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The problem of high-quality drought forecasting up to a year in advance is critical for agriculture planning and insurance. Yet, it is still unsolved with reasonable accuracy due to data complexity and aridity stochasticity. We tackle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Alexander Marusov , Vsevolod Grabar , Yury Maximov , Nazar Sotiriadi , Alexander Bulkin , Alexey Zaytsev

Climate change and increases in drought conditions affect the lives of many and are closely tied to global agricultural output and livestock production. This research presents a novel approach utilizing machine learning frameworks for…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-06-02 Veronica Wairimu Muriga , Benjamin Rich , Francesco Mauro , Alessandro Sebastianelli , Silvia Liberata Ullo

Drought poses a pervasive environmental challenge in Bangladesh, impacting agriculture, socio-economic stability, and food security due to its unique geographic and anthropogenic vulnerabilities. Traditional drought indices, such as the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-06 Tonmoy Paul , Mrittika Devi Mati , Md. Mahmudul Islam

Climate change is expected to increase the likelihood of drought events, with severe implications for food security. Unlike other natural disasters, droughts have a slow onset and depend on various external factors, making drought detection…

The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is a critical tool for monitoring drought conditions, typically relying on normalized accumulated precipitation. While longer historical records of precipitation yield more accurate parameter…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Touqeer Ahmad , Taha Hasan

Drought is a global threat caused by the persistent challenges of climate change. It is important to identify drought conditions based on the weather variables and their patterns. In this study, we enhanced the Standardized Precipitation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-22 Sachini Karunarathne , Kushani De Silva , Sanjeewa Perera

Drought is a complex natural hazard that affects ecological and human systems, often resulting in substantial environmental and economic losses. Recent increases in drought severity, frequency, and duration underscore the need for effective…

Drought is one of the most destructive and expensive natural disasters, severely impacting natural resources and risks by depleting water resources and diminishing agricultural yields. Under climate change, accurately predicting drought is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Xuwei Tan , Qian Zhao , Yanlan Liu , Xueru Zhang

Drought is a serious natural disaster that has a long duration and a wide range of influence. To decrease the drought-caused losses, drought prediction is the basis of making the corresponding drought prevention and disaster reduction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-08 Weiwei Jiang , Jiayun Luo

Drought is a natural creeping threat with numerous damaging effects in various aspects of human life. Accurate drought prediction is a promising step in helping policy makers to set drought risk management strategies. To fulfill this…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-06-05 Yousef Hassanzadeh , Mohammadvaghef Ghazvinian , Amin Abdi , Saman Baharvand , Ali Jozaghi

Drought is one of the most devastating environmental disasters. Analyzing historical changes in climate extremes is critical for mitigating its adverse impacts in the future. In the present study, the spatial and temporal characteristics of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-12 Ehsan Najafi , Reza Khanbilvardi

Multi-step time-series prediction is an essential supportive step for decision-makers in several industrial areas. Artificial intelligence techniques, which use a neural network component in various forms, have recently frequently been used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-11 Tony Salloom , Okyay Kaynak , Xinbo Yub , Wei He

Drought has been perceived as a persistent threat globally and the complex mechanism of various factors contributing to its emergence makes it more troublesome to understand. Droughts and their severity trends have been a point of concern…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-11-08 Ujjwal , Shikha C. Patel , Bansari K. Shah , Nicholas Ogbonna , Huthaifa I Ashqar

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah

Due to the increase in data availability in urban and regional studies, various spatial panel models have emerged to model spatial panel data, which exhibit spatial patterns and spatial dependencies between observations across time.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Michael Balzer , Adhen Benlahlou

The coarse spatial resolution of gridded climate models, such as general circulation models, limits their direct use in projecting socially relevant variables like extreme precipitation. Most downscaling methods estimate the conditional…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-06 Louise Largeau , Tom Beucler , David Leutwyler , Gregoire Mariethoz , Valerie Chavez-Demoulin , Erwan Koch

The path toward realizing the potential of seasonal forecasting and its socioeconomic benefits depends heavily on improving general circulation model based dynamical forecasting systems. To improve dynamical seasonal forecast, it is crucial…

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

These days human beings are facing many environmental challenges due to frequently occurring drought hazards. It may have an effect on the countrys environment, the community, and industries. Several adverse impacts of drought hazard are…

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