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Understanding patterns in mortality across subpopulations is essential for local health policy decision making. One of the key challenges of subnational mortality rate estimation is the presence of small populations and zero or near zero…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Ameer Dharamshi , Monica Alexander , Celeste Winant , Magali Barbieri

We consider a compositional data analysis approach to forecasting the age distribution of death counts. Using the age-specific period life-table death counts in Australia obtained from the Human Mortality Database, the compositional data…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

Many existing mortality models follow the framework of classical factor models, such as the Lee-Carter model and its variants. Latent common factors in factor models are defined as time-related mortality indices (such as $\kappa_t$ in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-04 Lingyu He , Fei Huang , Jianjie Shi , Yanrong Yang

This paper studies a regression model with functional dependent and explanatory variables, both of which exhibit nonstationary dynamics. The model assumes that the nonstationary stochastic trends of the dependent variable are explained by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Kyungsik Nam , Won-Ki Seo

In a regression analysis, suppose we suspect that there are several heterogeneous groups in the population that a sample represents. Mixture regression models have been applied to address such problems. By modeling the conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-07-02 Toshiya Hoshikawa

Modern-day problems in statistics often face the challenge of exploring and analyzing complex non-Euclidean object data that do not conform to vector space structures or operations. Examples of such data objects include covariance matrices,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Satarupa Bhattacharjee , Hans-Georg Mueller

Individual-specific, time-constant, random effects are often used to model dependence and/or to account for omitted covariates in regression models for longitudinal responses. Longitudinal studies have known a huge and widespread use in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Marco Alfo' , Roberto Rocci

Competing risk models are survival models with several events of interest acting in competition and whose occurrence is only observed for the event that occurs first in time. This paper presents a Bayesian approach to these models in which…

Real-time monitoring in modern medical research introduces functional longitudinal data, characterized by continuous-time measurements of outcomes, treatments, and confounders. This complexity leads to uncountably infinite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-15 Andrew Ying

Methods utilizing instrumental variables have been a fundamental statistical approach to estimation in the presence of unmeasured confounding, usually occurring in non-randomized observational data common to fields such as economics and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-06 Charles Spanbauer , Wei Pan

There have been significant efforts devoted to solving the longevity risk given that a continuous growth in population ageing has become a severe issue for many developed countries over the past few decades. The Cairns-Blake-Dowd (CBD)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Quantile regression is useful for characterizing the conditional distribution of a response variable and understanding heterogeneity in the covariate effects at different quantiles. The rise of high-dimensional physiological data in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Yuanzhen Yue , Stella Self , Yichao Wu , Jiajia Zhang , Rahul Ghosal

Multivariate functional data present theoretical and practical complications which are not found in univariate functional data. One of these is a situation where the component functions of multivariate functional data are positive and are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-09 Cody Carroll , Hans-Georg Müller

This article develops flexible methodology to study the association between scalar outcomes and functional predictors observed over time, at many instances, in longitudinal studies. We propose a parsimonious modeling framework to study…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-01-25 Md Nazmul Islam , Ana-Maria Staicu , Eric van Heugten

Like density functions, period life-table death counts are nonnegative and have a constrained integral, and thus live in a constrained nonlinear space. Implementing established modelling and forecasting methods without obeying these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-02 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

Regression with compositional response or covariates, or even regression between parts of a composition, is frequently employed in social sciences. Among other possible applications, it may help to reveal interesting features in time…

This paper addresses the prediction of stationary functional time series. Existing contributions to this problem have largely focused on the special case of first-order functional autoregressive processes because of their technical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-01 Alexander Aue , Diogo Dubart Norinho , Siegfried Hörmann

We propose a novel approximate factor model tailored for analyzing time-dependent curve data. Our model decomposes such data into two distinct components: a low-dimensional predictable factor component and an unpredictable error term. These…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-26 Sven Otto , Nazarii Salish

Cohort effects are important factors in determining the evolution of human mortality for certain countries. Extensions of dynamic mortality models with cohort features have been proposed in the literature to account for these factors under…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-02-20 Man Chung Fung , Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Statistical analysis of high-dimensional functional times series arises in various applications. Under this scenario, in addition to the intrinsic infinite-dimensionality of functional data, the number of functional variables can grow with…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-14 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao