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Background: Effective allocation of limited donor lungs in cystic fibrosis (CF) requires accurate survival predictions, so that high-risk patients may be prioritized for transplantation. In practice, decisions about allocation are made…

Joint models for longitudinal and survival data have become a popular framework for studying the association between repeatedly measured biomarkers and clinical events. Nevertheless, addressing complex survival data structures, especially…

Monitoring key elements of disease dynamics (e.g., prevalence, case counts) is of great importance in infectious disease prevention and control, as emphasized during the COVID-19 pandemic. To facilitate this effort, we propose a new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Lin Ge , Yuzi Zhang , Lance A. Waller , Robert H. Lyles

This paper presents a reproducible and process-aware pipeline for predictive monitoring of clinical pathways. The approach integrates data lifting, temporal reconstruction, event log construction, prefix-based representations, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Pasquale Ardimento , Mario Luca Bernardi , Marta Cimitile , Samuele Latorre

Background: The most widely used approach to joint modelling of repeated measurement and time to event data is to combine a linear Gaussian random effects model for the repeated measurements with a log-Gaussian frailty model for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-12 Elisabeth Waldmann , David Taylor-Robinson

Progression of chronic disease is often manifested by repeated occurrences of disease-related events over time. Delineating the heterogeneity in the risk of such recurrent events can provide valuable scientific insight for guiding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-16 Huijuan Ma , Limin Peng , Chiung-Yu Huang , Haoda Fu

The objective is to model longitudinal and survival data jointly taking into account the dependence between the two responses in a real HIV/AIDS dataset using a shared parameter approach inside a Bayesian framework. We propose a linear…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-05-02 Rui Martins

An individualized risk prediction model that dynamically updates the probability of a clinical event from a specific cause is valuable for physicians to be able to optimize personalized treatment strategies in real-time by incorporating all…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-22 Qing Liu , Gong Tang , Joseph P. Costantino , Chung-Chou H. Chang

A population-averaged additive subdistribution hazards model is proposed to assess the marginal effects of covariates on the cumulative incidence function and to analyze correlated failure time data subject to competing risks. This approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-23 Xinyuan Chen , Denise Esserman , Fan Li

In order for clinicians to manage disease progression and make effective decisions about drug dosage, treatment regimens or scheduling follow up appointments, it is necessary to be able to identify both short and long-term trends in…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-12-06 Norman Poh , Simon Bull , Santosh Tirunagari , Nicholas Cole , Simon de Lusignan

The progression of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) significantly correlates with higher patient mortality rates. Early detection of IPF progression is critical for initiating timely treatment, which can effectively slow down the…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-06 Caiwen Jiang , Xiaodan Xing , Zaixin Ou , Mianxin Liu , Walsh Simon , Guang Yang , Dinggang Shen

The identification of patient subgroups with comparable event-risk dynamics plays a key role in supporting informed decision-making in clinical research. In such settings, it is important to account for the inherent dependence that arises…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Alessandra Ragni , Lara Cavinato , Francesca Ieva

Chronic diseases are long-lasting conditions that require lifelong medical attention. Using big EMR data, we have developed early disease risk prediction models for five common chronic diseases: diabetes, hypertension, CKD, COPD, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Shaheer Ahmad Khan , Muhammad Usamah Shahid , Muddassar Farooq

The number of recurrent events before a terminating event is often of interest. For instance, death terminates an individual's process of rehospitalizations and the number of rehospitalizations is an important indicator of economic cost. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Willem van den Boom , Maria De Iorio , Marta Tallarita

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

Understanding age-group dynamics of infectious diseases is a fundamental issue for both scientific study and policymaking. Age-structure epidemic models were developed in order to study and improve our understanding of these dynamics. By…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-11-22 Rami Yaari , Amit Huppert , Itai Dattner

Left censoring can occur with relative frequency when analysing recurrent events in epidemiological studies, especially observational ones. Concretely, the inclusion of individuals that were already at risk before the effective initiation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Gilma Hernández-Herrera , David Moriña , Albert Navarro

Background Study individuals may face repeated events overtime. However, there is no consensus around learning approaches to use in a high-dimensional framework for survival data (when the number of variables exceeds the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-30 Juliette Murris , Anais Charles-Nelson , Audrey Lavenu , Sandrine Katsahian

Retrospective cohorts can be extracted from Electronic Health Records (EHR) to study prevalence, time until disease or event occurrence and cure proportion in real world scenarios. However, EHR are collected for patient care rather than…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Matilda Pitt , Robert J. B. Goudie

We explore whether survival model performance in underrepresented high- and low-risk subgroups - regions of the prognostic spectrum where clinical decisions are most consequential - can be improved through targeted restructuring of the…

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