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Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

In this article, we primarily propose a novel Bayesian characterization of stationary and nonstationary stochastic processes. In practice, this theory aims to distinguish between global stationarity and nonstationarity for both parametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-04 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

When monitoring the dynamics of stochastic systems, such as interacting particles agitated by thermal noise, disentangling deterministic forces from Brownian motion is challenging. Indeed, we show that there is an information-theoretic…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2020-04-16 Anna Frishman , Pierre Ronceray

We devise a method to detect and estimate forces in a heterogeneous environment based on experimentally recorded stochastic trajectories. In particular, we focus on systems modeled by the heterogeneous overdamped Langevin equation. Here,…

Since forced oscillations are exogenous to dynamic power system models, the models by themselves cannot predict when or where a forced oscillation will occur. Locating the sources of these oscillations, therefore, is a challenging problem…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-10-31 Samuel Chevalier , Petr Vorobev , Konstantin Turitsyn

Stationary points embedded in the derivatives are often critical for a model to be interpretable and may be considered as key features of interest in many applications. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian model to efficiently infer the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-11 Cheng-Han Yu , Meng Li , Colin Noe , Simon Fischer-Baum , Marina Vannucci

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

This work presents the estimation of the parameters of an experimental setup, which is modeled as a system with three degrees of freedom, composed by a shaft, two rotors, and a DC motor, that emulates a drilling process. A Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-29 Mario Germán Sandoval , Americo Cunha , Rubens Sampaio

We address the problem of estimating the uncertainty in the solution of power grid inverse problems within the framework of Bayesian inference. We investigate two approaches, an adjoint-based method and a stochastic spectral method. These…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-02-15 Noemi Petra , Cosmin G. Petra , Zheng Zhang , Emil M. Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Exposure assessment models are deterministic models derived from physical-chemical laws. In real workplace settings, chemical concentration measurements can be noisy and indirectly measured. In addition, inference on important parameters…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-07-09 Nada Abdalla , Sudipto Banerjee , Gurumurthy Ramachandran , Susan Arnold

Dynamical systems modeling, particularly via systems of ordinary differential equations, has been used to effectively capture the temporal behavior of different biochemical components in signal transduction networks. Despite the recent…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-01-06 Nathaniel J. Linden , Boris Kramer , Padmini Rangamani

We investigate the lifetime of dynamical regimes under the impact of noise motivated by low-dimensional models of the atmosphere. One may expect that the inclusion of noise tends to make the system leave prescribed regions of the state…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-01 Henry Schoeller , Robin Chemnitz , Péter Koltai , Maximilian Engel , Stephan Pfahl

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Accurate acoustic simulations of enclosed spaces require precise boundary conditions, typically expressed through surface impedances for wave-based methods. Conventional measurement techniques often rely on simplifying assumptions about the…

声音 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Jonas M. Schmid , Johannes D. Schmid , Martin Eser , Steffen Marburg

In this study, we estimate parameters in stochastic oscillatory systems by developing a novel cost function. This function incorporates power spectral density, analytic signal, and position crossings, each weighted to capture distinct…

计算物理 · 物理学 2026-04-02 Joseph M. Marcinik , Dzmitry Vaido , Dolores Bozovic

The parameterization method (PM) provides a broad theoretical and numerical foundation for computing invariant manifolds of dynamical systems. PM implements a change of variables in order to represent trajectories of a system of ordinary…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-04-16 Alberto Pérez-Cervera , Benjamin Lindner , Peter J. Thomas

Periodic recurrence is a prominent behavioural of many biological phenomena, including cell cycle and circadian rhythms. Although deterministic models are commonly used to represent the dynamics of periodic phenomena, it is known that they…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2024-05-16 Paolo Ballarini , Mahmoud Bentriou , Paul-Henry Cournède

We study the stationary and nonstationary measurement of a classical force driving a mechanical oscillator coupled to an electromagnetic cavity under two-tone driving. For this purpose, we develop a theoretical framework based on the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-11-26 D. N. Bernal-García , H. Vinck-Posada , M. J. Woolley

For dynamical systems that can be modelled as asymptotically stable linear systems forced by Gaussian noise, this paper develops methods to infer or estimate their modes from observations in real time. The modes can be real or complex. For…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-30 Robert S. MacKay

Acoustic traps use forces exerted by sound waves to confine and transport small objects. The dynamics of an object moving in the force landscape of an acoustic trap can be significantly influenced by the inertia of the surrounding fluid…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2024-03-19 Mia C. Morrell , David G. Grier
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