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Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

Accurate and robust weather forecasting remains a fundamental challenge due to the inherent spatio-temporal complexity of atmospheric systems. In this paper, we propose a novel self-supervised learning framework that leverages…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Yao Liu

Sequence modeling faces challenges in capturing long-range dependencies across diverse tasks. Recent linear and transformer-based forecasters have shown superior performance in time series forecasting. However, they are constrained by their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-25 Bong Gyun Kang , Dongjun Lee , HyunGi Kim , DoHyun Chung , Sungroh Yoon

Accurate time series forecasting is a fundamental challenge in data science. It is often affected by external covariates such as weather or human intervention, which in many applications, may be predicted with reasonable accuracy. We refer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Jimeng Shi , Rukmangadh Myana , Vitalii Stebliankin , Azam Shirali , Giri Narasimhan

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Time series forecasting is a significant problem in many applications, e.g., financial predictions and business optimization. Modern datasets can have multiple correlated time series, which are often generated with global (shared)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-10 Ling Chen , Weiqi Chen , Binqing Wu , Youdong Zhang , Bo Wen , Chenghu Yang

Regression problems with time-series predictors are common in banking and many other areas of application. In this paper, we use multi-head attention networks to develop interpretable features and use them to achieve good predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-26 Tianjie Wang , Jie Chen , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Real-world time series are often governed by complex nonlinear dynamics. Understanding these underlying dynamics is crucial for precise future prediction. While deep learning has achieved major success in time series forecasting, many…

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

Multivariate time-series forecasting plays a crucial role in many real-world applications. It is a challenging problem as one needs to consider both intra-series temporal correlations and inter-series correlations simultaneously. Recently,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-16 Defu Cao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Ce Zhang , Xia Zhu , Conguri Huang , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

Time series forecasting has widespread applications in urban life ranging from air quality monitoring to traffic analysis. However, accurate time series forecasting is challenging because real-world time series suffer from the distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-15 Wenying Duan , Xiaoxi He , Lu Zhou , Lothar Thiele , Hong Rao

The ability to identify and temporally segment fine-grained human actions throughout a video is crucial for robotics, surveillance, education, and beyond. Typical approaches decouple this problem by first extracting local spatiotemporal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Colin Lea , Michael D. Flynn , Rene Vidal , Austin Reiter , Gregory D. Hager

Time series analysis plays a vital role in various applications, for instance, healthcare, weather prediction, disaster forecast, etc. However, to obtain sufficient shapelets by a feature network is still challenging. To this end, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-01 Zhiwen Xiao , Xin Xu , Huanlai Xing , Juan Chen

With the development of feed-forward models, the default model for sequence modeling has gradually evolved to replace recurrent networks. Many powerful feed-forward models based on convolutional networks and attention mechanism were…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-17 Hongyan Hao , Yan Wang , Siqiao Xue , Yudi Xia , Jian Zhao , Furao Shen

Time series forecasting, which aims to predict future values based on historical data, has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications. However, real-world time series often exhibit complex non-uniform distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Emadeldeen Eldele , Dongyue Chen , Qinghua Hu , Min Wu

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

Short-term demand forecasting models commonly combine convolutional and recurrent layers to extract complex spatiotemporal patterns in data. Long-term histories are also used to consider periodicity and seasonality patterns as time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-15 Doyup Lee , Suehun Jung , Yeongjae Cheon , Dongil Kim , Seungil You

Time-series forecasting has seen significant advancements with the introduction of token prediction mechanisms such as multi-head attention. However, these methods often struggle to achieve the same performance as in language modeling,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Panayiotis Christou , Shichu Chen , Xupeng Chen , Parijat Dube

Predicting traffic conditions has been recently explored as a way to relieve traffic congestion. Several pioneering approaches have been proposed based on traffic observations of the target location as well as its adjacent regions, but they…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Xingyi Cheng , Ruiqing Zhang , Jie Zhou , Wei Xu