamic inverse problems are often ill-posed due to model complexity and the high dimensionality of the unknown parameters. Regularization is commonly employed to mitigate ill-posedness by incorporating prior information and…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-21 Aryeh Keating , Mirjeta Pasha

We propose a new type of the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), which uses the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) for covariance estimation from a very small ensemble with automatic tapering, and for a fast computation of the analysis ensemble by…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2011-08-01 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Volodymyr Y. Kondratenko

Data assimilation is a Bayesian inference process that obtains an enhanced understanding of a physical system of interest by fusing information from an inexact physics-based model, and from noisy sparse observations of reality. The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-03-12 Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu

Ensemble data assimilation methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are a key component of probabilistic weather forecasting. They represent the uncertainty in the initial conditions by an ensemble which incorporates information…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-17 Sylvain Robert , Daniel Leuenberger , Hans R. Künsch

The task of dynamic flow estimation is to construct an approximation of an evolving flow---and particularly, its response to disturbances---using measurements from available sensors. Building from previous work by Darakananda et al.~(Phys…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-05-19 Mathieu Le Provost , Jeff D. Eldredge

We study the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) algorithm for sequential data assimilation in a general situation, that is, for nonlinear forecast and measurement models with non-additive and non-Gaussian noises. Such applications traditionally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-17 Weixuan Li , W. Steven Rosenthal , Guang Lin