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Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

The Laplace approximation is a popular method for constructing a Gaussian approximation to the Bayesian posterior and thereby approximating the posterior mean and variance. But approximation quality is a concern. One might consider using…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-17 Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

Quantile regression, a robust method for estimating conditional quantiles, has advanced significantly in fields such as econometrics, statistics, and machine learning. In high-dimensional settings, where the number of covariates exceeds…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-04 The Tien Mai

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables statistical inference in simulator-based models whose likelihoods are difficult to calculate but easy to simulate from. ABC constructs a kernel-type approximation to the posterior distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Yuexi Wang , Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Ročková

Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric approximating families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Francesco Pozza , Daniele Durante , Botond Szabo

Nonresponse weighting adjustment using the response propensity score is a popular tool for handling unit nonresponse. Statistical inference after the nonresponse weighting adjustment is complicated because the effect of estimating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Hejian Sang , Jae Kwang Kim

Approximate inference techniques are the cornerstone of probabilistic methods based on Gaussian process priors. Despite this, most work approximately optimizes standard divergence measures such as the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-06 Rui Zhang , Christian J. Walder , Edwin V. Bonilla , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

We propose to smooth the entire objective function, rather than only the check function, in a linear quantile regression context. Not only does the resulting smoothed quantile regression estimator yield a lower mean squared error and a more…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-16 Marcelo Fernandes , Emmanuel Guerre , Eduardo Horta

This paper extends the idea of decoupling shrinkage and sparsity for continuous priors to Bayesian Quantile Regression (BQR). The procedure follows two steps: In the first step, we shrink the quantile regression posterior through state of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-07-20 David Kohns , Tibor Szendrei

Approximate Bayesian computation performs approximate inference for models where likelihood computations are expensive or impossible. Instead simulations from the model are performed for various parameter values and accepted if they are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-12-16 Dennis Prangle

We consider the problem of Bayesian density estimation on the positive semiline for possibly unbounded densities. We propose a hierarchical Bayesian estimator based on the gamma mixture prior which can be viewed as a location mixture. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-25 Natalia Bochkina , Judith Rousseau

We propose a simple approach that provides accurate uncertainty quantification for Bayesian inference in misspecified or approximate models, and for generalized (Gibbs) posteriors. While existing solutions in this context are based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-11 David M. Blei , Alp Kucukelbir , Jon D. McAuliffe

Bayesian Neural Networks provide a principled framework for uncertainty quantification by modeling the posterior distribution of network parameters. However, exact posterior inference is computationally intractable, and widely used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Alfredo Reichlin , Miguel Vasco , Danica Kragic

Laplace's method, a family of asymptotic methods used to approximate integrals, is presented as a potential candidate for the tool box of techniques used for knowledge acquisition and probabilistic inference in belief networks with…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Adriano Azevedo-Filho , Ross D. Shachter

We consider a Bayesian approach to variable selection in the presence of high dimensional covariates based on a hierarchical model that places prior distributions on the regression coefficients as well as on the model space. We adopt the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-28 Naveen Naidu Narisetty , Xuming He

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

A Bayesian inference method for problems with small samples and sparse data is presented in this paper. A general type of prior ($\propto 1/\sigma^{q}$) is proposed to formulate the Bayesian posterior for inference problems under small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-14 Jingjing He , Xuefei Guan

The quantile varying coefficient (VC) model can flexibly capture dynamical patterns of regression coefficients. In addition, due to the quantile check loss function, it is robust against outliers and heavy-tailed distributions of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-11 Fei Zhou , Jie Ren , Shuangge Ma , Cen Wu