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相关论文: Conformal Prediction for Trustworthy Detection of …

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Deploying deep learning models in real-world certified systems requires the ability to provide confidence estimates that accurately reflect their uncertainty. In this paper, we demonstrate the use of the conformal prediction framework to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-21 Léo Andéol , Thomas Fel , Florence De Grancey , Luca Mossina

Conformal prediction has become increasingly popular for quantifying the uncertainty associated with machine learning models. Recent work in graph uncertainty quantification has built upon this approach for conformal graph prediction. The…

Conformal prediction is widely used to equip black-box machine learning models with uncertainty quantification, offering formal coverage guarantees under exchangeable data. However, these guarantees fail when faced with subpopulation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-10 Nien-Shao Wang , Duygu Nur Yaldiz , Yavuz Faruk Bakman , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy

Conformal prediction is a learning framework controlling prediction coverage of prediction sets, which can be built on any learning algorithm for point prediction. This work proposes a learning framework named conformal loss-controlling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-24 Di Wang , Ping Wang , Zhong Ji , Xiaojun Yang , Hongyue Li

Forecasting surgical instrument trajectories and predicting the next surgical action recently started to attract attention from the research community. Both these tasks are crucial for automation and assistance in endoscopy surgery. Given…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-13 Sara Sangalli , Gary Sarwin , Ertunc Erdil , Alessandro Carretta , Victor Staartjes , Carlo Serra , Ender Konukoglu

Quantifying a model's predictive uncertainty is essential for safety-critical applications such as autonomous driving. We consider quantifying such uncertainty for multi-object detection. In particular, we leverage conformal prediction to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-31 Alexander Timans , Christoph-Nikolas Straehle , Kaspar Sakmann , Eric Nalisnick

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

When deploying machine learning models in high-stakes robotics applications, the ability to detect unsafe situations is crucial. Early warning systems can provide alerts when an unsafe situation is imminent (in the absence of corrective…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-03 Rachel Luo , Shengjia Zhao , Jonathan Kuck , Boris Ivanovic , Silvio Savarese , Edward Schmerling , Marco Pavone

We are interested in predicting failures of cyber-physical systems during their operation. Particularly, we consider stochastic systems and signal temporal logic specifications, and we want to calculate the probability that the current…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-14 Lars Lindemann , Xin Qin , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , George J. Pappas

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free and model-agnostic uncertainty-quantification method that provides finite-sample prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. In this work, for the first time, we apply conformal-prediction to…

核理论 · 物理学 2026-02-02 Habib Yousefi Dezdarani , Ryan Curry , Alexandros Gezerlis

Railway systems require regular manual maintenance, a large part of which is dedicated to inspecting track deformation. Such deformation might severely impact trains' runtime security, whereas such inspections remain costly for both finance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-11 Yutao Chen , Yu Zhang , Fei Yang

This paper presents a new conformal method for generating simultaneous forecasting bands guaranteed to cover the entire path of a new random trajectory with sufficiently high probability. Prompted by the need for dependable uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-16 Yanfei Zhou , Lars Lindemann , Matteo Sesia

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

As large language models continue to be widely developed, robust uncertainty quantification techniques will become crucial for their safe deployment in high-stakes scenarios. In this work, we explore how conformal prediction can be used to…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-07-11 Bhawesh Kumar , Charlie Lu , Gauri Gupta , Anil Palepu , David Bellamy , Ramesh Raskar , Andrew Beam

Conformal prediction has recently emerged as a promising strategy for quantifying the uncertainty of a predictive model; these algorithms modify the model to output sets of labels that are guaranteed to contain the true label with high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Botong Zhang , Shuo Li , Osbert Bastani

The black box nature of deep learning models complicate their usage in critical applications such as remote sensing. Conformal prediction is a method to ensure trust in such scenarios. Subject to data exchangeability, conformal prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Protim Bhattacharjee , Peter Jung

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

We explore the use of conformal prediction to provide statistical uncertainty guarantees for runway detection in vision-based landing systems (VLS). Using fine-tuned YOLOv5 and YOLOv6 models on aerial imagery, we apply conformal prediction…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-23 Alya Zouzou , Léo andéol , Mélanie Ducoffe , Ryma Boumazouza

The interest in using reinforcement learning (RL) controllers in safety-critical applications such as robot navigation around pedestrians motivates the development of additional safety mechanisms. Running RL-enabled systems among uncertain…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-12-08 Kegan J. Strawn , Nora Ayanian , Lars Lindemann
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