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Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Dongwei Ye , Weihao Yan , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's…

$L_1$ regularized logistic regression has now become a workhorse of data mining and bioinformatics: it is widely used for many classification problems, particularly ones with many features. However, $L_1$ regularization typically selects…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-12 Zhe Liu

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

Building a machine learning solution in real-life applications often involves the decomposition of the problem into multiple models of various complexity. This has advantages in terms of overall performance, better interpretability of the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-05-27 Bashar Awwad Shiekh Hasan , Kate Kelly

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Model uncertainty is a central challenge in statistical models for binary outcomes such as logistic regression, arising when it is unclear which predictors should be included in the model. Many methods have been proposed to address this…

Raking is widely used in categorical data modeling and survey practice but faced with methodological and computational challenges. We develop a Bayesian paradigm for raking by incorporating the marginal constraints as a prior distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Peigen Zhou

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

The present paper is about estimation and prediction in high-dimensional additive models under a sparsity assumption ($p\gg n$ paradigm). A PAC-Bayesian strategy is investigated, delivering oracle inequalities in probability. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-22 Benjamin Guedj , Pierre Alquier

Joint sparsity offers powerful structural cues for feature selection, especially for variables that are expected to demonstrate a "grouped" behavior. Such behavior is commonly modeled via group-lasso, multitask lasso, and related methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-04-09 Suvrit Sra

Multi-task learning (MTL) aims to improve generalization performance by learning multiple related tasks simultaneously. While sometimes the underlying task relationship structure is known, often the structure needs to be estimated from data…

We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

An increasing number of mobile applications rely on Machine Learning (ML) routines for analyzing data. Executing such tasks at the user devices saves the energy spent on transmitting and processing large data volumes at distant…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2022-01-11 Apostolos Galanopoulos , George Iosifidis , Theodoros Salonidis , Douglas J. Leith

We develop a mixture model for transition density approximation, together with soft model selection, in the presence of noisy and heterogeneous nonlinear dynamics. Our model builds on the Gaussian mixture transition distribution (MTD) model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-03 Matthew Heiner , Athanasios Kottas

In particle physics, as in many areas of science, parameter inference relies on simulations to bridge the gap between theory and experiment. Recent developments in simulation-based inference have boosted the sensitivity of analyses;…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2026-04-23 Ezequiel Alvarez , Sean Benevedes , Manuel Szewc , Jesse Thaler

Although high-performance computing (HPC) systems have been scaled to meet the exponentially-growing demand for scientific computing, HPC performance variability remains a major challenge and has become a critical research topic in computer…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-23 Li Xu , Yili Hong , Max D. Morris , Kirk W. Cameron

In a Bayesian learning setting, the posterior distribution of a predictive model arises from a trade-off between its prior distribution and the conditional likelihood of observed data. Such distribution functions usually rely on additional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-11-01 Andrea Schirru , Simone Pampuri , Giuseppe De Nicolao , Sean McLoone

A functional (lagged) time series regression model involves the regression of scalar response time series on a time series of regressors that consists of a sequence of random functions. In practice, the underlying regressor curve time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-28 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos