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相关论文: Accurate Long-term Air Temperature Prediction with…

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As a form of "small A", quantile machine learning is used to forecast diurnal and nocturnal $Q(.90)$ air temperatures for Paris, France from late spring through the summer months of 2021. The data are provided by the Paris-Montsouris…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-20 Richard Berk

Because of the impact of extreme heat waves and heat domes on society and biodiversity, their study is a key challenge. We specifically study long-lasting extreme heat waves, which are among the most important for climate impacts. Physics…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-14 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Francesco Ragone , Pierre Borgnat , Patrice Abry , Freddy Bouchet

Understanding extreme events and their probability is key for the study of climate change impacts, risk assessment, adaptation, and the protection of living beings. Forecasting the occurrence probability of extreme heatwaves is a primary…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-02-21 George Miloshevich , Bastien Cozian , Patrice Abry , Pierre Borgnat , Freddy Bouchet

With the press of global climate change, extreme weather and sudden weather changes are becoming increasingly common. To maintain a comfortable indoor environment and minimize the contribution of the building to climate change as much as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Liping Sun , Yucheng Guo , Siliang Lu , Zhenzhen Li

This paper addresses the critical challenge of improving predictions of climate extreme events, specifically heat waves, using machine learning methods. Our work is framed as a classification problem in which we try to predict whether…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Julien Collard , Pierre Gentine , Tian Zheng

Weather forecasting benefits us in various ways from farmers in cultivation and harvesting their crops to airlines to schedule their flights. Weather forecasting is a challenging task due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Therefore…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-10 Eranga De Saa , Lochandaka Ranathunga

Climate change impacts could cause progressive decrease of crop quality and yield, up to harvest failures. In particular, heat waves and other climate extremes can lead to localized food shortages and even threaten food security of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-09-18 Andrea Gobbi , Marco Cristoforetti , Giuseppe Jurman , Cesare Furlanello

Urban heat islands, defined as specific zones exhibiting substantially higher temperatures than their immediate environs, pose significant threats to environmental sustainability and public health. This study introduces a novel…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-03 Lorenzo Innocenti , Giacomo Blanco , Luca Barco , Claudio Rossi

A nonanticipative analog method is used for the long-term forecast of air temperature extremes. The data to be used for prediction include average daily air temperature, mean visibility, mean wind speed, mean dew point, maximum and minimum…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-07-14 Dmytro Zubov , Humberto A. Barbosa , Gregory S. Duane

The most recent concern of all people on Earth is the increase in the concentration of greenhouse gas in the atmosphere. The concentration of these gases has risen rapidly over the last century and if the trend continues it can cause many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-16 Samveg Shah , Shubham Thakar , Kashish Jain , Bhavya Shah , Sudhir Dhage

The increasingly populated cities of the 21st Century face the challenge of being sustainable and resilient spaces for their inhabitants. However, climate change, among other problems, makes these objectives difficult to achieve. The Urban…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-06 Iñigo Delgado-Enales , Joshua Lizundia-Loiola , Patricia Molina-Costa , Javier Del Ser

The analysis of extremes in climate models is hindered by the lack of statistics due to the computational costs required to run simulations long enough to sample rare events. We demonstrate how rare event algorithms can improve the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-07-07 Francesco Ragone , Freddy Bouchet

Scientific and technological advances in numerical modelling have improved the quality of climate predictions over recent decades, but predictive skill remains limited in many aspects. Extreme events such as heat and cold waves, droughts,…

Global warming leads to the increase in frequency and intensity of climate extremes that cause tremendous loss of lives and property. Accurate long-range climate prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster risk management for…

With climate change-related extreme events on the rise, high dimensional Earth observation data presents a unique opportunity for forecasting and understanding impacts on ecosystems. This is, however, impeded by the complexity of…

As urbanization and climate change progress, urban heat becomes a priority for climate adaptation efforts. High temperatures concentrated in urban heat can drive increased risk of heat-related death and illness as well as increased energy…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-26 Grant Buster , Jordan Cox , Brandon N. Benton , Ryan N. King

The rising temperature is one of the key indicators of a warming climate, and it can cause extensive stress to biological systems as well as built structures. Due to the heat island effect, it is most severe in urban environments compared…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-08 Manzhu Yu , Fangcao Xu , Weiming Hu , Jian Sun , Guido Cervone

It is important to calculate and analyze temperature and humidity prediction accuracies among quantitative meteorological forecasting. This study manipulates the extant neural network methods to foster the predictive accuracy. To achieve…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-01-26 Ki Hong Shin , Jae Won Jung , Sung Kyu Seo , Cheol Hwan You , Dong In Lee , Jisun Lee , Ki Ho Chang , Woon Seon Jung , Kyungsik Kim

In this paper, gradient boosting is used to forecast the Q(.95) values of air temperature and the Steadman Heat Index. Paris, France during late the spring and summer months is the major focus. Predictors and responses are drawn from the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Richard A. Berk

Air pollution stands as the fourth leading cause of death globally. While extensive research has been conducted in this domain, most approaches rely on large datasets when it comes to prediction. This limits their applicability in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-10 Mulomba Mukendi Christian , Hyebong Choi
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