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Performing model selection between Gibbs random fields is a very challenging task. Indeed, due to the Markovian dependence structure, the normalizing constant of the fields cannot be computed using standard analytical or numerical methods.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-04 Julien Stoehr , Jean-Michel Marin , Pierre Pudlo

We study a variant of the simple hypothesis testing problem where observed samples do not necessarily come from either of the specified distributions, but rather from a close variant of them. In this setting, we require a test that is…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-21 Eeshan Modak , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Ananda Theertha Suresh

In statistical classification/multiple hypothesis testing and machine learning, a model distribution estimated from the training data is usually applied to replace the unknown true distribution in the Bayes decision rule, which introduces a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-09-24 Zijian Yang , Vahe Eminyan , Ralf Schlüter , Hermann Ney

In the Bayes paradigm and for a given loss function, we propose the construction of a new type of posterior distributions, that extends the classical Bayes one, for estimating the law of an $n$-sample. The loss functions we have in mind are…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-05 Yannick Baraud

Generative models have achieved remarkable success across a range of applications, yet their evaluation still lacks principled uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we develop a method for comparing how close different generative…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-24 Zijun Gao , Yan Sun , Han Su

Maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) are asymptotically normally distributed, and this property is used in meta-analyses to test the heterogeneity of estimates, either for a single cluster or for several sub-groups. More recently, MLEs for…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-28 Anthony J. Webster

We investigate the discrimination of two candidates of an unknown parameter in quantum systems with continuous weak measurement, inspired by the application of hypothesis testing in distinguish-ing two Hamiltonians [Kiilerich and M{\o}lmer,…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-07-24 Beili Gong , Wei Cui

AIC is commonly used for model selection but the precise value of AIC has no direct interpretation. We are interested in quantifying a difference of risks between two models. This may be useful for both an explanatory point of view or for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-07-28 D. Commenges , A. Sayyareh , L. Letenneur , J. Guedj , A. Bar-Hen

Which neural networks are similar is a fundamental question for both machine learning and neuroscience. Here, it is proposed to base comparisons on the predictive distributions of linear readouts from intermediate representations. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Heiko H. Schütt

We propose a simple robust hypothesis test that has the same sample complexity as that of the optimal Neyman-Pearson test up to constants, but robust to distribution perturbations under Hellinger distance. We discuss the applicability of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-04 Ananda Theertha Suresh

The is no other model or hypothesis verification tool in Bayesian statistics that is as widely used as the Bayes factor. We focus on generative models that are likelihood-free and, therefore, render the computation of Bayes factors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Jungeum Kim , Veronika Rockova

We give a general unified method that can be used for $L_1$ {\em closeness testing} of a wide range of univariate structured distribution families. More specifically, we design a sample optimal and computationally efficient algorithm for…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-08-25 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Vladimir Nikishkin

The sample complexity of simple binary hypothesis testing is the smallest number of i.i.d.\ samples required to distinguish between two distributions $p$ and $q$ in either: (i) the prior-free setting, with type-I error at most $\alpha$ and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

While robust divergence such as density power divergence and $\gamma$-divergence is helpful for robust statistical inference in the presence of outliers, the tuning parameter that controls the degree of robustness is chosen in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shouto Yonekura

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

The ability to compute the exact divergence between two high-dimensional distributions is useful in many applications but doing so naively is intractable. Computing the alpha-beta divergence -- a family of divergences that includes the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-17 Loong Kuan Lee , Geoffrey I. Webb , Daniel F. Schmidt , Nico Piatkowski

The problem of model selection is inevitable in an increasingly large number of applications involving partial theoretical knowledge and vast amounts of information, like in medicine, biology or economics. The associated techniques are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-17 Stephane Guerrier , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

We propose a new estimation procedure of the conditional density for independent and identically distributed data. Our procedure aims at using the data to select a function among arbitrary (at most countable) collections of candidates. By…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-26 Mathieu Sart

Computing the similarity between two probability distributions is a recurring theme across control. We introduce a unified family of distances between the probability distributions of two random variables that is based on the discrepancy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-03 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Arec Jamgochian , Nazim Kemal Ure , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Stephen P. Boyd

In many applications in biology, engineering and economics, identifying similarities and differences between distributions of data from complex processes requires comparing finite categorical samples of discrete counts. Statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-11 Francesco Camaglia , Ilya Nemenman , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak