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Stochastic kriging has been widely employed for simulation metamodeling to predict the response surface of complex simulation models. However, its use is limited to cases where the design space is low-dimensional because, in general, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-16 Liang Ding , Xiaowei Zhang

Scientists and engineers commonly use simulation models to study real systems for which actual experimentation is costly, difficult, or impossible. Many simulations are stochastic in the sense that repeated runs with the same input…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-09 Wenjia Wang , Benjamin Haaland

Stochastic kriging is a popular metamodeling technique for representing the unknown response surface of a simulation model. However, the simulation model may be inadequate in the sense that there may be a non-negligible discrepancy between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-14 Lu Zou , Xiaowei Zhang

When we use simulation to evaluate the performance of a stochastic system, the simulation often contains input distributions estimated from real-world data; therefore, there is both simulation and input uncertainty in the performance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Wei Xie , Barry L. Nelson , Russell R. Barton

Simulation metamodeling refers to the construction of lower-fidelity models to represent input-output relations using few simulation runs. Stochastic kriging, which is based on Gaussian process, is a versatile and common technique for such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-06 Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

In clinical trials, there is potential to improve precision and reduce the required sample size by appropriately adjusting for baseline variables in the statistical analysis. This is called covariate adjustment. Despite recommendations by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Kelly Van Lancker , Joshua Betz , Michael Rosenblum

This paper addresses the covariate shift problem in the context of nonparametric regression within reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs). Covariate shift arises in supervised learning when the input distributions of the training and…

Kriging-based surrogate models have become very popular during the last decades to approximate a computer code output from few simulations. In practical applications, it is very common to sequentially add new simulations to obtain more…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-31 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela

In this paper, we further investigate the problem of selecting a set of design points for universal kriging, which is a widely used technique for spatial data analysis. Our goal is to select the design points in order to make simultaneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-18 Helmut Waldl , Werner G. Müller , Paula Camelia Trandafir

The statistical efficiency of randomized clinical trials can be improved by incorporating information from baseline covariates (i.e., pre-treatment patient characteristics). This can be done in the design stage using stratified (permutated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Zhiwei Zhang

Imitation learning practitioners have often noted that conditioning policies on previous actions leads to a dramatic divergence between "held out" error and performance of the learner in situ. Interactive approaches can provably address…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-12 Jonathan Spencer , Sanjiban Choudhury , Arun Venkatraman , Brian Ziebart , J. Andrew Bagnell

Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

This work develops a multivariate extension of the Fixed Rank Kriging (FRK) framework for spatial prediction in settings where multiple spatial processes may provide complementary information. The goal is to preserve the computational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Gaia Caringi , Piercesare Secchi

Kriging is a widely employed technique, in particular for computer experiments, in machine learning or in geostatistics. An important challenge for Kriging is the computational burden when the data set is large. This article focuses on a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-01 François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Didier Rullière , Clément Chevalier

Stochastic simulation is a widely used method for estimating quantities in models of chemical reaction networks where uncertainty plays a crucial role. However, reducing the statistical uncertainty of the corresponding estimators requires…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-06-13 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

Stochastic inverse problems considered in this article consist of estimating the probability distributions of intrinsically random inputs of computer models. These estimations are based on observable outputs affected by model noise, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet , Mélanie Blazère , Thomas Cerbelaud

Stochastic simulation models effectively capture complex system dynamics but are often too slow for real-time decision-making. Traditional metamodeling techniques learn relationships between simulator inputs and a single output summary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 L. Jeff Hong , Yanxi Hou , Qingkai Zhang , Xiaowei Zhang

Informative sampling designs can impact spatial prediction, or kriging, in two important ways. First, the sampling design can bias spatial covariance parameter estimation, which in turn can bias spatial kriging estimates. Second, even with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-30 Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle , Ranadeep Daw

The computational effort for the evaluation of numerical simulations based on e.g. the finite-element method is high. Metamodels can be utilized to create a low-cost alternative. However the number of required samples for the creation of a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-15 Jan N. Fuhg

We study optimization for data-driven decision-making when we have observations of the uncertain parameters within the optimization model together with concurrent observations of covariates. Given a new covariate observation, the goal is to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-07-28 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke
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