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Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

In this article we consider Bayesian inference associated to deep neural networks (DNNs) and in particular, trace-class neural network (TNN) priors which can be preferable to traditional DNNs as (a) they are identifiable and (b) they…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Sumeetpal S. Singh

The rapid growth of research in exploiting machine learning to predict chaotic systems has revived a recent interest in Hamiltonian Neural Networks (HNNs) with physical constraints defined by the Hamilton's equations of motion, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Chen-Di Han , Bryan Glaz , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Deep neural network (DNN) models have achieved state-of-the-art predictive accuracy in a wide range of supervised learning applications. However, accurately quantifying the uncertainty in DNN predictions remains a challenging task. For…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Daiwei Zhang , Tianci Liu , Jian Kang

Latent space models (LSMs) are often used to analyze dynamic (time-varying) networks that evolve in continuous time. Existing approaches to Bayesian inference for these models rely on Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, which cannot handle…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-19 Joshua Daniel Loyal

Bayesian Neural Networks with Latent Variables (BNN+LVs) capture predictive uncertainty by explicitly modeling model uncertainty (via priors on network weights) and environmental stochasticity (via a latent input noise variable). In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-19 Yaniv Yacoby , Weiwei Pan , Finale Doshi-Velez

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) provide flexible function approximations for a wide variety of applications when the input variables are in the form of images or spatial data. Although CNNs often outperform traditional statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Yeseul Jeon , Won Chang , Seonghyun Jeong , Sanghoon Han , Jaewoo Park

Active learning methods for neural networks are usually based on greedy criteria which ultimately give a single new design point for the evaluation. Such an approach requires either some heuristics to sample a batch of design points at one…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-28 Evgenii Tsymbalov , Sergei Makarychev , Alexander Shapeev , Maxim Panov

Hierarchical Bayesian networks and neural networks with stochastic hidden units are commonly perceived as two separate types of models. We show that either of these types of models can often be transformed into an instance of the other, by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-01-23 Diederik P. Kingma , Max Welling

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods have recently been applied to gravitational-wave inference as a powerful alternative to standard sampling techniques, such as Nested Sampling. At the same time, gradient-based Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Physics-informed deep learning have recently emerged as an effective tool for leveraging both observational data and available physical laws. Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and deep operator networks (DeepONets) are two such…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-02-22 Xuhui Meng

The number of low-energy constants (LECs) in chiral effective field theory ($\chi$EFT) grows rapidly with increasing chiral order, necessitating the use of Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques for sampling their posterior probability density…

核理论 · 物理学 2024-07-29 Isak Svensson , Andreas Ekström , Christian Forssén

The convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are not inherently shift invariant or equivariant. The downsampling operation, used in CNNs, is one of the key reasons which breaks the shift invariant property of a CNN. Conversely, downsampling…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Jaspreet Singh , Petra Bosilj , Grzegorz Cielniak

The process of training feedforward neural networks (FFNNs) can benefit from an automated process where the best heuristic to train the network is sought out automatically by means of a high-level probabilistic-based heuristic. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Arné Schreuder , Anna Bosman , Andries Engelbrecht , Christopher Cleghorn

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithms which combine numerical approximation of Hamiltonian dynamics on finite intervals with stochastic refreshment and Metropolis correction are popular sampling schemes, but it is known that they may…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Peter A. Whalley , Daniel Paulin , Benedict Leimkuhler

We study the problem of certifying the robustness of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) to adversarial input perturbations. Given a compact set of input points $T \subseteq \mathbb{R}^m$ and a set of output points $S \subseteq \mathbb{R}^n$,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-26 Matthew Wicker , Andrea Patane , Luca Laurenti , Marta Kwiatkowska

State space models (SSM) have been widely applied for the analysis and visualization of large sequential datasets. Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a very popular particle-based method to sample latent states from intractable posteriors.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-07 Duo Xu

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into…

There has been considerable interest in designing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms by exploiting numerical methods for Langevin dynamics, which includes Hamiltonian dynamics as a deterministic case. A prominent approach is Hamiltonian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-06-08 Zexi Song , Zhiqiang Tan