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Counterfactuals play a pivotal role in the two distinct data science fields of causal inference (CI) and explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). While the core idea behind counterfactuals remains the same in both fields--the examination…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Galit Shmueli , David Martens , Jaewon Yoo , Travis Greene

We present counterfactual situation testing (CST), a causal data mining framework for detecting individual discrimination in a dataset of classifier decisions. CST answers the question ``what would have been the model outcome had the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Jose M. Alvarez , Salvatore Ruggieri

This paper investigates the problem of bounding counterfactual queries from an arbitrary collection of observational and experimental distributions and qualitative knowledge about the underlying data-generating model represented in the form…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-10-13 Junzhe Zhang , Jin Tian , Elias Bareinboim

Methods to find counterfactual explanations have predominantly focused on one step decision making processes. In this work, we initiate the development of methods to find counterfactual explanations for decision making processes in which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Stratis Tsirtsis , Abir De , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Verification and validation of cyber-physical systems (CPS) via large-scale simulation often surface failures that are hard to interpret, especially when triggered by interactions between continuous and discrete behaviors at specific events…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-04-10 Zaid Ghazal , Hadiza Yusuf , Khouloud Gaaloul

The past decade has seen an increasing body of literature devoted to the estimation of causal effects in network-dependent data. However, the validity of many classical statistical methods in such data is often questioned. There is an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-31 Oleg Sofrygin , Romain Neugebauer , Mark J. van der Laan

In this paper, we address the challenge of performing counterfactual inference with observational data via Bayesian nonparametric regression adjustment, with a focus on high-dimensional settings featuring multiple actions and multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-22 Alberto Caron , Gianluca Baio , Ioanna Manolopoulou

Being able to reason about how one's behaviour can affect the behaviour of others is a core skill required of intelligent driving agents. Despite this, the state of the art struggles to meet the need of agents to discover causal links…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-07 Rhys Howard , Lars Kunze

Counterfactual reasoning allows us to explore hypothetical scenarios in order to explain the impacts of our decisions. However, addressing such inquires is impossible without establishing the appropriate mathematical framework. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Kurt Butler , Marija Iloska , Petar M. Djuric

This research addresses the challenge of conducting interpretable causal inference between a binary treatment and its resulting outcome when not all confounders are known. Confounders are factors that have an influence on both the treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Sohaib Kiani , Jared Barton , Jon Sushinsky , Lynda Heimbach , Bo Luo

Counterfactual inference provides a mathematical framework for reasoning about hypothetical outcomes under alternative interventions, bridging causal reasoning and predictive modeling. We present a counterfactual inference framework for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Jingya Cheng , Alaleh Azhir , Jiazi Tian , Hossein Estiri

Evaluation of counterfactual queries (e.g., "If A were true, would C have been true?") is important to fault diagnosis, planning, determination of liability, and policy analysis. We present a method of revaluating counterfactuals when the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Alexander Balke , Judea Pearl

Machine-learning models are increasingly driving decisions in high-stakes settings, such as finance, law, and hiring, thus, highlighting the need for transparency. However, the key challenge is to balance transparency -- clarifying `why' a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-29 Sopam Dasgupta , Sadaf MD Halim , Joaquín Arias , Elmer Salazar , Gopal Gupta

This work showcases a new approach for causal discovery by leveraging user experiments and recent advances in photo-realistic image editing, demonstrating a potential of identifying causal factors and understanding complex systems…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 Tao Li

Counterfactual statements describe events that did not or cannot take place. We consider the problem of counterfactual detection (CFD) in product reviews. For this purpose, we annotate a multilingual CFD dataset from Amazon product reviews…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-09-17 James O'Neill , Polina Rozenshtein , Ryuichi Kiryo , Motoko Kubota , Danushka Bollegala

The fundamental problem of causal inference - that the counterfactual outcome for any individual is never observed - has shaped the entire methodology of the field. Every existing approach substitutes assumptions for missing data:…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Olav Laudy

Counterfactual thinking is a crucial yet challenging topic for artificial intelligence to learn knowledge from data and ultimately improve performance for new scenarios. Many research works, including the Potential Outcome Model (POM) and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Mingyu Kang , Duxin Chen , Ziyuan Pu , Jianxi Gao , Wenwu Yu

Personalized decision making requires the knowledge of potential outcomes under different treatments, and confidence intervals about the potential outcomes further enrich this decision-making process and improve its reliability in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Zonghao Chen , Ruocheng Guo , Jean-François Ton , Yang Liu

Counterfactuals -- expressing what might have been true under different circumstances -- have been widely applied in statistics and machine learning to help understand causal relationships. More recently, counterfactuals have begun to…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-04-08 Arran Zeyu Wang , David Borland , David Gotz

Reasoning about the effect of interventions and counterfactuals is a fundamental task found throughout the data sciences. A collection of principles, algorithms, and tools has been developed for performing such tasks in the last decades…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-08 Tara V. Anand , Adèle H. Ribeiro , Jin Tian , Elias Bareinboim