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We study a variance reduction strategy based on control variables for simulating the averaged macroscopic behavior of a stochastic slow-fast system. We assume that this averaged behavior can be written in terms of a few slow degrees of…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-09-16 Ward Melis , Giovanni Samaey

Robust controllers that stabilize dynamical systems even under disturbances and noise are often formulated as solutions of nonsmooth, nonconvex optimization problems. While methods such as gradient sampling can handle the nonconvexity and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-05-01 Steffen W. R. Werner , Michael L. Overton , Benjamin Peherstorfer

Shapley values are among the most popular tools for explaining predictions of blackbox machine learning models. However, their high computational cost motivates the use of sampling approximations, inducing a considerable degree of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Jeremy Goldwasser , Giles Hooker

Learning strategies for imperfect information games from samples of interaction is a challenging problem. A common method for this setting, Monte Carlo Counterfactual Regret Minimization (MCCFR), can have slow long-term convergence rates…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-09-11 Martin Schmid , Neil Burch , Marc Lanctot , Matej Moravcik , Rudolf Kadlec , Michael Bowling

We present a new quantum Monte Carlo algorithm suitable for generically complex problems, such as systems coupled to external magnetic fields or anyons in two spatial dimensions. We find that the choice of gauge plays a nontrivial role, and…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-22 Lizeng Zhang , Geoff Canright , Ted Barnes

The precision of lattice QCD calculations is often hindered by the stochastic noise inherent in these methods. The control variates method can provide an effective noise reduction but are typically constructed using heuristic approaches,…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2025-01-27 Hyunwoo Oh

We develop a method for estimating well-conditioned and sparse covariance and inverse covariance matrices from a sample of vectors drawn from a sub-gaussian distribution in high dimensional setting. The proposed estimators are obtained by…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-21 Ashwini Maurya

Second-order information -- such as curvature or data covariance -- is critical for optimisation, diagnostics, and robustness. However, in many modern settings, only the gradients are observable. We show that the gradients alone can reveal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-08 Arash Jamshidi , Katsiaryna Haitsiukevich , Kai Puolamäki

In this study, a multiple-comparison approach is developed for detecting faint hyperspectral sources. The detection method relies on a sparse and non-negative representation on a highly coherent dictionary to track a spatially varying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-24 Raphael Bacher , Celine Meillier , Florent Chatelain , Olivier Michel

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods provide a mechanism for defining distant proposals with high acceptance probabilities in a Metropolis-Hastings framework, enabling more efficient exploration of the state space than standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-13 Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox , Carlos Guestrin

We motive and calculate Newton--Cotes quadrature integration variance and compare it directly with Monte Carlo (MC) integration variance. We find an equivalence between deterministic quadrature sampling and random MC sampling by noting that…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-11 Kevin Vanslette , Abdullatif Al Alsheikh , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

The least squares Monte Carlo algorithm has become popular for solving portfolio optimization problems. A simple approach is to approximate the value functions on a discrete grid of portfolio weights, then use control regression to…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-09-12 Rongju Zhang , Nicolas Langrené , Yu Tian , Zili Zhu , Fima Klebaner , Kais Hamza

Recent progress on the theory of variational hypocoercivity established that Randomized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo -- at criticality -- can achieve pronounced acceleration in its convergence and hence sampling performance over diffusive…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-18 Stefan Oberdörster

Continuous-control reinforcement learning (RL) often exhibits large closed-loop variance, high-frequency control jitter, and sensitivity to disturbance injection. Existing explanations usually emphasize disturbance sources such as action…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-21 Wu Yue

Seismic tomography is a methodology to image the interior of solid or fluid media, and is often used to map properties in the subsurface of the Earth. In order to better interpret the resulting images it is important to assess imaging…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-05-20 Xin Zhang , Andrew Curtis

In latent variable models the parameter estimation can be implemented by using the joint or the marginal likelihood, based on independence or conditional independence assumptions. The same dilemma occurs within the Bayesian framework with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-09-18 Silia Vitoratou , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Irini Moustaki

Biasing or importance sampling is a powerful technique in Monte Carlo radiative transfer, and can be applied in different forms to increase the accuracy and efficiency of simulations. One of the drawbacks of the use of biasing is the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-05-11 Maarten Baes , Karl D. Gordon , Tuomas Lunttila , Simone Bianchi , Peter Camps , Mika Juvela , Rolf Kuiper

Monte Carlo dropout may effectively capture model uncertainty in deep learning, where a measure of uncertainty is obtained by using multiple instances of dropout at test time. However, Monte Carlo dropout is applied across the whole network…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-02-03 Liangping Ma , John Kaewell

Estimating predictive uncertainty is crucial for many computer vision tasks, from image classification to autonomous driving systems. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an sampling method for performing Bayesian inference. On the other hand,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-03 Diego Vergara , Sergio Hernández , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Felipe Jorquera

We provide a collection of results on covariance expressions between Monte Carlo based multi-output mean, variance, and Sobol main effect variance estimators from an ensemble of models. These covariances can be used within multi-fidelity…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-01 Thomas O. Dixon , James E. Warner , Geoffrey F. Bomarito , Alex A. Gorodetsky
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