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相关论文: Non-segmental Bayesian Detection of Multiple Chang…

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Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change…

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the locations of change points in a high-dimensional mean shift model. To that end, we develop a locally refitted least squares estimator and obtain component-wise and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Abhishek Kaul , George Michailidis

Our study addresses the inference of jumps (i.e. sets of discontinuities) within multivariate signals from noisy observations in the non-parametric regression setting. Departing from standard analytical approaches, we propose a new…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-07 Hugo Henneuse

A new approach to detect change points based on differential smoothing and multiple testing is presented for long data sequences modeled as piecewise constant functions plus stationary ergodic Gaussian noise. As an application of the STEM…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-20 Dan Cheng , Zhibing He , Armin Schwartzman

Recent findings suggest that abnormal operating conditions of equipment in the oil and gas supply chain represent a large fraction of anthropogenic methane emissions. Thus, effective mitigation of emissions necessitates rapid identification…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-09-06 Amir Montazeri , Xiaochi Zhou , John D. Albertson

We develop a mixture procedure for multi-sensor systems to monitor data streams for a change-point that causes a gradual degradation to a subset of the streams. Observations are assumed to be initially normal random variables with known…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-02-19 Yang Cao , Yao Xie , Nagi Gebraeel

Change-point detection and locally stationary time series modeling are two major approaches for the analysis of non-stationary data. The former aims to identify stationary phases by detecting abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-16 Wai Leong Ng , Xinyi Tang , Mun Lau Cheung , Jiacheng Gao , Chun Yip Yau , Holger Dette

In segmentation problems, inference on change-point position and model selection are two difficult issues due to the discrete nature of change-points. In a Bayesian context, we derive exact, non-asymptotic, explicit and tractable formulae…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-12-31 Guillem Rigaill , Emilie Lebarbier , Stéphane Robin

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Change point detection in high dimensional data has found considerable interest in recent years. Most of the literature either designs methodology for a retrospective analysis, where the whole sample is already available when the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-16 Josua Gösmann , Christina Stoehr , Johannes Heiny , Holger Dette

Without imposing prior distributional knowledge underlying multivariate time series of interest, we propose a nonparametric change-point detection approach to estimate the number of change points and their locations along the temporal axis.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-13 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

We propose Narrowest Significance Pursuit (NSP), a general and flexible methodology for automatically detecting localised regions in data sequences which each must contain a change-point (understood as an abrupt change in the parameters of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-05 Piotr Fryzlewicz

We present the group fused Lasso for detection of multiple change-points shared by a set of co-occurring one-dimensional signals. Change-points are detected by approximating the original signals with a constraint on the multidimensional…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2011-06-23 Kevin Bleakley , Jean-Philippe Vert

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

We consider the problem of change-point detection in multivariate time-series. The multivariate distribution of the observations is supposed to follow a graphical model, whose graph and parameters are affected by abrupt changes throughout…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-20 Loïc Schwaller , Stéphane Robin

We propose a novel approach for detecting change points in high-dimensional linear regression models. Unlike previous research that relied on strict Gaussian/sub-Gaussian error assumptions and had prior knowledge of change points, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-22 Bin Liu , Zhengling Qi , Xinsheng Zhang , Yufeng Liu

In standardized educational testing, test items are reused in multiple test administrations. To ensure the validity of test scores, the psychometric properties of items should remain unchanged over time. In this paper, we consider the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Yunxiao Chen , Yi-Hsuan Lee , Xiaoou Li

Very long and noisy sequence data arise from biological sciences to social science including high throughput data in genomics and stock prices in econometrics. Often such data are collected in order to identify and understand shifts in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-15 Yue S. Niu , Ning Hao , Heping Zhang

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead