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Fragility curves are commonly used in civil engineering to assess the vulnerability of structures to earthquakes. The probability of failure associated with a prescribed criterion (e.g. the maximal inter-storey drift of a building exceeding…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-14 C. Mai , K. Konakli , B. Sudret

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential for the reliable application of computational models in engineering and science. Among surrogate modeling techniques, Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is particularly valuable for its…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-15 Jinglai Li , Hongqiao Wang

Fragility curves are commonly used in civil engineering to estimate the vulnerability of structures to earthquakes. The probability of failure associated with a failure criterion (e.g. the maximal inter-storey drift ratio being greater than…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-05-05 Bruno Sudret , Chu Mai , Katerina Konakli

A functional risk curve gives the probability of an undesirable event as a function of the value of a critical parameter of a considered physical system. In several applicative situations, this curve is built using phenomenological…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-26 Bertrand Iooss , Loïc Le Gratiet

Estimates of seismic wave speeds in the Earth (seismic velocity models) are key input parameters to earthquake simulations for ground motion prediction. Owing to the non-uniqueness of the seismic inverse problem, typically many velocity…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-12-05 Sam A. Scivier , Tarje Nissen-Meyer , Paula Koelemeijer , Atılım Güneş Baydin

The interpretation of seismic images faces challenges due to the presence of several uncertainty sources. Uncertainties exist in data measurements, source positioning, and subsurface geophysical properties. Understanding uncertainties' role…

Accurate assessment of systematic uncertainties is an increasingly vital task in physics studies, where large, high-dimensional datasets, like those collected at the Large Hadron Collider, hold the key to new discoveries. Common approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Alexis Romero , Kyle Cranmer , Daniel Whiteson

A framework is developed based on different uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques in order to assess validation and verification (V&V) metrics in computational physics problems, in general, and computational fluid dynamics (CFD), in…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-07-15 Saleh Rezaeiravesh , Ricardo Vinuesa , Philipp Schlatter

Predicting fuel assembly bow in pressurized water reactors requires solving tightly coupled fluid-structure interaction problems, whose direct simulations can be computationally prohibitive, making large-scale uncertainty quantification…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Ali Abboud , Josselin Garnier , Bertrand Leturcq , Stanislas de Lambert

Seismic inversion is essential for geophysical exploration and geological assessment, but it is inherently subject to significant uncertainty. This uncertainty stems primarily from the limited information provided by observed seismic data,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-09-12 Luping Qu , Mauricio Araya-Polo , Laurent Demanet

One of the key elements of probabilistic seismic risk assessment studies is the fragility curve, which represents the conditional probability of failure of a mechanical structure for a given scalar measure derived from seismic ground…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-17 Antoine Van Biesbroeck , Clement Gauchy , Cyril Feau , Josselin Garnier

This work suggests several methods of uncertainty treatment in multiscale modelling and describes their application to a system of coupled turbulent transport simulations of a tokamak plasma. We propose a method to quantify the usually…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2023-07-10 Yehor Yudin , David Coster , Udo von Toussaint , Frank Jenko

In the near future, Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) technologies will be capable of overcoming the drawbacks in the current maintenance and life-cycle management paradigms, namely: cost, increased downtime, less-than-optimal safety…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-05 Ahmad Amer , Fotis Kopsaftopoulos

In the framework of the estimation of safety margins in nuclear accident analysis, a quantitative assessment of the uncertainties tainting the results of computer simulations is essential. Accurate uncertainty propagation (estimation of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-01 Bertrand Iooss , Amandine Marrel

We present a general framework for uncertainty quantification that is a mosaic of interconnected models. We define global first and second order structural and correlative sensitivity analyses for random counting measures acting on risk…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-05 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz

Gaussian process (GP) models are effective non-linear models for numerous scientific applications. However, computation of their hyperparameters can be difficult when there is a large number of training observations (n) due to the O(n^3)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-10-14 Amanda Muyskens , Benjamin W. Priest , Imene R. Goumiri , Michael D. Schneider

This study presents a comprehensive framework for uncertainty quantification (UQ) and design optimization of plasma etching in semiconductor manufacturing. The framework is demonstrated using experimental measurements of etched depth…

科普物理 · 物理学 2025-11-10 Yongsu Jung , Minji Kang , Muyoung Kim , Min Sup Choi , Hyeong-U Kim , Jaekwang Kim

The key elements of seismic probabilistic risk assessment studies are the fragility curves which express the probabilities of failure of structures conditional to a seismic intensity measure. A multitude of procedures is currently available…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-17 Clement Gauchy , Cyril Feau , Josselin Garnier

Seismic vulnerability analysis of existing buildings requires basic information on their structural behaviour. The ambient vibrations of buildings and the modal parameters (frequencies, damping ration and modal shapes) that can be extracted…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-07-13 Clotaire Michel , Philippe Guéguen

This paper introduces a stochastic simulator for seismic uncertainty quantification, which is crucial for performance-based earthquake engineering. The proposed simulator extends the recently developed dimensionality reduction-based…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-09-27 Jungho Kim , Ziqi Wang
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