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In this article, we study the binary classification problem with supervised data, in the case where the covariate-to-probability-of-success map is possibly spatially inhomogeneous. We devise nonparametric Bayesian procedures with…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-10 Matteo Giordano

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables statistical inference in simulator-based models whose likelihoods are difficult to calculate but easy to simulate from. ABC constructs a kernel-type approximation to the posterior distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Yuexi Wang , Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Ročková

In this work, solvers and preconditioners based on Gauss-Seidel and Jacobi algorithms are explored for stochastic Galerkin discretization of partial differential equations (PDEs) with random input data. Gauss-Seidel and Jacobi algorithms…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-04-16 Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Eric T. Phipps , Roger G. Ghanem

Enlarged Krylov subspace methods and their s-step versions were introduced [7] in the aim of reducing communication when solving systems of linear equations Ax = b. These enlarged CG methods consist of enlarging the Krylov subspace by a…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-09-18 Sophie M. Moufawad

In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

Accurate uncertainty quantification is critical for reliable predictive modeling. Existing methods typically address either aleatoric uncertainty due to measurement noise or epistemic uncertainty resulting from limited data, but not both in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Ilia Azizi , Juraj Bodik , Jakob Heiss , Bin Yu

The conjugate gradient (CG) method is a classic Krylov subspace method for solving symmetric positive definite linear systems. We introduce an analogous semi-conjugate gradient (SCG) method for unsymmetric positive definite linear systems.…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-06-09 Na Huang , Yu-Hong Dai , Dominique Orban , Michael A Saunders

Bayesian decision theory provides an elegant framework for acting optimally under uncertainty when tractable posterior distributions are available. Modern Bayesian models, however, typically involve intractable posteriors that are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Meet P. Vadera , Soumya Ghosh , Kenney Ng , Benjamin M. Marlin

For many applications of probabilistic classifiers it is important that the predicted confidence vectors reflect true probabilities (one says that the classifier is calibrated). It has been shown that common models fail to satisfy this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-10 Michael Panchenko , Anes Benmerzoug , Miguel de Benito Delgado

The problem of optimal precision switching for the conjugate gradient (CG) method applied to sparse linear systems is considered. A sparse matrix is defined as an $n\!\times\!n$ matrix with $m\!=\!O(n)$ nonzero entries. The algorithm first…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-03 Alexander V. Prolubnikov

The Complex Langevin (CL) method to simulate `complex probabilities', ideally produces expectation values for the observables that converge to a limit equal to the expectation values obtained with the original complex `probability' measure.…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2023-12-01 Erhard Seiler , Dénes Sexty , Ion-Olimpiu Stamatescu

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

A suitable scalar metric can help measure multi-calibration, defined as follows. When the expected values of observed responses are equal to corresponding predicted probabilities, the probabilistic predictions are known as "perfectly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-17 Ido Guy , Daniel Haimovich , Fridolin Linder , Nastaran Okati , Lorenzo Perini , Niek Tax , Mark Tygert

Recently, enlarged Krylov subspace methods, that consists of enlarging the Krylov subspace by a maximum of t vectors per iteration based on the domain decomposition of the graph of A, were introduced in the aim of reducing communication…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-05-01 Sophie Moufawad

We study the fundamental problem of calibrating a linear binary classifier of the form $\sigma(\hat{w}^\top x)$, where the feature vector $x$ is Gaussian, $\sigma$ is a link function, and $\hat{w}$ is an estimator of the true linear weight…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-03 Yufan Li , Pragya Sur

Krylov subspace methods are widely known as efficient algebraic methods for solving large scale linear systems. However, on massively parallel hardware the performance of these methods is typically limited by communication latency rather…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2018-08-22 Siegfried Cools

By reducing the number of global synchronization bottlenecks per iteration and hiding communication behind useful computational work, pipelined Krylov subspace methods achieve significantly improved parallel scalability on present-day HPC…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2018-09-07 Siegfried Cools , Wim Vanroose

This paper establishes the asymptotic consistency of the {\it loss-calibrated variational Bayes} (LCVB) method. LCVB was proposed in~\cite{LaSiGh2011} as a method for approximately computing Bayesian posteriors in a `loss aware' manner.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for inference of complicated probabilistic models with intractable likelihoods using model simulations. The Markov chain Monte Carlo implementation of approximate Bayesian computation is often…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-17 Matti Vihola , Jordan Franks

For the large-scale linear discrete ill-posed problem $\min\|Ax-b\|$ or $Ax=b$ with $b$ contaminated by Gaussian white noise, the Lanczos bidiagonalization based Krylov solver LSQR and its mathematically equivalent CGLS, the Conjugate…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-03-20 Zhongxiao Jia