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Considering a probability distribution over parameters is known as an efficient strategy to learn a neural network with non-differentiable activation functions. We study the expectation of a probabilistic neural network as a predictor by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-17 Louis Fortier-Dubois , Gaël Letarte , Benjamin Leblanc , François Laviolette , Pascal Germain

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have emerged as a powerful methodology with significant practical successes in fields such as computer vision and natural language processing. Recent works have demonstrated that sparsely connected DNNs with…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-08 The Tien Mai

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a sequence of random elements $f(X_1, \theta)$ $, \ldots, $ $f(X_n, \theta)$ where $f$ is a fixed scalar function, $S=(X_1, \ldots, X_n)$ are independent random variables, and $\theta$ is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-14 Kyoungseok Jang , Kwang-Sung Jun , Ilja Kuzborskij , Francesco Orabona

Inferences about hypotheses are ubiquitous in the cognitive sciences. Bayes factors provide one general way to compare different hypotheses by their compatibility with the observed data. Those quantifications can then also be used to choose…

PAC-Bayes learning is an established framework to both assess the generalisation ability of learning algorithms, and design new learning algorithm by exploiting generalisation bounds as training objectives. Most of the exisiting bounds…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-31 Maxime Haddouche , Benjamin Guedj

The measurement of the efficiency of an event selection is always an important part of the analysis of experimental data. The statistical techniques which are needed to determine the efficiency and its uncertainty are reviewed. Frequentist…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-08-28 Diego Casadei

We present a new PAC-Bayesian generalization bound. Standard bounds contain a $\sqrt{L_n \cdot \KL/n}$ complexity term which dominates unless $L_n$, the empirical error of the learning algorithm's randomized predictions, vanishes. We manage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-16 Zakaria Mhammedi , Peter D. Grunwald , Benjamin Guedj

We derive information-theoretic lower bounds on the Bayes risk and generalization error of realizable machine learning models. In particular, we employ an analysis in which the rate-distortion function of the model parameters bounds the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Matthew Nokleby , Ahmad Beirami

Linear Autoencoders (LAEs) have shown strong performance in state-of-the-art recommender systems. However, this success remains largely empirical, with limited theoretical understanding. In this paper, we investigate the generalizability --…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Ruixin Guo , Ruoming Jin , Xinyu Li , Yang Zhou

Goldwasser et al. (2021) recently proposed the setting of PAC verification, where a hypothesis (machine learning model) that purportedly satisfies the agnostic PAC learning objective is verified using an interactive proof. In this paper we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Saachi Mutreja , Jonathan Shafer

Systems that are based on recursive Bayesian updates for classification limit the cost of evidence collection through certain stopping/termination criteria and accordingly enforce decision making. Conventionally, two termination criteria…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-27 Aziz Kocanaogullari , Murat Akcakaya , Deniz Erdogmus

Loss-based clustering methods, such as k-means and its variants, are standard tools for finding groups in data. However, the lack of quantification of uncertainty in the estimated clusters is a disadvantage. Model-based clustering based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-11 Tommaso Rigon , Amy H. Herring , David B. Dunson

According to different typologies of activity and priority, risks can assume diverse meanings and it can be assessed in different ways. In general risk is measured in terms of a probability combination of an event (frequency) and its…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 C. E. Bonafede , P. Giudici

Meta-Learning aims to speed up the learning process on new tasks by acquiring useful inductive biases from datasets of related learning tasks. While, in practice, the number of related tasks available is often small, most of the existing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Jonas Rothfuss , Martin Josifoski , Vincent Fortuin , Andreas Krause

Estimation of reliability and hazard rate is one of the most important problems raised in many applications especially in engineering studies as well as human lifetime. In this regard, different methods of estimation have been used. Each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-27 Hassan Piriaeia , Omid Shojaee

Performing inference in Bayesian models requires sampling algorithms to draw samples from the posterior. This becomes prohibitively expensive as the size of data sets increase. Constructing approximations to the posterior which are cheap to…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-19 George Wynne

We are motivated by the problem of providing strong generalization guarantees in the context of meta-learning. Existing generalization bounds are either challenging to evaluate or provide vacuous guarantees in even relatively simple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-27 Alec Farid , Anirudha Majumdar

Bayesian coresets speed up posterior inference in the large-scale data regime by approximating the full-data log-likelihood function with a surrogate log-likelihood based on a small, weighted subset of the data. But while Bayesian coresets…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-18 Trevor Campbell

Common statistical practice has shown that the full power of Bayesian methods is not realized until hierarchical priors are used, as these allow for greater "robustness" and the ability to "share statistical strength." Yet it is an ongoing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-05-20 Jonathan H. Huggins , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

Hypothesis tests and confidence intervals are ubiquitous in empirical research, yet their connection to subsequent decision-making is often unclear. We develop a theory of certified decisions that pairs recommended decisions with…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-26 Isaiah Andrews , Jiafeng Chen