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While time series prediction is an important, actively studied problem, the predictive accuracy of time series models is complicated by non-stationarity. We develop a fast and effective approach to allow for non-stationarity in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-10 Daniel M. McCarthy , Shane T. Jensen

This paper deals with the state estimation of stochastic models with continuous dynamics. The aim is to incorporate spectral differentiation methods into the solution to the Fokker-Planck equation in grid-based state estimation routine,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-20 Jakub Matousek , Jindrich Dunik , Marek Brandner

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for joint state and parameter estimation for nonlinear uncertain discrete-time systems. We establish robust exponential convergence of the combined estimation error subject to process…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-25 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

Many complex systems occurring in the natural or social sciences or economics are frequently described on a microscopic level, e.g., by lattice- or agent-based models. To analyze the states of such systems and their bifurcation structure on…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2020-10-07 Clemens Willers , Uwe Thiele , Andrew J. Archer , David J. B. Lloyd , Oliver Kamps

A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson

We describe a method to extract from experimental data the important dynamical modes in spatio-temporal patterns in a system driven out of thermodynamic equilibrium. Using a novel optical technique for controlling fluid flow, we create an…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2011-05-03 Adam C. Perkins , Roman O. Grigoriev , Michael F. Schatz

Often both Aggregate Data (AD) studies and Individual Patient Data (IPD) studies are available for specific treatments. Combining these two sources of data could improve the overall meta-analytic estimates of treatment effects. Moreover,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-15 Neha Agarwala , Junyong Park , Anindya Roy

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a promising method for solving large-scale inverse problems, due to its excellent scalability with respect to data size. In this work, we analyze a new data-driven regularized stochastic gradient descent…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-09-30 Zehui Zhou

Interpretability and stability are two important features that are desired in many contemporary big data applications arising in economics and finance. While the former is enjoyed to some extent by many existing forecasting approaches, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-09-14 Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi , Yoshimasa Uematsu

Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is an unsupervised machine learning method that has attracted considerable attention in recent years owing to its equation-free structure, ability to easily identify coherent spatio-temporal structures in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-16 Alex Viguerie , Gabriel F. Barros , Malú Grave , Alessandro Reali , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

The paper presents a generalization of the local limit theorem on the convergence of inhomogeneous Markov chains to the diffusion limit for the case where the corresponding process coefficients satisfy weak regularity conditions and…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-02 I. Bitter , V. Konakov

Sensors producing 3D point clouds such as 3D laser scanners and RGB-D cameras are widely used in robotics, be it for autonomous driving or manipulation. Aligning point clouds produced by these sensors is a vital component in such…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-07-23 Fahira Afzal Maken , Fabio Ramos , Lionel Ott

Ion traps are a versatile tool to study nonequilibrium statistical physics, due to the tunability of dissipation and nonlinearity. We propose an experiment with a chain of trapped ions, where dissipation is provided by laser heating and…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2011-04-06 Tony E. Lee , M. C. Cross

We study continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers under mild regularity conditions (in particular, the set of jump vectors is finite and both forward and backward jumps are possible). Based on the so-called flux balance…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-26 Mads Chr Hansen , Carsten Wiuf , Chuang Xu

In this paper, we introduce an inertial version of the Proximal Incremental Aggregated Gradient method (PIAG) for minimizing the sum of smooth convex component functions and a possibly nonsmooth convex regularization function.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-12-19 Xiaoya Zhang , Wei Peng , Hui Zhang , Wei Zhu

This work develops compressive sampling strategies for computing the dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) from heavily subsampled or output-projected data. The resulting DMD eigenvalues are equal to DMD eigenvalues from the full-state data. It…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-12-19 Steven L. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor , J. Nathan Kutz

Machine learning and computational intelligence technologies gain more and more popularity as possible solution for issues related to the power grid. One of these issues, the power flow calculation, is an iterative method to compute the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-21 Stephan Balduin , Eric MSP Veith , Sebastian Lehnhoff

The bulk power grid is divided into regional grids interconnected with multiple tie-lines for efficient operation. Since interconnected power grids are operated by different control centers, it is a challenging task to realize coordinated…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-07 Siyuan Wang , Cheng Feng , Fengqi You

In this paper, we study the simultaneous stability problem of a finite number of locally inter-connected linear subsystems under practical constraints, including asynchronous and aperiodic sampling, time-varying delays, and measurement…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-10-06 Feng Xiao , Yang Shi , Wei Ren

In this paper, we focus on the decentralized stochastic subgradient-based methods in minimizing nonsmooth nonconvex functions without Clarke regularity, especially in the decentralized training of nonsmooth neural networks. We propose a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-07 Siyuan Zhang , Nachuan Xiao , Xin Liu