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Machine learning methods are widely and successfully used for probabilistic wind power forecasting, yet the pervasive issue of missing values (e.g., due to sensor faults or communication outages) has received limited attention. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

Power systems are getting more complex than ever and are consequently operating close to their limit of stability. Moreover, with the increasing demand of renewable wind generation, and the requirement to maintain a secure power system, the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-13 Umair Shahzad

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

The state-of-the-art in wind-farm flow-physics modeling is Large Eddy Simulation (LES) which makes accurate predictions of most relevant physics, but requires extensive computational resources. The next-fidelity model types are…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-01-19 Julia Steiner , Richard P. Dwight , Axelle Viré

Despite ambitious offshore wind targets in the U.S. and globally, offshore grid planning guidance remains notably scarce, contrasting with well-established frameworks for onshore grids. This gap, alongside the increasing penetration of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-23 Saroj Khanal , Christoph Graf , Zhirui Liang , Yury Dvorkin , Burçin Ünel

As the penetration level of transmission-scale time-intermittent renewable generation resources increases, control of flexible resources will become important to mitigating the fluctuations due to these new renewable resources. Flexible…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-09-12 Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Scott Backhaus , Misha Chertkov

With the recent interest in net-zero sustainability for commercial buildings, integration of photovoltaic (PV) assets becomes even more important. This integration remains a challenge due to high solar variability and uncertainty in the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-08-28 Chaitanya Poolla , Abraham K. Ishihara

From an economic point of view, a common criterion for assessing the merits of a reserve investment is its impacts on social welfare. The underlying assumption in using this criterion is that side payments may be used to distribute the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-13 Yan Xiu , Subior Magounder , Stefanous Barose , Mohammd Hamdi

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen

Recently it was demonstrated how climate data can be utilized to estimate regional wind power densities. In particular it was shown that the quality of the global scale estimate compared well with regional high resolution studies and a link…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-10-31 Markus Gross , Vanesa Magar

Climate change impacts and adaptations are the subjects to ongoing issues that attract the attention of many researchers. Insight into the wind power potential in an area and its probable variation due to climate change impacts can provide…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-01-14 Narjes Nabipour , Amir Mosavi , Eva Hajnal , Laszlo Nadai , Shahab Shamshirband , Kwok-Wing Chau

Predictions of the uncertainty associated with extreme events are a vital component of any prediction system for such events. Consequently, the prediction system ought to be probabilistic in nature, with the predictions taking the form of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-10-26 Petra Friederichs , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

Wind energy plays an increasing role in the supply of energy world-wide. The energy output of a wind farm is highly dependent on the weather condition present at the wind farm. If the output can be predicted more accurately, energy…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-09-12 Katya Vladislavleva , Tobias Friedrich , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed are important for a wide range of applications, ranging from operational decision making in connection with wind power generation to storm warnings, ship routing and aviation. We present a statistical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-08-06 Michael Scheuerer , David Möller

As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-26 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Nhu Tran , Mahdi Motalleb , Elham Foruzan

Inflexible combined heat and power (CHP) plants and uncertain wind power production result in excess power in distribution networks, which leads to inverse power flow challenging grid operations. Power-to-X facilities such as electrolysers…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-15 Sen Zhan , Peng Hou , Guangya Yang

We study short-term prediction of wind speed and wind power (every 10 minutes up to 4 hours ahead). Accurate forecasts for these quantities are crucial to mitigate the negative effects of wind farms' intermittent production on energy…

Accurate prediction of wind speed and power is vital for enhancing the efficiency of wind energy systems. Numerous solutions have been implemented to date, demonstrating their potential to improve forecasting. Among these, deep learning is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Mulomba Mukendi Christian , Yun Seon Kim , Hyebong Choi , Jaeyoung Lee , SongHee You

Sizing frequency control ancillary service (FCAS) requirements is crucial for the reliable operation of power systems amid a continuous influx of variable renewable energy (VRE) generation. Reserve sizing is especially pertinent for the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-06 Elgar John S. del Rosario , Jordan Rel C. Orillaza

Controllable building loads have the potential to increase the flexibility of power systems. A key step in developing effective and attainable load control policies is modeling the set of feasible building load profiles. In this paper, we…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-20 Jesus E. Contreras-Ocaña , Miguel A. Ortega-Vazquez , Daniel Kirschen , Baosen Zhang