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A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson

State estimation when only a partial model of a considered system is available remains a major challenge in many engineering fields. This work proposes a joint, square-root unscented Kalman filter to estimate states and model uncertainties…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-11 Ricarda-Samantha Götte , Julia Timmermann

State-space models provide an important body of techniques for analyzing time-series, but their use requires estimating unobserved states. The optimal estimate of the state is its conditional expectation given the observation histories, and…

We consider the problem of estimating states and parameters in a model based on a system of coupled stochastic differential equations, based on noisy discrete-time data. Special attention is given to nonlinear dynamics and state-dependent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-01 Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen , Kasper Kristensen

State-space models are pivotal for dynamic system analysis but often struggle with outlier data that deviates from Gaussian distributions, frequently exhibiting skewness and heavy tails. This paper introduces a robust extension utilizing…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-31 Yifan Yu , Shengjie Xiu , Daniel P. Palomar

Laplace approximations are a standard tool for computationally efficient inference in latent Gaussian models, but they fail for quantile regression with the asymmetric Laplace likelihood because the observed Hessian vanishes almost…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Andrea Nava , Fabio Sigrist

Bayesian predictive inference provides a coherent description of entire predictive uncertainty through predictive distributions. We examine several widely used sparsity priors from the predictive (as opposed to estimation) inference…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-03 Veronika Rockova

We consider Bayesian variable selection in sparse high-dimensional regression, where the number of covariates $p$ may be large relative to the samples size $n$, but at most a moderate number $q$ of covariates are active. Specifically, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-31 Rina Foygel Barber , Mathias Drton , Kean Ming Tan

We consider the problem of estimating a sparse precision matrix of a multivariate Gaussian distribution, including the case where the dimension $p$ is large. Gaussian graphical models provide an important tool in describing conditional…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-08 Sayantan Banerjee , Subhashis Ghosal

Laplacian-P-splines (LPS) associate the P-splines smoother and the Laplace approximation in a unifying framework for fast and flexible inference under the Bayesian paradigm. Gaussian Markov field priors imposed on penalized latent variables…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-18 Philippe Lambert , Oswaldo Gressani

We consider the problem of learning a Gaussian variational approximation to the posterior distribution for a high-dimensional parameter, where we impose sparsity in the precision matrix to reflect appropriate conditional independence…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of data points related to the state are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Benjamin Cox , Victor Elvira

So-called sparse estimators arise in the context of model fitting, when one a priori assumes that only a few (unknown) model parameters deviate from zero. Sparsity constraints can be useful when the estimation problem is under-determined,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Jean Daunizeau

Penalized regression methods, such as $L_1$ regularization, are routinely used in high-dimensional applications, and there is a rich literature on optimality properties under sparsity assumptions. In the Bayesian paradigm, sparsity is…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-27 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Natesh S. Pillai , David B. Dunson

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

The sparse structure of the solution for an inverse problem can be modelled using different sparsity enforcing priors when the Bayesian approach is considered. Analytical expression for the unknowns of the model can be obtained by building…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-05-31 Mircea Dumitru

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

Sparsity constraints on the control inputs of a linear dynamical system naturally arise in several practical applications such as networked control, computer vision, seismic signal processing, and cyber-physical systems. In this work, we…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-11 Rupam Kalyan Chakraborty , Geethu Joseph , Chandra R. Murthy

We have utilized the non-conjugate Variational Bayesian (VB) method for the problem of the sparse Poisson regression model. To provide approximate conjugacy in the model, the likelihood is approximated by a quadratic function, yielding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Mitra Kharabati , Morteza Amini , Mohammad Arashi

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez
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