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This paper studies Time Series Extrinsic Regression (TSER): a regression task of which the aim is to learn the relationship between a time series and a continuous scalar variable; a task closely related to time series classification (TSC),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-04 Chang Wei Tan , Christoph Bergmeir , Francois Petitjean , Geoffrey I. Webb

Downsampling-based methods for time series forecasting have attracted increasing attention due to their superiority in capturing sequence trends. However, this approaches mainly capture dependencies within subsequences but neglect…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Zhangyao Song , Nanqing Jiang , Miaohong He , Xiaoyu Zhao , Tao Guo

Due to effective pattern mining and feature representation, neural forecasting models based on deep learning have achieved great progress. The premise of effective learning is to collect sufficient data. However, in time series forecasting,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Yan Gao , Yan Wang , Qiang Wang

Heterogeneous temporal graphs (HTGs) are ubiquitous data structures in the real world. Recently, to enhance representation learning on HTGs, numerous attention-based neural networks have been proposed. Despite these successes, existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Yili Wang , Tairan Huang , Changlong He , Qiutong Li , Jianliang Gao

Deep learning has significantly advanced time series forecasting through its powerful capacity to capture sequence relationships. However, training these models with the Mean Square Error (MSE) loss often results in over-smooth predictions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-25 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Dongyue Chen , Emadeldeen Eldele , Qinghua Hu

In this work we present a data-driven end-to-end Deep Learning approach for time series prediction, applied to financial time series. A Deep Learning scheme is derived to predict the temporal trends of stocks and ETFs in NYSE or NASDAQ. Our…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2017-11-15 Ariel Navon , Yosi Keller

Explosive growth in spatio-temporal data and its wide range of applications have attracted increasing interests of researchers in the statistical and machine learning fields. The spatio-temporal regression problem is of paramount importance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-15 Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Qiyao Wang , Haiyan Wang , Hamed Khorasgani , Chetan Gupta

Sequential deep learning models such as RNN, causal CNN and attention mechanism do not readily consume continuous-time information. Discretizing the temporal data, as we show, causes inconsistency even for simple continuous-time processes.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Da Xu , Chuanwei Ruan , Evren Korpeoglu , Sushant Kumar , Kannan Achan

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan

Multivariate time series forecasting, which analyzes historical time series to predict future trends, can effectively help decision-making. Complex relations among variables in MTS, including static, dynamic, predictable, and latent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-16 Yueyang Wang , Ziheng Duan , Yida Huang , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren

Long-term prediction of multivariate time series is still an important but challenging problem. The key to solve this problem is to capture the spatial correlations at the same time, the spatio-temporal relationships at different times and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-17 Yeqi Liu , Chuanyang Gong , Ling Yang , Yingyi Chen

Time series with long-term structure arise in a variety of contexts and capturing this temporal structure is a critical challenge in time series analysis for both inference and forecasting settings. Traditionally, state space models have…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-12 Anna K. Yanchenko , Sayan Mukherjee

In recent years, deep-learning-based approaches have been introduced to solving time-series forecasting-related problems. These novel methods have demonstrated impressive performance in univariate and low-dimensional multivariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-07 Weiyu Zong , Mingqian Feng , Griffin Heyrich , Peter Chin

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

We propose here an extended attention model for sequence-to-sequence recurrent neural networks (RNNs) designed to capture (pseudo-)periods in time series. This extended attention model can be deployed on top of any RNN and is shown to yield…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-22 Yagmur G. Cinar , Hamid Mirisaee , Parantapa Goswami , Eric Gaussier , Ali Ait-Bachir , Vadim Strijov

Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-12 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Saba Rahimi , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

Time series forecasting has received a lot of attention, with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) being one of the widely used models due to their ability to handle sequential data. Previous studies on RNN time series forecasting, however,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-29 Christopher Salazar , Ashis G. Banerjee

We present a large scale benchmark of modern deep learning architectures for a financial time series prediction and position sizing task, with a primary focus on Sharpe ratio optimization. Evaluating linear models, recurrent networks,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-03-03 Adir Saly-Kaufmann , Kieran Wood , Jan Peter-Calliess , Stefan Zohren

There exist several data-driven approaches that enable us model time series data including traditional regression-based modeling approaches (i.e., ARIMA). Recently, deep learning techniques have been introduced and explored in the context…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-20 Saroj Gopali , Faranak Abri , Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin