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Spatial trend estimation under potential heterogeneity is an important problem to extract spatial characteristics and hazards such as criminal activity. By focusing on quantiles, which provide substantial information on distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-24 Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

Quantile regression is a powerful data analysis tool that accommodates heterogeneous covariate-response relationships. We find that by coupling the asymmetric Laplace working likelihood with appropriate shrinkage priors, we can deliver…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-02 Yuanzhi Li , Xuming He

This work introduces Bayesian quantile regression modeling framework for the analysis of longitudinal count data. In this model, the response variable is not continuous and hence an artificial smoothing of counts is incorporated. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-19 Sanket Jantre

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-10-15 Alexis Roche

This article introduces a Bayesian neural network estimation method for quantile regression assuming an asymmetric Laplace distribution (ALD) for the response variable. It is shown that the posterior distribution for feedforward neural…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-06 Sanket R. Jantre , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-07-11 Yuao Hu , Kaifeng Zhao , Heng Lian

Bayesian inference provides a flexible way of combining data with prior information. However, quantile regression is not equipped with a parametric likelihood, and therefore, Bayesian inference for quantile regression demands careful…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-24 Yunwen Yang , Xuming He

Crossing of fitted conditional quantiles is a prevalent problem for quantile regression models. We propose a new Bayesian modelling framework that penalises multiple quantile regression functions toward the desired non-crossing space. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 David Kohns , Tibor Szendrei

The Naive-Bayes classifier is widely used due to its simplicity, speed and accuracy. However this approach fails when, for at least one attribute value in a test sample, there are no corresponding training samples with that attribute value.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-31 Patrick Hosein , Kevin Baboolal

We propose a new family of error distributions for model-based quantile regression, which is constructed through a structured mixture of normal distributions. The construction enables fixing specific percentiles of the distribution while,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-10 Yifei Yan , Athanasios Kottas

We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

Quantile regression is often used when a comprehensive relationship between a response variable and one or more explanatory variables is desired. The traditional frequentists' approach to quantile regression has been well developed around…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-03 Yang Feng , Yuguo Chen , Xuming He

Based on a novel dynamic Whittle likelihood approximation for locally stationary processes, a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the time-varying spectral density is proposed. This dynamic frequency-domain based likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

Laplace approximations are a standard tool for computationally efficient inference in latent Gaussian models, but they fail for quantile regression with the asymmetric Laplace likelihood because the observed Hessian vanishes almost…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Andrea Nava , Fabio Sigrist

The standard asymmetric Laplace framework for Bayesian quantile regression (BQR) suffers from a fundamental decision-theoretic misalignment, yielding biased finite-sample estimates, and precludes gradient-based computation due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Bingqi Liu , Kangqiang Li , Tianxiao Pang

In this article, we propose a novel method for sampling potential functions based on noisy observation data of a finite number of observables in quantum canonical ensembles, which leads to the accurate sampling of a wide class of test…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-04-08 Ziheng Chen , Zhennan Zhou

Flexible estimation of multiple conditional quantiles is of interest in numerous applications, such as studying the effect of pregnancy-related factors on low and high birth weight. We propose a Bayesian non-parametric method to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Steven G. Xu , Brian J. Reich

Quantile regression is a method to estimate the quantiles of the conditional distribution of a response variable, and as such it permits a much more accurate portrayal of the relationship between the response variable and observed…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2014-01-08 Jiyan Yang , Xiangrui Meng , Michael W. Mahoney

In Smyl et al. [Local and global trend Bayesian exponential smoothing models. International Journal of Forecasting, 2024.], a generalised exponential smoothing model was proposed that is able to capture strong trends and volatility in time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Xueying Long , Daniel F. Schmidt , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl
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