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This paper addresses the problem of time series forecasting for non-stationary signals and multiple future steps prediction. To handle this challenging task, we introduce DILATE (DIstortion Loss including shApe and TimE), a new objective…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-12 Vincent Le Guen , Nicolas Thome

This paper addresses the problem of multi-step time series forecasting for non-stationary signals that can present sudden changes. Current state-of-the-art deep learning forecasting methods, often trained with variants of the MSE, lack the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-18 Vincent Le Guen , Nicolas Thome

Time Series forecasting is critical in diverse domains such as weather forecasting, financial investment, and traffic management. While traditional numerical metrics like mean squared error (MSE) can quantify point-wise accuracy, they fail…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-01 Mingyang Yu , Xiahui Guo , Peng chen , Zhenkai Li , Yang Shu

Time-series forecasting models often encounter abrupt changes in a given period of time which generally occur due to unexpected or unknown events. Despite their scarce occurrences in the training set, abrupt changes incur loss that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-25 Junwoo Park , Jungsoo Lee , Youngin Cho , Woncheol Shin , Dongmin Kim , Jaegul Choo , Edward Choi

Time series forecasting has become an increasingly popular research area due to its critical applications in various real-world domains such as traffic management, weather prediction, and financial analysis. Despite significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-22 Ninghui Feng , Songning Lai , Jiayu Yang , Fobao Zhou , Zhenxiao Yin , Hang Zhao

Irregularly sampled time series with missing values are often observed in multiple real-world applications such as healthcare, climate and astronomy. They pose a significant challenge to standard deep learning models that operate only on…

Predicting multivariate time series is crucial, demanding precise modeling of intricate patterns, including inter-series dependencies and intra-series variations. Distinctive trend characteristics in each time series pose challenges, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Guoqi Yu , Jing Zou , Xiaowei Hu , Angelica I. Aviles-Rivero , Jing Qin , Shujun Wang

Irregularly sampled time series forecasting, characterized by non-uniform intervals, is prevalent in practical applications. However, previous research have been focused on regular time series forecasting, typically relying on transformer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-01 Byunghyun Kim , Jae-Gil Lee

Shapelet-based algorithms are widely used for time series classification because of their ease of interpretation, but they are currently outperformed by recent state-of-the-art approaches. We present a new formulation of time series…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-10 Antoine Guillaume , Christel Vrain , Elloumi Wael

Climate change stands as one of the most pressing global challenges of the twenty-first century, with far-reaching consequences such as rising sea levels, melting glaciers, and increasingly extreme weather patterns. Accurate forecasting is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Tajamul Ashraf , Janibul Bashir

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

In several practical applications, particularly healthcare, clinical data of each patient is individually recorded in a database at irregular intervals as required. This causes a sparse and irregularly sampled time series, which makes it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-09 Mincheol Kim , Soo-Yong Shin

Traffic time series forecasting is challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dynamics time series from different locations often have distinct patterns; and for the same time series, patterns may vary across time, where, for example, there…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-06 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Tung Kieu , Shirui Pan

Recent advancements in deep learning have led to the development of various models for long-term multivariate time-series forecasting (LMTF), many of which have shown promising results. Generally, the focus has been on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-28 Shiyi Qi , Zenglin Xu , Yiduo Li , Liangjian Wen , Qingsong Wen , Qifan Wang , Yuan Qi

Time series anomaly detection is crucial for maintaining stable systems. Existing methods face two main challenges. First, it is difficult to directly model the dependencies of diverse and complex patterns within the sequences. Second, many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Wenxin Zhang , Cuicui Luo

Time-reversal symmetry, which requires that the dynamics of a system should not change with the reversal of time axis, is a fundamental property that frequently holds in classical and quantum mechanics. In this paper, we propose a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-08 In Huh , Eunho Yang , Sung Ju Hwang , Jinwoo Shin

Time series forecasting holds significant value in various domains such as economics, traffic, energy, and AIOps, as accurate predictions facilitate informed decision-making. However, the existing Mean Squared Error (MSE) loss function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Xvyuan Liu , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

Real-world problems often involve complex and unstructured sets of measurements, which occur when sensors are sparsely placed in either space or time. Being able to model this irregular spatiotemporal data and extract meaningful forecasts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Arnaud Pannatier , Kyle Matoba , François Fleuret

Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) is crucial across various domains, but complex deep models like Transformers are often prone to overfitting on extended sequences. Linear Fully Connected models have emerged as a powerful…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Yuang Zhao , Tianyu Li , Jiadong Chen , Shenrong Ye , Fuxin Jiang , Xiaofeng Gao

Time series foundation models have recently gained a lot of attention due to their ability to model complex time series data encompassing different domains including traffic, energy, and weather. Although they exhibit strong average…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Shivani Tomar , Seshu Tirupathi , Elizabeth Daly , Ivana Dusparic
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