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Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a generic modelling tool for supervised learning. While they have been successfully applied on large datasets, their use in safety-critical applications is hindered by the lack of good performance guarantees. To…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-27 David Reeb , Andreas Doerr , Sebastian Gerwinn , Barbara Rakitsch

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used for regression and optimization tasks such as Bayesian optimization (BO) due to their expressiveness and principled uncertainty estimates. However, in settings with large datasets corrupted by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Marshal Arijona Sinaga , Julien Martinelli , Samuel Kaski

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is an important type of supervised machine learning model with inherent uncertainty measure in its predictions. We propose a new framework, nuGPR, to address the well-known challenge of high computation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Ziqi Zhao , Vivek Sarin

One of the fundamental tasks of science is to find explainable relationships between observed phenomena. One approach to this task that has received attention in recent years is based on probabilistic graphical modelling with sparsity…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-04-16 Peter Orchard , Felix Agakov , Amos Storkey

Bayesian optimization devolves the global optimization of a costly objective function to the global optimization of a sequence of acquisition functions. This inner-loop optimization can be catastrophically difficult if it involves posterior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-02 Taiwo A. Adebiyi , Bach Do , Ruda Zhang

Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-31 Gonzalo Rios

We present a novel approach for fully non-stationary Gaussian process regression (GPR), where all three key parameters -- noise variance, signal variance and lengthscale -- can be simultaneously input-dependent. We develop gradient-based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-08-19 Markus Heinonen , Henrik Mannerström , Juho Rousu , Samuel Kaski , Harri Lähdesmäki

In decision-making systems, it is important to have classifiers that have calibrated uncertainties, with an optimisation objective that can be used for automated model selection and training. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-05 Vincent Dutordoir , Mark van der Wilk , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a non-parametric, Bayesian framework to approximate complex models. Standard GP regression can lead to an unbounded model in which some points can take infeasible values. We introduce a new GP method that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-04 Didem Kochan , Xiu Yang

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Monte Carlo methods are essential tools for Bayesian inference. Gibbs sampling is a well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, extensively used in signal processing, machine learning, and statistics, employed to draw samples from…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira , Gustau Camps-Valls

Bayesian inference for complex models with an intractable likelihood can be tackled using algorithms performing many calls to computer simulators. These approaches are collectively known as "simulation-based inference" (SBI). Recent SBI…

We investigate an empirical Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian noise. We consider a class of Gaussian prior probability measures with covariance operator indexed by a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-23 Junxiong Jia , Jigen Peng , Jinghuai Gao

Gaussian processes (GPs) produce good probabilistic models of functions, but most GP kernels require $O((n+m)n^2)$ time, where $n$ is the number of data points and $m$ the number of predictive locations. We present a new kernel that allows…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-03 Michael K. Cohen , Samuel Daulton , Michael A. Osborne

Deep neural networks (DNN) and Gaussian processes (GP) are two powerful models with several theoretical connections relating them, but the relationship between their training methods is not well understood. In this paper, we show that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Alexander Immer , Ehsan Abedi , Maciej Korzepa

Within the past two decades, Gaussian process regression has been increasingly used for modeling dynamical systems due to some beneficial properties such as the bias variance trade-off and the strong connection to Bayesian mathematics. As…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-11 Thomas Beckers

In this paper we propose the first non-parametric Bayesian model using Gaussian Processes to make inference on Poisson Point Processes without resorting to gridding the domain or to introducing latent thinning points. Unlike competing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-30 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen Roberts

Bayesian inference of nanohertz gravitational-wave background models in pulsar timing array analyses often relies on Gaussian-process interpolators to avoid repeated, computationally expensive strain-spectrum calculations. However,…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2026-04-16 Shreyas Tiruvaskar , Chris Gordon

Data transformations are essential for broad applicability of parametric regression models. However, for Bayesian analysis, joint inference of the transformation and model parameters typically involves restrictive parametric transformations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-29 Daniel R. Kowal , Bohan Wu

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer appealing properties but are costly to train at scale. Sparse variational GP (SVGP) approximations reduce cost yet still rely on Cholesky decompositions of kernel matrices, ill-suited to low-precision,…