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This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Accurate time series forecasting is a fundamental challenge in data science. It is often affected by external covariates such as weather or human intervention, which in many applications, may be predicted with reasonable accuracy. We refer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Jimeng Shi , Rukmangadh Myana , Vitalii Stebliankin , Azam Shirali , Giri Narasimhan

Accurate time series forecasting models are often compromised by data drift, where underlying data distributions change over time, leading to significant declines in prediction performance. To address this challenge, this study proposes an…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-30 Nikhil Pawar , Guilherme Vieira Hollweg , Akhtar Hussain , Wencong Su , Van-Hai Bui

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting has a wide range of applications in both industry and academia. Recently, spatial-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have gained popularity as MTS forecasting methods. However, current STGNNs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Huiliang Zhang , Ping Nie , Lijun Sun , Benoit Boulet

In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach for forecasting hierarchical time series. When dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from generating accurate forecasts, one needs to select a suitable method for producing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Paolo Mancuso , Veronica Piccialli , Antonio M. Sudoso

This study proposes two straightforward yet effective approaches to reduce the required computational time of the training process for time-series modeling through a recurrent neural network (RNN) using multi-time-scale time-series data as…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-11-11 Kei Ishida , Masato Kiyama , Ali Ercan , Motoki Amagasaki , Tongbi Tu

This article introduces Transformer Quantile Regression Neural Networks (TQRNNs), a novel data-driven solution for real-time machine failure prediction in manufacturing contexts. Our objective is to develop an advanced predictive…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-25 David J Poland , Lemuel Puglisi , Daniele Ravi

Accurate forecasting of sequential data streams is a cornerstone of modern Web services, supporting applications such as traffic management, user behavior modeling, and online anomaly prevention. However, in many Web environments, new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Shichao Ma , Zhengyang Zhou , Qihe Huang , Binwu Wang , Yang Wang

The key component in forecasting demand and consumption of resources in a supply network is an accurate prediction of real-valued time series. Indeed, both service interruptions and resource waste can be reduced with the implementation of…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-07-24 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Enrico Maiorino , Michael C. Kampffmeyer , Antonello Rizzi , Robert Jenssen

The expansion in automation of increasingly fast applications and low-power edge devices poses a particular challenge for optimization based control algorithms, like model predictive control. Our proposed machine-learning supported approach…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-08 Hendrik Alsmeier , Anton Savchenko , Rolf Findeisen

In this study, we delve into the realm of meta-learning to combine point base forecasts for probabilistic short-term electricity demand forecasting. Our approach encompasses the utilization of quantile linear regression, quantile regression…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Grzegorz Dudek

In this work, we propose an ensemble forecasting approach based on randomized neural networks. Improved randomized learning streamlines the fitting abilities of individual learners by generating network parameters in accordance with the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

RNN-based methods have faced challenges in the Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) domain when dealing with excessively long look-back windows and forecast horizons. Consequently, the dominance in this domain has shifted towards…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-23 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Wentai Wu , Feiyu Zhao , Ruichao Mo , Haotong Zhang

The past few years have witnessed the rapid development in multivariate time series forecasting. The key to accurate forecasting results is capturing the long-term dependency between each time step (cross-time dependency) and modeling the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Donghao Luo , Xue Wang

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial in many real-world applications. To achieve accurate MTS forecasting, it is essential to simultaneously consider both intra- and inter-series relationships among time series data.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Hui He , Kaize Shi , Liang Hu , Ning An , Zhendong Niu

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

Spatiotemporal prediction plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications such as urban planning, transportation optimization, disaster response, and pandemic control. In recent years, researchers have made significant progress by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Dahai Yu , Dingyi Zhuang , Lin Jiang , Rongchao Xu , Xinyue Ye , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in contemporary engineering information systems for supporting decision-making across various industries, where Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have been widely adopted due to their capability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Xin Lai , Shiming Deng , Lu Yu , Yumin Lai , Shenghao Qiao , Xinze Zhang

Multivariate time series (MTS) classification is foundational to pervasive computing and financial analysis, yet existing multi-scale paradigms are often constrained by suboptimal representation fidelity. We identify two critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Fan Zhang , Yating Cui , Hua Wang

With the recent development and advancement of Transformer and MLP architectures, significant strides have been made in time series analysis. Conversely, the performance of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) in time series analysis has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Chenghan Li , Mingchen Li , Ruisheng Diao