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Inverse Ising inference allows pairwise interactions of complex binary systems to be reconstructed from empirical correlations. Typical estimators used for this inference, such as Pseudo-likelihood maximization (PLM), are biased. Using the…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Maximilian Benedikt Kloucek , Thomas Machon , Shogo Kajimura , C. Patrick Royall , Naoki Masuda , Francesco Turci

Reinforcement Learning aims at identifying and evaluating efficient control policies from data. In many real-world applications, the learner is not allowed to experiment and cannot gather data in an online manner (this is the case when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Daniele Foffano , Alessio Russo , Alexandre Proutiere

Presentation bias is one of the key challenges when learning from implicit feedback in search engines, as it confounds the relevance signal with uninformative signals due to position in the ranking, saliency, and other presentation factors.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-12 Aman Agarwal , Ivan Zaitsev , Thorsten Joachims

Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) is a recently proposed statistical inference technique for parameter estimation that leverages pseudo-labels on both labeled and unlabeled data to construct an unbiased, low-variance estimator. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Noa Shoham , Ron Dorfman , Shalev Shaer , Kfir Y. Levy , Yaniv Romano

In many real-world applications of machine learning classifiers, it is essential to predict the probability of an example belonging to a particular class. This paper proposes a simple technique for predicting probabilities based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-22 Aditya Menon , Xiaoqian Jiang , Shankar Vembu , Charles Elkan , Lucila Ohno-Machado

We propose iterative proportional scaling (IPS) via decomposable submodels for maximizing likelihood function of a hierarchical model for contingency tables. In ordinary IPS the proportional scaling is performed by cycling through the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-01-27 Yushi Endo , Akimichi Takemura

We study off-policy evaluation (OPE) from multiple logging policies, each generating a dataset of fixed size, i.e., stratified sampling. Previous work noted that in this setting the ordering of the variances of different importance sampling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Nathan Kallus , Yuta Saito , Masatoshi Uehara

Learning to rank with implicit feedback is one of the most important tasks in many real-world information systems where the objective is some specific utility, e.g., clicks and revenue. However, we point out that existing methods based on…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2020-11-03 Xinyi Dai , Jiawei Hou , Qing Liu , Yunjia Xi , Ruiming Tang , Weinan Zhang , Xiuqiang He , Jun Wang , Yong Yu

Selection bias is prevalent in the data for training and evaluating recommendation systems with explicit feedback. For example, users tend to rate items they like. However, when rating an item concerning a specific user, most of the…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-09-14 Weishen Pan , Sen Cui , Hongyi Wen , Kun Chen , Changshui Zhang , Fei Wang

Existing studies on preference optimization (PO) have centered on constructing pairwise preference data following simple heuristics, such as maximizing the margin between preferred and dispreferred completions based on human (or AI) ranked…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-10 Zhuotong Chen , Fang Liu , Xuan Zhu , Yanjun Qi , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

Learning a reward function from human preferences is challenging as it typically requires having a high-fidelity simulator or using expensive and potentially unsafe actual physical rollouts in the environment. However, in many tasks the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-18 Daniel Shin , Daniel S. Brown , Anca D. Dragan

Traditional insurance pricing relies on risk-based principles that ensure actuarial fairness and solvency but do not explicitly account for policyholders' price sensitivity. We formulate insurance pricing as a decision-making problem and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Sascha Günther , Dimitri Semenovich , Mario V. Wüthrich

Inverse problems use physical measurements along with a computational model to estimate the parameters or state of a system of interest. Errors in measurements and uncertainties in the computational model lead to inaccurate estimates. This…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-02-02 Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

Offline preference-based reinforcement learning (PbRL) provides an effective way to overcome the challenges of designing reward and the high costs of online interaction. However, since labeling preference needs real-time human feedback,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Xiao-Yin Liu , Guotao Li , Xiao-Hu Zhou , Zeng-Guang Hou

The propensity score is widely used for causal inference in observational studies, but common parametric estimators can produce biased and inefficient effect estimates when model assumptions are violated. Nonparametric approaches reduce…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-09 Maosen Peng , Yan Li , Chong Wu , Liang Li

The study of online decision-making problems that leverage contextual information has drawn notable attention due to their significant applications in fields ranging from healthcare to autonomous systems. In modern applications, contextual…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-22 Qiyu Han , Will Wei Sun , Yichen Zhang

We study the problem of offline policy optimization in stochastic contextual bandit problems, where the goal is to learn a near-optimal policy based on a dataset of decision data collected by a suboptimal behavior policy. Rather than making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-28 Germano Gabbianelli , Gergely Neu , Matteo Papini

This paper proposes new estimators for the propensity score that aim to maximize the covariate distribution balance among different treatment groups. Heuristically, our proposed procedure attempts to estimate a propensity score model by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-04-07 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song , Qi Xu

We provide a new algorithmic framework for differentially private estimation of general functions that adapts to the hardness of the underlying dataset. We build upon previous work that gives a paradigm for selecting an output through the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-11-28 David Durfee

A scoring rule is a function of a probabilistic forecast and a corresponding outcome that is used to evaluate forecast performance. A wide range of scoring rules have been defined over time and there is some debate as to which are the most…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-08-27 Edward Wheatcroft