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We consider the problem of power demand forecasting in residential micro-grids. Several approaches using ARMA models, support vector machines, and recurrent neural networks that perform one-step ahead predictions have been proposed in the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi

Short-term load forecasting for AI data centers presents new challenges because it is computing-driven, with heterogeneous job arrivals, sizes, and durations exhibiting bursty, non-stationary dynamics. Compared with traditional load types,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-01 Ziying Wang , Ying Zhang , Lei Wang , Yuzhang Lin

Accurate electrical consumption forecasting is crucial for efficient energy management and resource allocation. While traditional time series forecasting relies on historical patterns and temporal dependencies, incorporating external…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-18 Fabien Bernier , Maxime Cordy , Yves Le Traon

The expansion of residential demand response programs and increased deployment of controllable loads will require accurate appliance-level load modeling and forecasting. This paper proposes a conditional hidden semi-Markov model to describe…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-10 Yuting Ji , Elizabeth Buechler , Ram Rajagopal

Given the advancements in data-driven modeling for complex engineering and scientific applications, this work utilizes a data-driven predictive control method, namely subspace predictive control, to coordinate hybrid power plant components…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-20 Manavendra Desai , Himanshu Sharma , Sayak Mukherjee , Sonja Glavaski

Electricity load peak forecasting (ELPF), simultaneously predicting peak timing and intensity, is a prerequisite for effective grid scheduling and risk management. However, existing methods face three limitations. First, they adopt a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Wangzhi Yu , Peng Zhu , Qing Zhao , Yiwen Jiang , Dawei Cheng

Short term load forecasting has an essential medium for the reliable, economical and efficient operation of the power system. Most of the existing forecasting approaches utilize fixed statistical models with large historical data for…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-05-21 Irfan Ahmad Khan , Adnan Akber , Yinliang Xu

Power consumption is a major obstacle for High Performance Computing (HPC) systems in their quest towards the holy grail of ExaFLOP performance. Significant advances in power efficiency have to be made before this goal can be attained and…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2016-06-01 Alina Sîrbu , Ozalp Babaoglu

District Heating Systems are essential infrastructure for delivering heat to consumers across a geographic region sustainably, yet efficient management relies on optimizing diverse energy sources, such as wood, gas, electricity, and solar,…

The high variability of weather parameters is making photovoltaic energy generation intermittent and narrowly controllable. Threatened by the sudden discontinuity between the load and the grid, energy management for smart grid systems…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-23 Mohamed Massaoudi , Ines Chihi , Lilia Sidhom , Mohamed Trabelsi , Shady S. Refaat , Fakhreddine S. Oueslati

In this paper, a short-term load forecasting approach based network reconfiguration is proposed in a parallel manner. Specifically, a support vector regression (SVR) based short-term load forecasting approach is designed to provide an…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-11-30 Yi Gu , Huaiguang Jiang , Jun Jason Zhang , Yingchen Zhang , Eduard Muljadi , Francisco J. Solis

A novel hybrid data-driven approach is developed for forecasting power system parameters with the goal of increasing the efficiency of short-term forecasting studies for non-stationary time-series. The proposed approach is based on mode…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-04-10 Victor Kurbatsky , Nikita Tomin , Vadim Spiryaev , Paul Leahy , Denis Sidorov , Alexei Zhukov

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Long-term electricity demand forecasting is essential for grid and operations planning, as well as for the analysis and planning of energy transition strategies. However, accurate long-term load forecasting with high temporal resolution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Soumyadeep Dhar , Ayushkumar Parmar , Haifeng Qiu , Juan Ramon L. Senga , S. Viswanathan

Along with the proliferation of electric vehicles (EVs), optimizing the use of EV charging space can significantly alleviate the growing load on intelligent transportation systems. As the foundation to achieve such an optimization, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Haohao Qu , Haoxuan Kuang , Jun Li , Linlin You

This paper covers predicting high-resolution electricity peak demand features given lower-resolution data. This is a relevant setup as it answers whether limited higher-resolution monitoring helps to estimate future high-resolution peak…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-13 Jonathan Berrisch , Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

Forecasting thermal load is a key component for the majority of optimization solutions for controlling district heating and cooling systems. Recent studies have analysed the results of a number of data-driven methods applied to thermal load…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-18 Davy Geysen , Oscar De Somer , Christian Johansson , Jens Brage , Dirk Vanhoudt

Accurate day-ahead peak load forecasting is crucial not only for power dispatching but also has a great interest to investors and energy policy maker as well as government. Literature reveals that 1% error drop of forecast can reduce 10…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-02 Yanmei Huang , Najmul Hasan , Changrui Deng , Yukun Bao

We consider the commonly encountered situation (e.g., in weather forecasting) where the goal is to predict the time evolution of a large, spatiotemporally chaotic dynamical system when we have access to both time series data of previous…