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Bayesian methods and their implementations by means of sophisticated Monte Carlo techniques have become very popular in signal processing over the last years. Importance Sampling (IS) is a well-known Monte Carlo technique that approximates…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , G. Camps-Valls

Importance sampling (IS) is a powerful Monte Carlo methodology for the approximation of intractable integrals, very often involving a target probability density function. The performance of IS heavily depends on the appropriate selection of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Víctor Elvira , Emilie Chouzenoux , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Luca Martino

We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-20 Seonghyun Jeong , Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, such as the particle filter, are by now one of the standard computational techniques for addressing the filtering problem in general state-space models. However, many applications require…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-20 Fredrik Lindsten , Pete Bunch , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön , Simon J. Godsill

The Gibbs sampler (GS) is a crucial algorithm for approximating complex calculations, and it is justified by Markov chain theory, the alternating projection theorem, and $I$-projection, separately. We explore the equivalence between these…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-10-15 Kun-Lin Kuo , Yuchung J. Wang

In state space models, smoothing refers to the task of estimating a latent stochastic process given noisy measurements related to the process. We propose an unbiased estimator of smoothing expectations. The lack-of-bias property has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-07 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

The challenging problem of conducting fully Bayesian inference for the reaction rate constants governing stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) is considered. Given the challenges underlying this problem, the Markov jump process representation is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-01-10 Andrew Golightly , Emma Bradley , Tom Lowe , Colin S. Gillespie

In this paper, we propose a Model-Based Reinforcement Learning (MBRL) algorithm for Partially Measurable Systems (PMS), i.e., systems where the state can not be directly measured, but must be estimated through proper state observers. The…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-01-22 Fabio Amadio , Alberto Dalla Libera , Ruggero Carli , Daniel Nikovski , Diego Romeres

An Automated Sliced Gibbs framework is proposed for fully automated Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling from arbitrary finite dimensional probability kernels. The method targets unnormalized, non-smooth, heavy tailed, and highly multimodal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Prithwish Ghosh , Sujit K Ghosh

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

We introduce the modified planar rotator method (MPRS), a physically inspired machine learning method for spatial/temporal regression. MPRS is a non-parametric model which incorporates spatial or temporal correlations via short-range,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-11 Milan Žukovič , Dionissios T. Hristopulos

We propose a machine learning framework for parameter estimation of single mode Gaussian quantum states. Under a Bayesian framework, our approach estimates parameters of suitable prior distributions from measured data. For phase-space…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-08-16 Neel Kanth Kundu , Matthew R. McKay , Ranjan K. Mallik

Data assimilation methods aim at estimating the state of a system by combining observations with a physical model. When sequential data assimilation is considered, the joint distribution of the latent state and the observations is described…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-23 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Pierre Tandeo

We show that a probabilistic version of the classical forward-stepwise variable inclusion procedure can serve as a general data-augmentation scheme for model space distributions in (generalized) linear models. This latent variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-23 Li Ma

Multi-type Markov point processes offer a flexible framework for modelling complex multi-type point patterns where it is pertinent to capture both interactions between points as well as large scale trends depending on observed covariates.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-15 Ib Thorsgaard Jensen , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rasmus Waagepetersen

It has been widely documented that the sampling and resampling steps in particle filters cannot be differentiated. The {\itshape reparameterisation trick} was introduced to allow the sampling step to be reformulated into a differentiable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-10 Conor Rosato , Vincent Beraud , Paul Horridge , Thomas B. Schön , Simon Maskell

Multiple generalized additive models (GAMs) are a type of distributional regression wherein parameters of probability distributions depend on predictors through smooth functions, with selection of the degree of smoothness via $L_2$…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-26 Yousra El-Bachir , Anthony C. Davison

Bayesian methods and their implementations by means of sophisticated Monte Carlo techniques, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filters, have become very popular in signal processing over the last years. However, in many…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-05-29 Luca Martino , Joaquin Miguez

The Bayesian estimation of the unknown parameters of state-space (dynamical) systems has received considerable attention over the past decade, with a handful of powerful algorithms being introduced. In this paper we tackle the theoretical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-13 Joaquin Miguez , Ines P. Mariño , Manuel A. Vazquez

Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Haipeng Chen , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong , Xu Huang