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Evaluating causal treatment effects in observational studies requires addressing confounding. While the back-door criterion enables identification through adjustment for observed covariates, it fails in the presence of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-04 Anna Guo , David Benkeser , Razieh Nabi

Estimates of heterogeneous treatment assignment effects can inform treatment decisions. Under the presence of non-adherence (e.g., patients do not adhere to their assigned treatment), both the standard backdoor adjustment (SBD) and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Winston Chen , Trenton Chang , Jenna Wiens

Backdoor adjustment is a technique in causal inference for estimating interventional quantities from purely observational data. For example, in medical settings, backdoor adjustment can be used to control for confounding and estimate the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-11 Daniel Israel , Aditya Grover , Guy Van den Broeck

We study the problem of estimating the effect function for a continuous treatment, which maps each treatment value to a population-averaged outcome. A central challenge in this setting is confounding: treatment assignment often depends on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Seok-Jin Kim , Kaizheng Wang

Causal effect estimation from data typically requires assumptions about the cause-effect relations either explicitly in the form of a causal graph structure within the Pearlian framework, or implicitly in terms of (conditional) independence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Abhin Shah , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Murat Kocaoglu

We develop a general estimation and inference procedure for the common parameters in linear panel data regression models with nonparametric two-way specification of unobserved heterogeneity. The procedure takes as input any first-step…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-08 Hugo Freeman , Dennis Kristensen

This paper proposes methods of estimation and uniform inference for a general class of causal functions, such as the conditional average treatment effects and the continuous treatment effects, under multiway clustering. The causal function…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-11 Nan Liu , Yanbo Liu , Yuya Sasaki

Uplift is a particular case of individual treatment effect modeling. Such models deal with cause-and-effect inference for a specific factor, such as a marketing intervention. In practice, these models are built on customer data who…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Belbahri Mouloud , Gandouet Olivier , Kazma Ghaith

We propose an approach to better inform treatment decisions at an individual level by adapting recent advances in average treatment effect estimation to conditional average treatment effect estimation. Our work is based on doubly robust…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-13 Aaron Fisher , Virginia Fisher

We develop a Causal-Deep Neural Network (CDNN) model trained in two stages to infer causal impact estimates at an individual unit level. Using only the pre-treatment features in stage 1 in the absence of any treatment information, we learn…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-24 Naveen Nair , Karthik S. Gurumoorthy , Dinesh Mandalapu

It is important to make robust inference of the conditional average treatment effect from observational data, but this becomes challenging when the confounder is multivariate or high-dimensional. In this article, we propose a double…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-01 Ming-Yueh Huang , Shu Yang

The ultimate goal of regression analysis is to obtain information about the conditional distribution of a response given a set of explanatory variables. This goal is, however, seldom achieved because most established regression models only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-13 Torsten Hothorn , Thomas Kneib , Peter Bühlmann

This paper addresses the use of neural networks for the estimation of treatment effects from observational data. Generally, estimation proceeds in two stages. First, we fit models for the expected outcome and the probability of treatment…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-21 Claudia Shi , David M. Blei , Victor Veitch

We present new results on average causal effects in settings with unmeasured exposure-outcome confounding. Our results are motivated by a class of estimands, e.g., frequently of interest in medicine and public health, that are currently not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-25 Lan Wen , Aaron L. Sarvet , Mats J. Stensrud

This paper considers the practically important case of nonparametrically estimating heterogeneous average treatment effects that vary with a limited number of discrete and continuous covariates in a selection-on-observables framework where…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-26 Michael Zimmert , Michael Lechner

For multi-valued functions---such as when the conditional distribution on targets given the inputs is multi-modal---standard regression approaches are not always desirable because they provide the conditional mean. Modal regression…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-30 Yangchen Pan , Ehsan Imani , Martha White , Amir-massoud Farahmand

A new meta-algorithm for estimating the conditional average treatment effects is proposed in the paper. The main idea underlying the algorithm is to consider a new dataset consisting of feature vectors produced by means of concatenation of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-10 Lev V. Utkin , Mikhail V. Kots , Viacheslav S. Chukanov

Estimating treatment effects from observational data is challenging due to two main reasons: (a) hidden confounding, and (b) covariate mismatch (control and treatment groups not having identical distributions). Long lines of works exist…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-30 Praharsh Nanavati , Ranjitha Prasad , Karthikeyan Shanmugam

This paper addresses the problem of estimating causal effects when adjustment variables in the back-door or front-door criterion are partially observed. For such scenarios, we derive bounds on the causal effects by solving two non-linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-24 Ang Li , Judea Pearl

Single-parameter summaries of variable effects in regression settings are desirable for ease of interpretation. However (partially) linear models for example, which would deliver these, may fit poorly to the data. On the other hand, an…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-28 Harvey Klyne , Rajen D. Shah
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