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Solar flare prediction plays an important role in understanding and forecasting space weather. The main goal of the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI), one of the instruments on NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory, is to study the origin…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2021-09-08 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang , Yang Nie , Chang Liu , Haimin Wang

Current operational forecasts of solar eruptions are made by human experts using a combination of qualitative shape-based classification systems and historical data about flaring frequencies. In the past decade, there has been a great deal…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-06-02 V. Deshmukh , T. E. Berger , E. Bradley , J. D. Meiss

A deep learning model is often considered a black-box model, as its internal workings tend to be opaque to the user. Because of the lack of transparency, it is challenging to understand the reasoning behind the model's predictions. Here, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-25 Adam O. Rawashdeh , Jason T. L. Wang , Katherine G. Herbert

In this paper, we consider incorporating data associated with the sun's north and south polar field strengths to improve solar flare prediction performance using machine learning models. When used to supplement local data from active…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-12-06 Mehmet Aktukmak , Zeyu Sun , Monica Bobra , Tamas Gombosi , Ward B. Manchester , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero

We attempt to forecast M-and X-class solar flares using a machine-learning algorithm, called Support Vector Machine (SVM), and four years of data from the Solar Dynamics Observatory's Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager, the first instrument…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-01-09 Monica G. Bobra , Sebastien Couvidat

Solar flares are among the most powerful and dynamic events in the solar system, resulting from the sudden release of magnetic energy stored in the Sun's atmosphere. These energetic bursts of electromagnetic radiation can release up to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-05-07 Julia Bringewald

We study the predictive capabilities of magnetic feature properties (MF) generated by Solar Monitor Active Region Tracker (SMART) for solar flare forecasting from two datasets: the full dataset of SMART detections from 1996 to 2010 that has…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-12-07 Katarina Domijan , D. Shaun Bloomfield , Francois Pitie

Flares are a well-studied aspect of the Sun's magnetic activity. Detecting and classifying solar flares can inform the analysis of contamination caused by stellar flares in exoplanet transmission spectra. In this paper, we present a…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-06-25 Nicole Hao , Laura Flagg , Ray Jayawardhana

Based on several magnetic nonpotentiality parameters obtained from the vector photospheric active region magnetograms obtained with the Solar Magnetic Field Telescope at the Huairou Solar Observing Station over two solar cycles, a machine…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-08-29 Xiao Yang , GangHua Lin , HongQi Zhang , XinJie Mao

Solar flares are events of intense scientific interest. Although certain solar conditions are known to be associated with flare activity, the exact location and timing of an individual flare on the Sun cannot as yet be predicted with…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-11-03 Andrew R. Inglis , Jack Ireland , Albert Y. Shih , Steven D. Christe

We apply multi-algorithm machine learning models to TESS 2-minute survey data from Sectors 1-72 to identify stellar flares. Models trained with Deep Neural Network, Random Forest, and XGBoost algorithms, respectively, utilized four flare…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-10-24 Chia-Lung Lin , Daniel Apai , Mark S. Giampapa , Wing-Huen Ip

Infrared (IR) spectroscopy is a pivotal analytical tool as it provides real-time molecular insight into material structures and enables the observation of reaction intermediates in situ. However, interpreting IR spectra often requires…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-06-17 Nitik Bhatia , Patrick Rinke , Ondrej Krejci

Solar flares are explosions in the solar atmosphere that release intense bursts of short-wavelength radiation and are capable of producing severe space-weather consequences. Flares release free energy built up in coronal fields, which are…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-08-05 Shamik Bhattacharjee , Rasha Alshehhi , Dattaraj B. Dhuri , Shravan M. Hanasoge

Current post-processing techniques for the correction of atmospheric seeing in solar observations -- such as Speckle interferometry and Phase Diversity methods -- have limitations when it comes to their reconstructive capabilities of solar…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-09 John A. Armstrong , Lyndsay Fletcher

Space weather events may cause damage to several fields, including aviation, satellites, oil and gas industries, and electrical systems, leading to economic and commercial losses. Solar flares are one of the most significant events, and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-06-25 T. Cinto , A. L. S. Gradvohl , G. P. Coelho , A. E. A. da Silva

With the availability of large databases and recent improvements in deep learning methodology, the performance of AI systems is reaching or even exceeding the human level on an increasing number of complex tasks. Impressive examples of this…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-08-29 Wojciech Samek , Thomas Wiegand , Klaus-Robert Müller

We consider the flare prediction problem that distinguishes flare-imminent active regions that produce an M- or X-class flare in the future 24 hours, from quiet active regions that do not produce any flare within $\pm 24$ hours. Using…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-06-15 Zeyu Sun , Monica G. Bobra , Xiantong Wang , Yu Wang , Hu Sun , Tamas Gombosi , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero

In order to efficiently analyse the vast amount of data generated by solar space missions and ground-base instruments, modern machine learning techniques such as decision trees, support vector machines (SVMs) and neural networks can be very…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-05-28 Teri Love , Thomas Neukirch , Clare E. Parnell

Long-term \textit{Fermi}-LAT monitoring makes it possible to ask whether a blazar light curve shows signs of an upcoming flare before the flare becomes obvious in the $\gamma$-ray emission. We present a strictly causal machine-learning…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2026-05-11 Zahir Shah , Sikandar Akbar

Solar flares, as one of the most prominent manifestations of solar activity, have a profound impact on both the Earth's space environment and human activities. As a result, accurate solar flare prediction has emerged as a central topic in…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-31 Mingfu Shao , Suo Liu , Haiqing Xu , Peng Jia , Hui Wang , Liyue Tong , Yang Bai , Chen Yang , Yuyang Li , Nan Li , Jiaben Lin