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Causal Inference offers a fundamental approach for advancing empirical software engineering (ESE) beyond traditional statistical association, enabling researchers to rigorously identify and quantify causal relationships in software…

Driven by recent successes in two-player, zero-sum game solving and playing, artificial intelligence work on games has increasingly focused on algorithms that produce equilibrium-based strategies. However, this approach has been less…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-06-24 Dustin Morrill , Ryan D'Orazio , Reca Sarfati , Marc Lanctot , James R. Wright , Amy Greenwald , Michael Bowling

Latent confounders---unobserved variables that influence both treatment and outcome---can bias estimates of causal effects. In some cases, these confounders are shared across observations, e.g. all students taking a course are influenced by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-15 Sam Witty , Kenta Takatsu , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

Causal graph recovery is traditionally done using statistical estimation-based methods or based on individual's knowledge about variables of interests. They often suffer from data collection biases and limitations of individuals' knowledge.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Yuzhe Zhang , Yipeng Zhang , Yidong Gan , Lina Yao , Chen Wang

Inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) aims to infer a reward from expert demonstrations, motivated by the idea that the reward, rather than the policy, is the most succinct and transferable description of a task [Ng et al., 2000]. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-05 Andreas Schlaginhaufen , Maryam Kamgarpour

Healthcare decision-making requires not only accurate predictions but also insights into how factors influence patient outcomes. While traditional Machine Learning (ML) models excel at predicting outcomes, such as identifying high risk…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Sheresh Zahoor , Pietro Liò , Gaël Dias , Mohammed Hasanuzzaman

Causal inference from observational data requires assumptions. These assumptions range from measuring confounders to identifying instruments. Traditionally, causal inference assumptions have focused on estimation of effects for a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-04 Rajesh Ranganath , Adler Perotte

The primary analysis for longitudinal randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often compares treatment groups at the last timepoint, referred to as the landmark time. Assuming data are normally distributed and missing at random, the mixed model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Guangyong Zou , Shi-Fang Qui , Joshua Zou , Emma Davies Smith , Yun-Hee Choi , Yuhan Bi

We derive a policy gradient theorem for Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) objectives in finite-horizon Reinforcement Learning (RL), generalizing the standard policy gradient theorem and encompassing distortion-based risk objectives as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Olivier Lepel , Anas Barakat

Many reinforcement learning (RL) environments consist of independent entities that interact sparsely. In such environments, RL agents have only limited influence over other entities in any particular situation. Our idea in this work is that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Maximilian Seitzer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Georg Martius

We are interested in learning causal relationships between pairs of random variables, purely from observational data. To effectively address this task, the state-of-the-art relies on strong assumptions regarding the mechanisms mapping…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-09-16 David Lopez-Paz , Krikamol Muandet , Benjamin Recht

The chiral phase transition in the conventional random matrix model is the second order in the chiral limit, irrespective of the number of flavors N_f, because it lacks the U_A(1)-breaking determinant interaction term. Furthermore, it…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2010-01-21 Hirotsugu Fujii , Munehisa Ohtani , Takashi Sano

In causal inference, the joint law of a set of counterfactual random variables is generally not identified. We show that a conservative version of the joint law - corresponding to the smallest treatment effect - is identified. Finding this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-20 Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Edward Kennedy , Larry Wasserman

Trajectory prediction is of significant importance in computer vision. Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction benefits autonomous vehicles and robots in planning their motion. Pedestrians' trajectories are greatly influenced by their…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Pengqian Han , Jiamou Liu , Jialing He , Zeyu Zhang , Song Yang , Yanni Tang

We consider the problem of inferring an unknown ranking of $n$ items from a random tournament on $n$ vertices whose edge directions are correlated with the ranking. We establish, in terms of the strength of these correlations, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-24 Dmitriy Kunisky , Daniel A. Spielman , Xifan Yu

Existing deep multi-object tracking (MOT) approaches first learn a deep representation to describe target objects and then associate detection results by optimizing a linear assignment problem. Despite demonstrated successes, it is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-07-30 Jun Xiang , Ma Chao , Guohan Xu , Jianhua Hou

Causal processes in nature may contain cycles, and real datasets may violate causal sufficiency as well as contain selection bias. No constraint-based causal discovery algorithm can currently handle cycles, latent variables and selection…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-08 Eric V. Strobl

A fundamental goal of scientific research is to learn about causal relationships. However, despite its critical role in the life and social sciences, causality has not had the same importance in Natural Language Processing (NLP), which has…

Causality lays the foundation for the trajectory of our world. Causal inference (CI), which aims to infer intrinsic causal relations among variables of interest, has emerged as a crucial research topic. Nevertheless, the lack of observation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Yaochen Zhu , Yinhan He , Jing Ma , Mengxuan Hu , Sheng Li , Jundong Li

Discovering causal structure among a set of variables is a fundamental problem in many empirical sciences. Traditional score-based casual discovery methods rely on various local heuristics to search for a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Shengyu Zhu , Ignavier Ng , Zhitang Chen
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