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Tight bounds for several symmetric divergence measures are introduced, given in terms of the total variation distance. Each of these bounds is attained by a pair of 2 or 3-element probability distributions. An application of these bounds…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Igal Sason

The process of software defect prediction (SDP) involves predicting which software system modules or components pose the highest risk of being defective. The projections and discernments derived from SDP can then assist the software…

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal model (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or nonlinearity.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-06 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Contrastive self-supervised learning (SSL) learns an embedding space that maps similar data pairs closer and dissimilar data pairs farther apart. Despite its success, one issue has been overlooked: the fairness aspect of representations…

Conditional differential entropy provides an intuitive measure for relatively ranking time-series complexity by quantifying uncertainty in future observations given past context. However, its direct computation for high-dimensional…

We introduce Conformal Interquantile Regression (CIR), a conformal regression method that efficiently constructs near-minimal prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. CIR leverages black-box machine learning models to estimate outcome…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Naixin Guo , Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

The discovery of discriminatory bias in human or automated decision making is a task of increasing importance and difficulty, exacerbated by the pervasive use of machine learning and data mining. Currently, discrimination discovery largely…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-11-05 Bilal Qureshi , Faisal Kamiran , Asim Karim , Salvatore Ruggieri , Dino Pedreschi

In this paper we introduce the notions of statistical convergence and statistical Cauchyness of sequences in a metric-like space. We study some basic properties of these notions

一般拓扑 · 数学 2024-07-11 Prasanta Malik , Saikat Das

Conditional contrastive learning frameworks consider the conditional sampling procedure that constructs positive or negative data pairs conditioned on specific variables. Fair contrastive learning constructs negative pairs, for example,…

Time series data, spanning applications ranging from climatology to finance to healthcare, presents significant challenges in data mining due to its size and complexity. One open issue lies in time series clustering, which is crucial for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-07 Jorge Marco-Blanco , Rubén Cuevas

Neural Controlled Differential Equations (NCDEs) are a state-of-the-art tool for supervised learning with irregularly sampled time series (Kidger, 2020). However, no theoretical analysis of their performance has been provided yet, and it…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Linus Bleistein , Agathe Guilloux

This paper investigates change point inference in high-dimensional time series. We begin by introducing a max-$L_2$-norm based test procedure, which demonstrates strong performance under dense alternatives. We then establish the asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Xiaoyi Wang , Jixuan Liu , Long Feng

The two most commonly used criteria for assessing causal model discovery with artificial data are edit-distance and Kullback-Leibler divergence, measured from the true model to the learned model. Both of these metrics maximally reward the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-12 Rodney T. O'Donnell , Kevin B. Korb , Lloyd Allison

Trustworthy decision making in networked, dynamic environments calls for innovative uncertainty quantification substrates in predictive models for graph time series. Existing conformal prediction (CP) methods have been applied separately to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Sonakshi Dua , Gonzalo Mateos , Sundeep Prabhakar Chepuri

Uncertainty quantification in time series prediction is challenging due to the temporal dependence and distribution shift on sequential data. Conformal inference provides a pivotal and flexible instrument for assessing the uncertainty of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Junxi Wu , Dongjian Hu , Yajie Bao , Shu-Tao Xia , Changliang Zou

Score-based diffusion models have demonstrated outstanding empirical performance in machine learning and artificial intelligence, particularly in generating high-quality new samples from complex probability distributions. Improving the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-30 Yuchen Jiao , Gen Li

Despite the success of deep neural network (DNN) on sequential data (i.e., scene text and speech) recognition, it suffers from the over-confidence problem mainly due to overfitting in training with the cross-entropy loss, which may make the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-03-14 Shuangping Huang , Yu Luo , Zhenzhou Zhuang , Jin-Gang Yu , Mengchao He , Yongpan Wang

A time series is a sequence of data items; typical examples are videos, stock ticker data, or streams of temperature measurements. Quite some research has been devoted to comparing and indexing simple time series, i.e., time series where…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2018-06-04 Jörg P. Bachmann , Johann-Christoph Freytag , Benjamin Hauskeller , Nicole Schweikardt

We present a general refinement of the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality over complete inner product spaces and show that it can be of interest for some statistical applications. This generalizes and simplifies previous results on the same subject.

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-10 Sergio Scarlatti

Dirichlet process mixtures are flexible non-parametric models, particularly suited to density estimation and probabilistic clustering. In this work we study the posterior distribution induced by Dirichlet process mixtures as the sample size…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-29 Filippo Ascolani , Antonio Lijoi , Giovanni Rebaudo , Giacomo Zanella