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A method to perform unfolding with Gaussian processes (GPs) is presented. Using Bayesian regression, we define an estimator for the underlying truth distribution as the mode of the posterior. We show that in the case where the bin contents…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-11-07 Adam Bozson , Glen Cowan , Francesco Spanò

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Dongwei Ye , Weihao Yan , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

Gaussian processes scale prohibitively with the size of the dataset. In response, many approximation methods have been developed, which inevitably introduce approximation error. This additional source of uncertainty, due to limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-11 Jonathan Wenger , Geoff Pleiss , Marvin Pförtner , Philipp Hennig , John P. Cunningham

Within the past two decades, Gaussian process regression has been increasingly used for modeling dynamical systems due to some beneficial properties such as the bias variance trade-off and the strong connection to Bayesian mathematics. As…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-11 Thomas Beckers

We propose a probabilistic model for refining coarse-grained spatial data by utilizing auxiliary spatial data sets. Existing methods require that the spatial granularities of the auxiliary data sets are the same as the desired granularity…

We tackle the extension to the vector-valued case of consistency results for Stepwise Uncertainty Reduction sequential experimental design strategies established in [Bect et al., A supermartingale approach to Gaussian process based…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-12 Philip Stange , David Ginsbourger

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

A moderate deviation principle for nonlinear functions of Gaussian processes is established. The nonlinear functions need not be locally bounded. Especially, the logarithm is allowed. (Thus, small deviations of the process are relevant.)…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Boris Tsirelson

Due to their flexibility, Gaussian processes (GPs) have been widely used in nonparametric function estimation. A prior information about the underlying function is often available. For instance, the physical system (computer model output)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-21 Hassan Maatouk

We study estimation and prediction of Gaussian processes with covariance model belonging to the generalized Cauchy (GC) family, under fixed domain asymptotics. Gaussian processes with this kind of covariance function provide separate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-23 Moreno Bevilacqua , Tarik Faouzi

Recently, a novel linear model predictive control algorithm based on a physics-informed Gaussian Process has been introduced, whose realizations strictly follow a system of underlying linear ordinary differential equations with constant…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-01 Adrian Lepp , Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

In a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process. Our results apply to nonparametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-01 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

In this paper, we analyze Gaussian processes using statistical mechanics. Although the input is originally multidimensional, we simplify our model by considering the input as one-dimensional for statistical mechanical analysis. Furthermore,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-05-05 Jun Tsuzurugi

Gaussian process (GP) modulated Cox processes are widely used to model point patterns. Existing approaches require a mapping (link function) between the unconstrained GP and the positive intensity function. This commonly yields solutions…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-01 Andrés F. López-Lopera , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric Bayesian models for regression of scalar fields, formulated under the assumption that measurement locations are perfectly known and the corresponding field measurements have Gaussian…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Kyle Volle , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

The covariance structure of multivariate functional data can be highly complex, especially if the multivariate dimension is large, making extensions of statistical methods for standard multivariate data to the functional data setting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-04 Javier Zapata , Sang-Yun Oh , Alexander Petersen

Data assimilation is a fundamental task in updating forecasting models upon observing new data, with applications ranging from weather prediction to online reinforcement learning. Deep generative forecasting models (DGFMs) have shown…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Shreya Sinha-Roy , Richard G. Everitt , Christian P. Robert , Ritabrata Dutta

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen