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Uncertainty Decomposition in Bayesian Neural Networks with Latent Variables

Machine Learning 2017-11-15 v2

Abstract

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into its epistemic and aleatoric components. First, we show how such a decomposition arises naturally in a Bayesian active learning scenario by following an information theoretic approach. Second, we use a similar decomposition to develop a novel risk sensitive objective for safe reinforcement learning (RL). This objective minimizes the effect of model bias in environments whose stochastic dynamics are described by BNNs with latent variables. Our experiments illustrate the usefulness of the resulting decomposition in active learning and safe RL settings.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1706.08495,
  title  = {Uncertainty Decomposition in Bayesian Neural Networks with Latent Variables},
  author = {Stefan Depeweg and José Miguel Hernández-Lobato and Finale Doshi-Velez and Steffen Udluft},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1706.08495},
  year   = {2017}
}

Comments

This article is superseded by arXiv:1710.07283

R2 v1 2026-06-22T20:29:58.717Z