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We present a framework for analyzing the near miss effect in lotteries. A decision maker (DM) facing a lottery, falsely interprets losing outcomes that are close to winning ones, as a sign that success is within reach. As a result of this…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-18 Michael Crystal

Quantum Decision Theory, advanced earlier by the authors, and illustrated for lotteries with gains, is generalized to the games containing lotteries with gains as well as losses. The mathematical structure of the approach is based on the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-20 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

At the end, the house always wins! This simple truth holds for all public games of chance. Nevertheless, since lotteries have existed, people have tried everything to give luck a helping hand. This article compares objective scientific…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Ralph Stömmer

One of the most celebrated results in mechanism design is Myerson's characterization of the revenue optimal auction for selling a single item. However, this result relies heavily on the assumption that buyers are indifferent to risk. In…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-10-08 Evdokia Nikolova , Emmanouil Pountourakis , Ger Yang

Entities in multi-agent systems may seek conflicting subobjectives, and this leads to competition between them. To address performance degradation due to competition, we consider a bi-level lottery where a social planner at the high level…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-12-04 Hunmin Kim , Minghui Zhu

An accumulator is a bet that presents a rather unique payout structure, in that it combines multiple bets into a wager that can generate a total payout given by the multiplication of the individual odds of its parts. These potentially…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-04-21 Nassim Dehouche

Two acts are comonotonic if they yield high payoffs in the same states of nature. The main purpose of this paper is to derive a new characterization of Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) through simple properties involving comonotonicity. The…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-01 Lorenzo Bastianello , Alain Chateauneuf , Bernard Cornet

This paper initiates a discussion of mechanism design when the participating agents exhibit preferences that deviate from expected utility theory (EUT). In particular, we consider mechanism design for systems where the agents are modeled as…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-01-22 Soham R. Phade , Venkat Anantharam

We consider assortment optimization over a continuous spectrum of products represented by the unit interval, where the seller's problem consists of determining the optimal subset of products to offer to potential customers. To describe the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-15 Yannik Peeters , Arnoud V. den Boer , Michel Mandjes

Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) is a modeling tool widely used in behavioral economics and cognitive psychology that captures subjective decision making of individuals under risk or uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a dynamic pricing…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Yue Guan , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , H. Eric Tseng

This work investigates the design of risk-perception-aware motion-planning strategies that incorporate non-rational perception of risks associated with uncertain spatial costs. Our proposed method employs the Cumulative Prospect Theory…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Aamodh Suresh , Sonia Martinez

In this work we focus on efficient heuristics for solving a class of stochastic planning problems that arise in a variety of business, investment, and industrial applications. The problem is best described in terms of future buy and sell…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Milos Hauskrecht , Eli Upfal

We propose a novel parametrization of Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT), as developed by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, that yields an explicit gamble valuation formula for Gaussian reward distributions. Specifically, we define parametric…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Mederic Motte

Optimal mechanisms have been provided in quite general multi-item settings, as long as each bidder's type distribution is given explicitly by listing every type in the support along with its associated probability. In the implicit setting,…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2015-03-09 Constantinos Daskalakis , Alan Deckelbaum , Christos Tzamos

The design of sparse neural networks, i.e., of networks with a reduced number of parameters, has been attracting increasing research attention in the last few years. The use of sparse models may significantly reduce the computational and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Giulia Fracastoro , Sophie M. Fosson , Andrea Migliorati , Giuseppe C. Calafiore

The problem of resource allocation in goal-oriented semantic communication with semantic-aware utilities and subjective risk perception is studied here. By linking information importance to risk aversion, we model agent behavior using…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-06-06 Symeon Vaidanis , Photios A. Stavrou , Marios Kountouris

We give a criterion under which the expected return on a ticket for certain large lotteries is positive. In this circumstance, we use elementary portfolio analysis to show that an optimal investment strategy includes a very small allocation…

历史与综述 · 数学 2025-07-04 Aaron Abrams , Skip Garibaldi

The hypothesis that sub-network initializations (lottery) exist within the initializations of over-parameterized networks, which when trained in isolation produce highly generalizable models, has led to crucial insights into network…

We introduce a resource allocation framework for goal-oriented semantic networks, where participating agents assess system quality through subjective (e.g., context-dependent) perceptions. To accommodate this, our model accounts for agents…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-06-06 Symeon Vaidanis , Photios A. Stavrou , Marios Kountouris

Many high-stakes AI deployments proceed only if every stakeholder deems the system acceptable relative to their own minimum standard. With randomization over a finite menu of options, this becomes a feasibility question: does there exist a…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Davin Choo , Paul W. Goldberg , Nicholas Teh