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相关论文: Identifying Counterfactual Queries with the R Pack…

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The Counterfactual package implements the estimation and inference methods of Chernozhukov, Fern\'andez-Val and Melly (2013) for counterfactual analysis. The counterfactual distributions considered are the result of changing either the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-11-02 Mingli Chen , Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Blaise Melly

Counterfactual explanation methods provide information on how feature values of individual observations must be changed to obtain a desired prediction. Despite the increasing amount of proposed methods in research, only a few…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Susanne Dandl , Andreas Hofheinz , Martin Binder , Bernd Bischl , Giuseppe Casalicchio

Counterfactual inference is a powerful tool, capable of solving challenging problems in high-profile sectors. To perform counterfactual inference, one requires knowledge of the underlying causal mechanisms. However, causal mechanisms cannot…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-23 Athanasios Vlontzos , Bernhard Kainz , Ciaran M. Gilligan-Lee

Previous work establishing completeness results for counterfactual identification has been circumscribed to the setting where the input data belongs to observational or interventional distributions (Layers 1 and 2 of Pearl's Causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Arvind Raghavan , Elias Bareinboim

Counterfactual explanations for black-box models aim to pr ovide insight into an algorithmic decision to its recipient. For a binary classification problem an individual counterfactual details which features might be changed for the model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-29 James M. Adams , Gesine Reinert , Lukasz Szpruch , Carsten Maple , Andrew Elliott

Counterfactual statements, which describe events that did not or cannot take place, are beneficial to numerous NLP applications. Hence, we consider the problem of counterfactual detection (CFD) and seek to enhance the CFD models. Previous…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-01 Thong Nguyen , Truc-My Nguyen

We present counterfactual situation testing (CST), a causal data mining framework for detecting discrimination in classifiers. CST aims to answer in an actionable and meaningful way the intuitive question "what would have been the model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-25 Jose M. Alvarez , Salvatore Ruggieri

Counterfactual inference is a useful tool for comparing outcomes of interventions on complex systems. It requires us to represent the system in form of a structural causal model, complete with a causal diagram, probabilistic assumptions on…

Counterfactual inference considers a hypothetical intervention in a parallel world that shares some evidence with the factual world. If the evidence specifies a conditional distribution on a manifold, counterfactuals may be analytically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Juha Karvanen , Santtu Tikka , Matti Vihola

Counterfactual inference enables clinicians to ask "what if" questions about patient outcomes, but standard methods assume feature independence and simultaneous modifiability -- assumptions violated by longitudinal clinical data. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-25 Jingya Cheng , Alaleh Azhir , Jiazi Tian , Hossein Estiri

Counterfactual inference aims to answer retrospective "what if" questions and thus belongs to the most fine-grained type of inference in Pearl's causality ladder. Existing methods for counterfactual inference with continuous outcomes aim at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-12 Valentyn Melnychuk , Dennis Frauen , Stefan Feuerriegel

Causal discovery is a powerful technique for identifying causal relationships among variables in data. It has been widely used in various applications in software engineering. Causal discovery extensively involves conditional independence…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Pingchuan Ma , Zhenlan Ji , Peisen Yao , Shuai Wang , Kui Ren

We introduce an approach to counterfactual inference based on merging information from multiple datasets. We consider a causal reformulation of the statistical marginal problem: given a collection of marginal structural causal models (SCMs)…

Counterfactual explanations (CEs) are methods for generating an alternative scenario that produces a different desirable outcome. For example, if a student is predicted to fail a course, then counterfactual explanations can provide the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-09 Bevan I. Smith

Referred to as the third rung of the causal inference ladder, counterfactual queries typically ask the "What if ?" question retrospectively. The standard approach to estimate counterfactuals resides in using a structural equation model that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Edward De Brouwer

Evaluation of counterfactual queries (e.g., "If A were true, would C have been true?") is important to fault diagnosis, planning, and determination of liability. In this paper we present methods for computing the probabilities of such…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Alexander Balke , Judea Pearl

In many applications, it is important to be able to explain the decisions of machine learning systems. An increasingly popular approach has been to seek to provide \emph{counterfactual instance explanations}. These specify close possible…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-09-22 Adam White , Artur d'Avila Garcez

Do-calculus is concerned with estimating the interventional distribution of an action from the observed joint probability distribution of the variables in a given causal structure. All identifiable causal effects can be derived using the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-20 Santtu Tikka , Juha Karvanen

This paper introduces a simple framework of counterfactual estimation for causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data, in which we estimate the average treatment effect on the treated by directly imputing counterfactual outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Licheng Liu , Ye Wang , Yiqing Xu

Evaluating hypothetical statements about how the world would be had a different course of action been taken is arguably one key capability expected from modern AI systems. Counterfactual reasoning underpins discussions in fairness, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-04 Kevin Xia , Yushu Pan , Elias Bareinboim
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