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相关论文: The Efficient Market Hypothesis for Bitcoin in the…

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In recent years, cryptocurrencies have attracted growing attention from both private investors and institutions. Among them, Bitcoin stands out for its impressive volatility and widespread influence. This paper explores the predictability…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-29 Grégory Bournassenko

Bitcoin is firmly becoming a mainstream asset in our global society. Its highly volatile nature has traders and speculators flooding into the market to take advantage of its significant price swings in the hope of making money. This work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Nathan Crone , Eoin Brophy , Tomas Ward

The mining of bitcoin is modeled using system dynamics, showing that the past evolution of the network hash rate can be explained to a large extent by an efficient market hypothesis applied to the mining of blocks. The possibility of a…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-04-21 Davide Lasi , Lukas Saul

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

This study examines whether the efficiency of cryptocurrency markets (Bitcoin and Ethereum) evolve over time based on Lo's (2004) adaptive market hypothesis (AMH). In particular, we measure the degree of market efficiency using a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-08 Akihiko Noda

This study evaluates the performance of 41 machine learning models, including 21 classifiers and 20 regressors, in predicting Bitcoin prices for algorithmic trading. By examining these models under various market conditions, we highlight…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-07-29 Abdul Jabbar , Syed Qaisar Jalil

Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are one of the most controversial and complex technological innovations in today's financial system. This study aims to forecast the movements of Bitcoin prices at a high degree of accuracy. To this aim,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-09 Hakan Pabuccu , Serdar Ongan , Ayse Ongan

This paper will propose a novel machine learning based portfolio management method in the context of the cryptocurrency market. Previous researchers mainly focus on the prediction of the movement for specific cryptocurrency such as the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Zijiang Yang

This study presents an innovative approach for predicting cryptocurrency time series, specifically focusing on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. The methodology integrates the use of technical indicators, a Performer neural network, and…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-07 Mohammad Ali Labbaf Khaniki , Mohammad Manthouri

The uncertainties in future Bitcoin price make it difficult to accurately predict the price of Bitcoin. Accurately predicting the price for Bitcoin is therefore important for decision-making process of investors and market players in the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-04 Samuel Asante Gyamerah

This study extends the examination of the Efficient-Market Hypothesis in Bitcoin market during a five year fluctuation period, from September 1 2017 to September 1 2022, by analyzing 28,739,514 qualified tweets containing the targeted topic…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-25 Fang Wang , Marko Gacesa

In this paper, we discuss the method of Bayesian regression and its efficacy for predicting price variation of Bitcoin, a recently popularized virtual, cryptographic currency. Bayesian regression refers to utilizing empirical data as proxy…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-10-07 Devavrat Shah , Kang Zhang

Bitcoin is one of the cryptocurrencies that is gaining more popularity in recent years. Previous studies have shown that closing price alone is not enough to forecast stock market series. We introduce a new set of time series and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-28 Stefano Sossi-Rojas , Gissel Velarde , Damian Zieba

The paper studies the linear model for Bitcoin price which includes regression features based on Bitcoin currency statistics, mining processes, Google search trends, Wikipedia pages visits. The pattern of deviation of regression model…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-11 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Bitcoin mining presents a significant economic incentive for efficient hashing and broadcast of data, both parameters stemming from the Proofs of Work used to advance the network. This incentive has led to the development of Bitcoin…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2016-03-17 Jonathan Harvey-Buschel , Can Kisagun

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

The dramatic adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the USA has revolutionized the financial landscape and provided unprecedented investment and transaction efficiency opportunities. The prime objective of this research project…

Bitcoin as a cryptocurrency has been one of the most important digital coins and the first decentralized digital currency. Deep neural networks, on the other hand, has shown promising results recently; however, we require huge amount of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-14 Parth Daxesh Modi , Kamyar Arshi , Pertami J. Kunz , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

For a long time predicting, studying and analyzing financial indices has been of major interest for the financial community. Recently, there has been a growing interest in the Deep-Learning community to make use of reinforcement learning…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-27 Jatin Nainani , Nirman Taterh , Md Ausaf Rashid , Ankit Khivasara

When network products and services become more valuable as their userbase grows (network effects), this tendency can become a major determinant of how they compete with each other in the market and how the market is structured. Network…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Konstantinos Stylianou , Leonhard Spiegelberg , Maurice Herlihy , Nic Carter
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