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Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Dynamic Data selection aims to accelerate training by prioritizing informative samples during online training. However, existing methods typically rely on task-specific handcrafted metrics or static/snapshot-based criteria to estimate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Suorong Yang , Fangjian Su , Hai Gan , Ziqi Ye , Jie Li , Baile Xu , Furao Shen , Soujanya Poria

We design a simple reinforcement learning (RL) agent that implements an optimistic version of $Q$-learning and establish through regret analysis that this agent can operate with some level of competence in any environment. While we leverage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-13 Shi Dong , Benjamin Van Roy , Zhengyuan Zhou

AI Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has the potential to improve human decision-making beyond AI predictions alone by providing additional probabilistic information to users. The majority of past research on AI and human decision-making has…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-07 Laura R. Marusich , Jonathan Z. Bakdash , Yan Zhou , Murat Kantarcioglu

A Persuasive Teachable Agent (PTA) is a special type of Teachable Agent which incorporates a persuasion theory in order to provide persuasive and more personalized feedback to the student. By employing the persuasion techniques, the PTA…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-01-26 Zhiwei Zeng

In this research, we extend the universal reinforcement learning (URL) agent models of artificial general intelligence to quantum environments. The utility function of a classical exploratory stochastic Knowledge Seeking Agent, KL-KSA, is…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-12-08 Aritra Sarkar , Zaid Al-Ars , Harshitta Gandhi , Koen Bertels

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a critical aspect of artificial intelligence (AI) systems, particularly in high-risk domains such as healthcare, autonomous systems, and financial technology, where decision-making processes must account…

Large-language models (LLMs) and chatbot agents are known to provide wrong outputs at times, and it was recently found that this can never be fully prevented. Hence, uncertainty quantification plays a crucial role, aiming to quantify the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Michael Kirchhof , Gjergji Kasneci , Enkelejda Kasneci

Model-based reinforcement learning algorithms, which aim to learn a model of the environment to make decisions, are more sample efficient than their model-free counterparts. The sample efficiency of model-based approaches relies on whether…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-21 Zhihai Wang , Jie Wang , Qi Zhou , Bin Li , Houqiang Li

Characterizing aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty on the predicted rewards can help in building reliable reinforcement learning (RL) systems. Aleatoric uncertainty results from the irreducible environment stochasticity leading to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-06 Bertrand Charpentier , Ransalu Senanayake , Mykel Kochenderfer , Stephan Günnemann

We frame Question Answering (QA) as a Reinforcement Learning task, an approach that we call Active Question Answering. We propose an agent that sits between the user and a black box QA system and learns to reformulate questions to elicit…

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

The introduction of the Segment Anything Model (SAM) has paved the way for numerous semantic segmentation applications. For several tasks, quantifying the uncertainty of SAM is of particular interest. However, the ambiguous nature of the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Timo Kaiser , Thomas Norrenbrock , Bodo Rosenhahn

An effective approach to exploration in reinforcement learning is to rely on an agent's uncertainty over the optimal policy, which can yield near-optimal exploration strategies in tabular settings. However, in non-tabular settings that…

We explore the application of uncertainty quantification methods to agent-based models (ABMs) using a simple sheep and wolf predator-prey model. This work serves as a tutorial on how techniques like emulation can be powerful tools in this…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2024-09-26 Louise Kimpton , Peter Challenor , James Salter

Multi-agent systems are prevalent in a wide range of domains including power systems, vehicular networks, and robotics. Two important problems to solve in these types of systems are how the intentions of non-coordinating agents can be…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Benjamin Alcorn , Eman Hammad

Active learning agents typically employ a query selection algorithm which solely considers the agent's learning objectives. However, this may be insufficient in more realistic human domains. This work uses imitation learning to enable an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-02 Kalesha Bullard , Yannick Schroecker , Sonia Chernova

Can AI agents predict whether they will succeed at a task? We study agentic uncertainty by eliciting success probability estimates before, during, and after task execution. All results exhibit agentic overconfidence: some agents that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Jean Kaddour , Srijan Patel , Gbètondji Dovonon , Leo Richter , Pasquale Minervini , Matt J. Kusner

Various strategies for active learning have been proposed in the machine learning literature. In uncertainty sampling, which is among the most popular approaches, the active learner sequentially queries the label of those instances for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 Vu-Linh Nguyen , Sébastien Destercke , Eyke Hüllermeier