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Balancing computational efficiency with robust predictive performance is crucial in supervised learning, especially for critical applications. Standard deep learning models, while accurate and scalable, often lack probabilistic features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Conor Heins , Hao Wu , Dimitrije Markovic , Alexander Tschantz , Jeff Beck , Christopher Buckley

Partial Bayesian neural networks (pBNNs) have been shown to perform competitively with fully Bayesian neural networks while only having a subset of the parameters be stochastic. Using sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers as the inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell , Zheng Zhao

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) is a powerful framework for approximating complex posterior distributions, but training with the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence can be challenging due to high variance and bias in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-06 Tobias Pielok , Bernd Bischl , David Rügamer

We consider the problem of static Bayesian inference for partially observed Levy-process models. We develop a methodology which allows one to infer static parameters and some states of the process, without a bias from the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-01 Hamza Ruzayqat , Ajay Jasra

The recently developed Particle-based Variational Inference (ParVI) methods drive the empirical distribution of a set of \emph{fixed-weight} particles towards a given target distribution $\pi$ by iteratively updating particles' positions.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Chao Zhang , Zhijian Li , Hui Qian , Xin Du

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

Gradient boosting is a sequential ensemble method that fits a new weaker learner to pseudo residuals at each iteration. We propose Wasserstein gradient boosting, a novel extension of gradient boosting that fits a new weak learner to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-30 Takuo Matsubara

Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) is a general-purpose optimization-based sampling algorithm that has recently exploded in popularity, but is limited by two issues: it is known to produce biased samples, and it can be slow to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-20 Alex Leviyev , Joshua Chen , Yifei Wang , Omar Ghattas , Aaron Zimmerman

Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) is a deterministic particle inference algorithm that provides an efficient alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo. However, SVGD has been found to suffer from variance underestimation when the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-14 Xing Liu , Harrison Zhu , Jean-François Ton , George Wynne , Andrew Duncan

Bayesian learning is built on an assumption that the model space contains a true reflection of the data generating mechanism. This assumption is problematic, particularly in complex data environments. Here we present a Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-05 S. P. Lyddon , S. G. Walker , C. C. Holmes

Rare event simulation and rare event probability estimation are important tasks within the analysis of systems subject to uncertainty and randomness. Simultaneously, accurately estimating rare event probabilities is an inherently difficult…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-18 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Probabilistic state estimation is essential for robots navigating uncertain environments. Accurately and efficiently managing uncertainty in estimated states is key to robust robotic operation. However, nonlinearities in robotic platforms…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Min-Won Seo , Solmaz S. Kia

Traditional preamble detection algorithms have low accuracy in the grant-based random access scheme in massive machine-type communication (mMTC). We present a novel preamble detection algorithm based on Stein variational gradient descent…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-12 Xin Zhu , Hongyi Pan , Salih Atici , Ahmet Enis Cetin

Many optimization methods for training variational quantum algorithms are based on estimating gradients of the cost function. Due to the statistical nature of quantum measurements, this estimation requires many circuit evaluations, which is…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-10-14 Lennart Bittel , Jens Watty , Martin Kliesch

In this paper, we propose an infinite-dimensional version of the Stein variational gradient descent (iSVGD) method for solving Bayesian inverse problems. The method can generate approximate samples from posteriors efficiently. Based on the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-09 Junxiong Jia , Peijun Li , Deyu Meng

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is widely used for inferring functions from noisy data. GPR crucially relies on the choice of a kernel, which might be specified in terms of a collection of hyperparameters that must be chosen or learned.…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-06-16 P. Michael Kielstra , Michael Lindsey

Stochastic variational Bayes algorithms have become very popular in the machine learning literature, particularly in the context of nonparametric Bayesian inference. These algorithms replace the true but intractable posterior distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-04 Pedro Regueiro , Abel Rodríguez , Juan Sosa

Gradient-based iterative optimization methods are the workhorse of modern machine learning. They crucially rely on careful tuning of parameters like learning rate and momentum. However, one typically sets them using heuristic approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Dravyansh Sharma

We propose and analyze a Stein variational reduced basis method (SVRB) to solve large-scale PDE-constrained Bayesian inverse problems. To address the computational challenge of drawing numerous samples requiring expensive PDE solves from…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-02-26 Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

Particle-based Variational Inference (ParVI) methods approximate the target distribution by iteratively evolving finite weighted particle systems. Recent advances of ParVI methods reveal the benefits of accelerated position update…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Fangyikang Wang , Huminhao Zhu , Chao Zhang , Hanbin Zhao , Hui Qian