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Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible, probabilistic, nonparametric models widely used in fields such as spatial statistics and machine learning. A drawback of Gaussian processes is their computational cost, with $O(N^3)$ time and $O(N^2)$…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Filippo Rambelli , Fabio Sigrist

We present a method for both cross estimation and iterated time series prediction of spatio temporal dynamics based on reconstructed local states, PCA dimension reduction, and local modelling using nearest neighbour methods. The…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-11-11 Jonas Isensee , George Datseris , Ulrich Parlitz

This paper investigates a partially linear spatial autoregressive panel data model that incorporates fixed effects, constant and time-varying regression coefficients, and a time-varying spatial lag coefficient. A two-stage least squares…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-15 Lingling Tian , Chuanhua Wei , Mixia Wu

We propose Laplacian In-context Spectral Analysis (LISA), a method for inference-time adaptation of Laplacian-based time-series models using only an observed prefix. LISA combines delay-coordinate embeddings and Laplacian spectral learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Julio Candanedo

In this paper, we develop a multi-step estimation procedure to simultaneously estimate the varying-coefficient functions using a local-linear generalized method of moments (GMM) based on continuous moment conditions. To incorporate spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-07 Pratim Guha Niyogi , Ping-Shou Zhong , Xiaohong Joe Zhou

This paper develops methodology for local sensitivity analysis based on directional derivatives associated with spatial processes. Formal gradient analysis for spatial processes was elaborated in previous papers, focusing on distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-31 Maria A. Terres , Alan E. Gelfand

We consider the estimation of the value of a linear functional of the slope parameter in functional linear regression, where scalar responses are modeled in dependence of random functions. In Johannes and Schenk [2010] it has been shown…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-12-14 Jan Johannes , Rudolf Schenk

We develop a scalable class of models for latent variable estimation using composite Gaussian processes, with a focus on derivative Gaussian processes. We jointly model multiple data sources as outputs to improve the accuracy of latent…

McCullagh and Yang (2006) suggest a family of classification algorithms based on Cox processes. We further investigate the log Gaussian variant which has a number of appealing properties. Conditioned on the covariates, the distribution over…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-23 Alexander G. de. G Matthews , Zoubin Ghahramani

We develop a moment equation closure minimization method for the inexpensive approximation of the steady state statistical structure of nonlinear systems whose potential functions have bimodal shapes and which are subjected to correlated…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-10-08 Han Kyul Joo , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Gaussian mixtures are a powerful and widely used tool to model non-Gaussian estimation problems. They are able to describe measurement errors that follow arbitrary distributions and can represent ambiguity in assignment tasks like point set…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-04-02 Tim Pfeifer , Sven Lange , Peter Protzel

Gaussian Processes and the Kullback-Leibler divergence have been deeply studied in Statistics and Machine Learning. This paper marries these two concepts and introduce the local Kullback-Leibler divergence to learn about intervals where two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-13 Nicolás Hernández , Gabriel Martos

We develop a functional Stein-Malliavin method in a non-diffusive Poissonian setting, thus obtaining a) quantitative central limit theorems for approximation of arbitrary non-degenerate Gaussian random elements taking values in a separable…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-17 Solesne Bourguin , Simon Campese , Thanh Dang

We study active learning (AL) based on Gaussian Processes (GPs) for efficiently enumerating all of the local minimum solutions of a black-box function. This problem is challenging due to the fact that local solutions are characterized by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-11 Yu Inatsu , Daisuke Sugita , Kazuaki Toyoura , Ichiro Takeuchi

In this paper, we propose a variable grouping method based on cooperative coevolution for large-scale multi-objective problems (LSMOPs), named Linkage Measurement Minimization (LMM). And for the sub-problem optimization stage, a hybrid…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2022-08-30 Rui Zhong , Masaharu Munetomo

A stochastic iterative algorithm approximating second-order information using von Neumann series is discussed. We present convergence guarantees for strongly-convex and smooth functions. Our analysis is much simpler in contrast to a similar…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-04-14 Mojmir Mutny

The Lagrangian perturbation theory on Friedmann-Lemaitre cosmologies is compared with numerical simulations (tree-, adaptive P$^3$M- and PM codes). In previous work we have probed the large-scale performance of the Lagrangian perturbation…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2011-05-23 G. Karakatsanis , T. Buchert , A. L. Melott

Fitting regression models for intensity functions of spatial point processes is of great interest in ecological and epidemiological studies of association between spatially referenced events and geographical or environmental covariates.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Yongtao Guan , Abdollah Jalilian , Rasmus Waagepetersen

This paper presents a new approach for Gaussian process (GP) regression for large datasets. The approach involves partitioning the regression input domain into multiple local regions with a different local GP model fitted in each region.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-10 Chiwoo Park , Daniel Apley

In this paper, we propose a doubly stochastic spatial point process model with both aggregation and repulsion. This model combines the ideas behind Strauss processes and log Gaussian Cox processes. The likelihood for this model is not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-03 Ninna Vihrs , Jesper Møller , Alan E. Gelfand